The final Gallup Generic Congressional Ballot poll is out tonight, and it is a staggering number in favor of the Republicans – +15. Among likely voters, Republicans lead 55%-40% in Gallup’s final numbers before Tuesday’s 2010 Midterm Elections:

POLITICO: In a compelling sign that the Republican tide on Tuesday will produce a historic sweep in the House, the final pre-election poll by the Gallup Organization gave the GOP a 55 percent to 40 percent lead over Democrats among likely voters in its generic congressional ballot test.

The commanding 15-point advantage makes a Republican takeover “highly probable,” and could produce GOP gains “anywhere from 60 seats on up, with gains well beyond that possible,” according to the Gallup analysis released late Sunday. . . . Read More

This is a strong sign that things continue to move in the direction of the GOP, and truly amazing gains are possible. It will take 39-seats to regain control of the House. A gain far beyond that number is now likely.

We’ll have our final House projections up by sometime tomorrow evening. We want to see any polling that comes in tomorrow.

Final Gallup Generic Ballot Poll Indicates Massive GOP Gains: “From 60 Seats on Up”

Here is video from the World Series tonight – Game 4 in Arlington, Texas – where former Presidents George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush threw out the ceremonial first pitch with Texas Rangers’ President Nolan Ryan serving as the catcher. Bush 43 actually did the honors of throwing the pitch, with his Dad – Bush 41 -standing by. Bush got the pitch to home plate in good shape with Ryan catching the ball. The crowd roared for both of the former Presidents!

A very nice moment!

Via Gateway Pundit

Presidents Bush Throw out First Pitch at World Series Game 4 – Video 10/31/10


Racist signs, the “N” word, and radicalism are all apparent from the crowd at Jon Stewart’s liberal “Restoring Sanity rally.”

Video: Racism & Hate At ‘Restoring Sanity’ Rally

The political Grapevine fact checks Obama’s claim that Republicans are not for funding global AIDS. Obama made the claim yesterday when being heckled by protesters who apparently wanted increased global AIDS funding. The truth is, as Bret Baier points out, that in 2003 George Bush and the Republican controlled Congress tripled funding to combat AIDS in Africa.

Grapevine: Fact Checking Obama’s AIDS Funding Claim – Video

Jimmy Carter appears on CNN’s Reliable Sources to discuss President Obama’s falling poll numbers and less “glowing” media coverage. Carter essentially blamed all of Obama’s current problems on cable news channels, specifically Fox News:
“Now with the discussion groups, for instance, on Fox News, that are totally biased, and they implant completely false images not only of the facts about legislation that’s passed or doesn’t get passed, but also about the character of President Obama…they’ve been successful in projecting him as a person who is not a citizen of America, who is not a Christian but a Muslim, and is not a Democrat but he’s a socialist and so forth.”

Read more: Newsbusters

Jimmy Carter Blames All of Obama’s Problems on Fox News

On Fox News Sunday, Sarah Palin calls the Alaska reporters who were caught on tape planning ways to smear Joe Miller, “Corrupt bastards.”

Sarah Palin on Alaska Reporters: We Have Tape of Those ‘Corrupt Bastards’ Conspiring Against Joe Miller – Video

Here is video of Gov. Sarah Palin speaking (begins at 3:32 mark) in Wheeling, West Virginia yesterday at a Tea Party Express rally alongside GOP Senate candidate John Raese. Palin said November 2 will be the day Americans vote to “turn things around in our country.” That will be done, she said, by sending common sense conservatives to Washington, like John Raese.

Raese also spoke briefly just prior to Sarah Palin.

Sarah Palin Campaigns for John Raese in WV; Says on Nov. 2 Americans Vote to “Turn Things Around in our Country” – Video

Here is audio of a voicemail released by the Joe Miller Campaign in Alaska. Big says the voicemail – which was inadvertently left of the cell phone of a Miller Campaign spokesman – has reporters from the CBS affiliate in Anchorage plotting ways to discredit GOP candidate Joe Miller. The transcript of what was said is included in the video above.

Miller is in a tight race with sore loser Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who decided to mount a write-in bid after she lost the GOP Primary to Miller, and with Democrat nominee Scott McAdams.

Joe Miller Campaign Releases Voicemail of Alaska Reporters Planning Ways to Smear Him – Audio

President Obama is interrupted by a group of liberal hecklers while speaking at a rally for Richard Blumenthal. He finally responds to the hecklers at about 2:19 into the video, and is visibly upset.

H/T: Breitbart

Obama Interrupted By Liberal Hecklers At Blumenthal Rally

Here is a new RNC video ad urging voters to not “let the Left get away with it again” – “No More Frankens.”

New RNC Ad: “No More Frankens – Don’t Let the Left Get Away with It Again” – Video

In our latest update of U.S. House Projections, we now have the GOP on track for a 65-seat net gain in Tuesday’s Midterm Elections. That is up one from yesterday, and is a new high.

We also added four more races to our list of competitive races, bringing the total number to 152, of which 128 races are currently seats held by Democrats.

In addition, we still have 37 races rated as a “Tossup,” meaning there is still upside potential for Republicans. Prior to Tuesday, we will make a final projection on all of the competitive races.

Here are the race rating changes since the last update:

MN8 = “Dem Hold” to “Tossup”

ME1 = “Tossup” to “GOP Gain”

ME2 = Added to List as a “Tossup”

CA51 = Added to List as a “Tossup”

NC4 = Added to List as a “Tossup”

MI9 = “Tossup” to “GOP Gain”

MI7 = “GOP Gain” to “Tossup”

MI5 = Added to List as a “Tossup”

2010 Competitive U.S. House Races – Projections

Updated: 10/30/10 – 12:30 PM CT














*Don Young

Harry Crawford Jr.

GOP Hold

AL – 2

Martha Roby

*Bobby Bright

GOP Gain

AL – 5 (incumbent Griffith defeated in primary)

*Mo Brooks

Steve Raby

GOP Hold

AZ – 1

Paul Gosar

*Ann Kirkpatrick

GOP Gain

AZ – 3 (Open)

*Ben Quayle

Jon Hulburd

GOP Hold

AZ – 5

Dave Schweikert

*Harry Mitchell

GOP Gain

AZ – 7

Ruth McClung

*Raul Grijalva


AZ – 8

Jesse Kelly

*Gabrielle Giffords

GOP Gain

AR – 1 (Open)

Rick Crawford

*Chad Causey

GOP Gain

AR – 2 (Open)

Tim Griffin

*Joyce Elliot

GOP Gain

AR – 4

Beth Anne Rankin

*Mike Ross

Dem Hold

CA – 3

*Dan Lungren

Amerish Bera


GOP Hold

CA – 11

David Harmer

*Jerry McNerney

GOP Gain

CA – 18

Mike Berryhill

*Dennis Cardoza


CA – 20

Andy Vidak

*Jim Costa

GOP Gain

CA – 44

*Ken Calvert

Bill Hedrick

GOP Hold

CA – 45

*Mary Bono Mack

Steve Pougnet

GOP Hold

CA – 47

Van Tran

*Loretta Sanchez


CA – 50

*Brian Bilbray

Francine Busby

GOP Hold

CA – 51

“Gunny” Nick Popaditch

*Bob Filner


CO – 3

Scott Tipton

*John Salazar

GOP Gain

CO – 4

Cory Gardner

*Betsy Markey

GOP Gain

CO – 7

Ryan Frazier

*Ed Perlmutter


CT – 1

Ann Brickley

*John Larson

Dem Hold

CT – 2

Janet Peckinpaugh

*Joe Courtney

Dem Hold

CT – 4

Dan Debicella

*Jim Himes

GOP Gain

CT – 5

Sam Caligiuri

*Chris Murphy

GOP Gain

DE – AL (Open)

*Glen Urquhart


John Carney Jr.

Dem Gain

FL – 2

Steve Southerland

*Allen Boyd

GOP Gain

FL – 8

Dan Webster

*Alan Grayson

GOP Gain

FL – 12 (Open)

*Dennis Ross

Lori Edwards

GOP Hold

FL – 13

*Vern Buchanan

James Golden

GOP Hold

FL – 16

*Tom Rooney

Jim Horn

GOP Hold

FL – 22

Allen West

*Ron Klein

GOP Gain

FL – 24

Sandy Adams

*Susan Kosmas

GOP Gain

FL – 25 (Open)

*David Rivera

Joe Garcia

GOP Hold

GA – 2

Mike Keown

*Sanford Bishop

GOP Gain

GA – 8

Austin Scott

*Jim Marshall

GOP Gain

GA – 12

Raymond McKinney

*John Barrow


HI – 1

*Charles Djou

Colleen Hanabusa

Dem Gain

ID – 1

Raul Labrador

*Walter Minnick


IL – 8

Joe Walsh

*Melissa Bean


IL – 10 (Open)

*Robert Dold

Daniel Seals


IL – 11

Adam Kinzinger

*Debbie Halvorson

GOP Gain

IL – 14

Randy Hultgren

*Bill Foster

GOP Gain

IL – 17

Bobby Schilling

*Phil Hare

GOP Gain

IN – 2

Jackie Walorski

*Joe Donnelly


IN – 8 (Open – Ellsworth seat)

Dr. Larry Bucshon

*Trent Van Haaften

GOP Gain

IN – 9

Todd Young

*Baron Hill

GOP Gain

IA – 1

Ben Lange

*Bruce Braley


IA – 2

M. Miller-Meeks

*David Loebsack

Dem Hold

IA – 3

Brad Zaun

*Leonard Boswell


KS – 3 (Open)

Kevin Yoder

*Stephene Moore

GOP Gain

KS – 4 (Open)

*Mike Pompeo

Raj Goyle

GOP Hold

KY – 3

Todd Lally

*John Yarmuth


KY – 6

Andy Barr

*Ben Chandler


LA – 2

*Joseph Cao

Cedric Richmond

Dem Gain

LA – 3 (Open)

Jeff Landry

*Ravi Sangisetty

GOP Gain

ME – 1

Dean Scontras

*Chellie Pingree

GOP Gain

ME – 2

Jason Levesque

*Mike Michaud


MD – 1

Andy Harris

*Frank Kratovil, Jr.

GOP Gain

MA – 4

Sean Bielat

*Barney Frank

Dem Hold

MA – 5

Jon Golnik

*Niki Tsongas

Dem Hold

MA – 6

Bill Hudak

*John Tierney

Dem Hold

MA – 10 (Open – Delahunt retiring)

Jeff Perry

*William Keating



MI – 1 (Open, Stupak Retiring)

Dr. Daniel Benishek

*Gary McDowell

GOP Gain

MI – 5

John Kupiec

*Dale Kildee


MI – 7

Tim Walberg

*Mark Shauer


MI – 9

Andrew Raczkowski

*Gary Peters

GOP Gain

MI – 15

Rob Steele

*John Dingell

Dem Hold

MN – 1

Randy Demmer

*Tim Walz

Dem Hold

MN – 6

*Michele Bachmann

Tarryl Clark

GOP Hold

MN – 8

Chip Cravaack

*Jim Oberstar


MS – 1

Alan Nunnelee

*Travis Childers

GOP Gain

MS – 4

Steven Palazzo

*Gene Taylor

GOP Gain

MO – 3

Ed Martin

*Russ Carnahan

Dem Hold

MO – 4

Vicky Hartzler

*Ike Skelton


MO – 5

Jacob Turk

*Emanuel Cleaver

Dem Hold


Rick Berg

*Earl Pomeroy

GOP Gain

NE – 2

*Lee Terry

Tom White

GOP Hold

NV – 3

Dr. Joseph Heck

*Dina Titus

GOP Gain

NH – 1

Frank Guinta

*Carol Shea-Porter

GOP Gain

NH – 2 (Open)

Charles Bass

*Ann Kuster

GOP Gain

NJ – 3

John Runyan

*John Adler

GOP Gain

NJ – 6

Anna Little

*Frank Pallone


NJ – 12

Scott Sipprelle

*Rush Holt

Dem Hold

NM – 1

Jon Barela

*Martin Heinrich


NM – 2

Steve Pearce

*Harry Teague

GOP Gain

NM – 3

Tom Mullins

*Ben Ray Lujan

Dem Hold

NY – 1

Randy Altschuler

*Tim Bishop


NY – 4

Fran Becker

*Carolyn McCarthy


NY – 13

Mike Grimm

*Mike McMahon


NY – 19

Nan Hayworth

*John Hall

GOP Gain

NY – 20

Chris Gibson

*Scott Murphy

GOP Gain

NY – 22

George Phillips

*Maurice Hinchey

Dem Hold

NY – 23

Matthew Doheny

(Doug Hoffman on ballot as Conservative Party nominee,  but campaign suspended; calls on supporters to vote for Doheny)

*Bill Owens

GOP Gain

NY – 24

Richard Hanna

*Michael Arcuri


NY – 25

Ann Marie Buerkle

*Dan Maffei


NY – 27

Leonard Roberto

*Brian Higgins

Dem Hold

NY – 29 (Open – Eric Massa resigned)

Thomas Reed

*Matthew Zeller

GOP Gain

NC – 2

Renee Elmers

*Bob Etheridge

GOP Gain

NC – 4

Dr. William (B.J.) Lawson

*David Price


NC – 7

Ilario Pantano

*Mike McIntyre


NC – 8

Harold Johnson

*Larry Kissell

GOP Gain

NC – 11

Jeff Miller

*Heath Shuler


OH – 1

Steve Chabot

*Steve Driehaus

GOP Gain

OH – 2

*Jean Schmidt

Surya Yalamanchili

GOP Hold

OH – 6

Bill Johnson

*Charlie Wilson

GOP Gain

OH – 12

*Patrick Tiberi

Paula Brooks

GOP Hold

OH – 13

Thomas Ganley

*Betty Sue Sutton

Dem Hold

OH – 15

Steve Stivers

*Mary Jo Kilroy

GOP Gain

OH – 16

Jim Renacci

*John Boccieri

GOP Gain

OH – 18

Bob Gibbs

*Zack Space

GOP Gain

OK – 2

Charles Thompson

*Dan Boren

Dem Hold

OR – 1

Rob Cornilles

*David Wu

Dem Hold

OR – 4

Art Robinson

*Pete DeFazio

Dem Hold

OR – 5

Scott Bruun

*Kurt Schrader

GOP Gain

PA – 3

Mike Kelly


*Kathy Dahlkemper

GOP Gain

PA – 4

Keith Rothfus

*Jason Altmire

Dem Hold

PA – 6

*Jim Gerlach

Manan Trivedi

GOP Hold

PA – 7 (Open – Sestak Senate)

Patrick Meehan

*Bryan Lentz

GOP Gain

PA – 8

Mike Fitzpatrick

*Patrick Murphy

GOP Gain

PA – 10

Tom Marino

*Chris Carney

GOP Gain

PA – 11

Lou Barletta

*Paul Kanjorski

GOP Gain

PA – 12 (Special  – Murtha Death)


Tim Burns


*Mark Critz


GOP Gain

PA – 15

*Charlie Dent

John Callahan

GOP Hold

PA – 17

David Argall

*Tim Holden

Dem Hold

RI – 1 (Patrick Kennedy retiring)


John Loughlin, II


*David Cicilline



SC – 1 (Open)

*Tim Scott

Ben Frasier

GOP Hold

SC – 5

Mick Mulvaney

*John Spratt

GOP Gain


Kristi Noem

*S. Herseth-Sandlin

GOP Gain

TN – 4

Dr. Scott DesJarlais

*Lincoln Davis

GOP Gain

TN – 5

David Hall

*Jim Cooper

Dem Hold

TN – 6 (Open)

Diane Black

*Brett Carter

GOP Gain

TN – 8 (Open)

Stephen Fincher

*Roy Herron

GOP Gain

TX – 17

Bill Flores

*Chet Edwards

GOP Gain

TX – 23

Francisco “Quico” Canseco

*Ciro Rodriguez

GOP Gain

TX – 27

Blake Farenthold

*Solomon Ortiz


VA – 2

Scott Rigell

*Glenn Nye

GOP Gain

VA – 5

Robert Hurt

*Tom Perriello

GOP Gain

VA – 9

Morgan Griffith

*Rick Boucher


VA – 11

Keith Fimian

*Gerald Connolly


WA – 2

John Koster

*Rick Larsen


WA – 3 (Open)

Jaime Herrera

*Denny Heck

GOP Gain

WA – 6

Doug Cloud

*Norm Dicks

Dem Hold

WA – 8

*Dave Reichert

Suzan DelBene

GOP Hold

WA – 9

Dick Muri

*Adam Smith


WV – 1 (Dem inc. district – Inc. Mollohan defeted)

David McKinley


*Michael Olivario, II

GOP Gain

WV – 3

Elliot Maynard

*Nick Joe Rahall, II

Dem Hold

WI – 3

Dan Kapanke

*Ronald Kind


WI – 7 (OPEN – David Obey Retiring)

Sean Duffy

*Julie Lassa

GOP Gain

WI – 8

Reid Ribble

*Steve Kagen

GOP Gain



152 Competitive House Races


24 GOP Seats


128 Dem Seats

GOP Gain – 68

Dem Gain – 03

      Tossup – 37

Net GOP Gain



U.S. House Projections Updated: GOP Up to +65 (10/30/10)

In our latest U.S. Senate Polls & Projections update, we have the GOP headed for an 8-seat net gain in the upcoming Midterm Elections. That’s two seats short of what is needed for them to regain control of the U.S. Senate.

There seems to be movement toward the GOP across the country over the last couple of days, after there had been some movement in the Democrats’ direction in the middle of October. The additional two seats for Republicans will have to come from Washington, West Virginia, California, Connecticut, or Delaware. Of those five, Washington and West Virginia are the best opportunities for the GOP.

Dino Rossi is very close in Washington, and there is movement in his favor over the last few days. West Virginia is still showing a very slight advantage for Republican John Raese in our average of polls, but we have it rated a Democrat Hold because the last couple of polls (including Rasmussen) has shown Democrat Gov. Joe Manchin ahead there. If there are any further polls before Election Day showing movement back toward Raese, it could still go for the GOP.

Some polling has shown Fiorina edging closer in California, and McMahon edging closer in Connecticut. Even Christine O’Donnell is back within 10-points in a poll yesterday from Delaware – with her actually leading among Independents.

The great unknown is the turnout, and the composition of that turnout. If there is massive turnout among Republicans (I think there will be) and Independents who have simmered with anger for two years over the radical Democrat agenda, then the polls showing Democrats leading in some states could be flipped on their head. All of the polling assumes a certain turnout model, and are weighted based on those models. This could be an election like we have never seen in our lifetimes. That makes the matter of projecting winners very difficult!

Check all the polls and projections for the 2010 U.S. Senate Races.

U.S. Senate Polls & Projections Update: GOP +8 but Edging Closer to Needed Takeover Seats

Here is an excellent video put forward by former Republican Sen. Rick Santorum that urges Conservative voters to “finish strong” in this year’s Midterm Elections. Santorum traces how Republicans “lost our way,” and paid for it big time in the 2006 and 2008 Elections. But, he also reviewed how Democrats – expecting to enjoy a 40-year Majority in Congress – refused to listen to the will of the American People on issue after issue, instead arrogantly deciding to ram through the most massive spending spree “the world has ever seen.”

This is very well done. Santorum, by the way, is seriously considering making a run for President in 2012.

New Santorum Ad Urges Conservative Voters to “Finish Strong” in 2010 Midterms – Video

Here is a video report from CNBC which gives a good synopsis on the big story of today – that two packages originating from Yemen and bound for Chicago-area synagogue actually contained explosive devices and were intercepted in Great Britain and Dubai. The packages were on cargo planes, but were discovered before ever reaching the United States. Al-Qaeda Arabian Peninsula is believed to be behind the attempted attacks.

Two Explosive Devices Headed to U.S. Discovered Overseas; Al-Qaeda AP Believed Behind Attempted Attacks – Video Report 10/29/10

This video is priceless!

The next time you hear someone say today’s political campaigns and ads are “the politics of personal destruction” as it has never before been practiced in America – send them the link to this video. It takes the campaign rhetoric of 1800 and turns it into television political ads!

TV Ads from the 1800 Presidential Election – Video

Christine O’Donnell is back within 10-points (51%-41%) of Democrat Chris Coons in a Monmouth University Poll on the Delaware U.S. Senate race. But the numbers inside the poll are even more interesting and hopeful for O’Donnell.

She is now leading in the Southern areas of the state by a 49%-43% margin. Just a few weeks ago, that margin for her was only 47%-46%. Also, among independents, O’Donnell is now leading Coons 47%-42%. If she can continue moving that margin up the next several days, and if the turnout for Coons is not strong, it could wind up being a real race in Delaware – far closer than anyone would have thought just a few days ago.

Even more evidence O’Donnell is getting too close for comfort for Democrats – Obama will campaign for Coons and other Democrats in Philadelphia on Saturday – whose media covers nearby Delaware.

Christine O’Donnell Moving Up in Delaware; Down 10 but Leading Among Indys

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