U.S. House Projections Updated: GOP Still Strong at +58

2010 Competitive U.S. House Races – Projections

Updated: 10/26/10 – 8:00 AM CT

Current

179

256

GOP

Projected

237

198

+58

District

Republican

Democrat

Projection

AK – AL

*Don Young

Harry Crawford Jr.

GOP Hold

AL – 2

Martha Roby

*Bobby Bright

GOP Gain

AL – 5 (incumbent Griffith defeated in primary)

*Mo Brooks

Steve Raby

GOP Hold

AZ – 1

Paul Gosar

*Ann Kirkpatrick

GOP Gain

AZ – 3 (Open)

*Ben Quayle

Jon Hulburd

GOP Hold

AZ – 5

Dave Schweikert

*Harry Mitchell

GOP Gain

AZ – 7

Ruth McClung

*Raul Grijalva

Tossup

AZ – 8

Jesse Kelly

*Gabrielle Giffords

Tossup

AR – 1 (Open)

Rick Crawford

*Chad Causey

GOP Gain

AR – 2 (Open)

Tim Griffin

*Joyce Elliot

GOP Gain

AR – 4

Beth Anne Rankin

*Mike Ross

Dem Hold

CA – 3

*Dan Lungren

Amerish Bera

GOP Hold

CA – 11

David Harmer

*Jerry McNerney

GOP Gain

CA – 18

Mike Berryhill

*Dennis Cardoza

Tossup

CA – 20

Andy Vidak

*Jim Costa

GOP Gain

CA – 44

*Ken Calvert

Bill Hedrick

GOP Hold

CA – 45

*Mary Bono Mack

Steve Pougnet

GOP Hold

CA – 47

Van Tran

*Loretta Sanchez

Tossup

CA – 50

*Brian Bilbray

Francine Busby

GOP Hold

CO – 3

Scott Tipton

*John Salazar

GOP Gain

CO – 4

Cory Gardner

*Betsy Markey

GOP Gain

CO – 7

Ryan Frazier

*Ed Perlmutter

Tossup

CT – 1

Ann Brickley

*John Larson

Dem Hold

CT – 2

Janet Peckinpaugh

*Joe Courtney

Dem Hold

CT – 4

Dan Debicella

*Jim Himes

Tossup

CT – 5

Sam Caligiuri

*Chris Murphy

Tossup

DE – AL (Open)

*Glen Urquhart

John Carney Jr.

Dem Gain

FL – 2

Steve Southerland

*Allen Boyd

GOP Gain

FL – 8

Dan Webster

*Alan Grayson

GOP Gain

FL – 12 (Open)

*Dennis Ross

Lori Edwards

GOP Hold

FL – 13

*Vern Buchanan

James Golden

GOP Hold

FL – 16

*Tom Rooney

Jim Horn

GOP Hold

FL – 22

Allen West

*Ron Klein

GOP Gain

FL – 24

Sandy Adams

*Susan Kosmas

GOP Gain

FL – 25 (Open)

*David Rivera

Joe Garcia

GOP Hold

GA – 2

Mike Keown

*Sanford Bishop

Tossup

GA – 8

Austin Scott

*Jim Marshall

GOP Gain

GA – 12

Raymond McKinney

*John Barrow

Tossup

HI – 1

*Charles Djou

Colleen Hanabusa

GOP Hold

ID – 1

Raul Labrador

*Walter Minnick

Tossup

IL – 8

Joe Walsh

*Melissa Bean

Tossup

IL – 10 (Open)

*Robert Dold

Daniel Seals

Tossup

IL – 11

Adam Kinzinger

*Debbie Halvorson

GOP Gain

IL – 14

Randy Hultgren

*Bill Foster

GOP Gain

IL – 17

Bobby Schilling

*Phil Hare

GOP Gain

IN – 2

Jackie Walorski

*Joe Donnelly

Dem Hold

IN – 8 (Open – Ellsworth seat)

Dr. Larry Bucshon

*Trent Van Haaften

GOP Gain

IN – 9

Todd Young

*Baron Hill

GOP Gain

IA – 1

Ben Lange

*Bruce Braley

Tossup

IA – 2

M. Miller-Meeks

*David Loebsack

Dem Hold

IA – 3

Brad Zaun

*Leonard Boswell

Tossup

KS – 3 (Open)

Kevin Yoder

*Stephene Moore

GOP Gain

KS – 4 (Open)

*Mike Pompeo

Raj Goyle

GOP Hold

KY – 3

Todd Lally

*John Yarmuth

Dem Hold

KY – 6

Andy Barr

*Ben Chandler

Tossup

LA – 2

*Joseph Cao

Cedric Richmond

Dem Gain

LA – 3 (Open)

Jeff Landry

*Ravi Sangisetty

GOP Gain

ME – 1

Dean Scontras

*Chellie Pingree

Tossup

MD – 1

Andy Harris

*Frank Kratovil, Jr.

GOP Gain

MA – 4

Sean Bielat

*Barney Frank

Dem Hold

MA – 5

Jon Golnik

*Niki Tsongas

Dem Hold

MA – 6

Bill Hudak

*John Tierney

Dem Hold

MA – 10 (Open – Delahunt retiring)

Jeff Perry

*William Keating

Tossup

MI – 1 (Open, Stupak Retiring)

Dr. Daniel Benishek

*Gary McDowell

GOP Gain

MI – 7

Tim Walberg

*Mark Shauer

GOP Gain

MI – 9

Andrew Raczkowski

*Gary Peters

Tossup

MI – 15

Rob Steele

*John Dingell

Dem Hold

MN – 1

Randy Demmer

*Tim Walz

Tossup

MN – 6

*Michele Bachmann

Tarryl Clark

GOP Hold

MN – 8

Chip Cravaack

*Jim Oberstar

Dem Hold

MS – 1

Alan Nunnelee

*Travis Childers

GOP Gain

MS – 4

Steven Palazzo

*Gene Taylor

GOP Gain

MO – 3

Ed Martin

*Russ Carnahan

Dem Hold

MO – 4

Vicky Hartzler

*Ike Skelton

Tossup

ND – AL

Rick Berg

*Earl Pomeroy

GOP Gain

NE – 2

*Lee Terry

Tom White

GOP Hold

NV – 3

Dr. Joseph Heck

*Dina Titus

GOP Gain

NH – 1

Frank Guinta

*Carol Shea-Porter

GOP Gain

NH – 2 (Open)

Charles Bass

*Ann Kuster

GOP Gain

NJ – 3

John Runyan

*John Adler

GOP Gain

NJ – 6

Anna Little

*Frank Pallone

Tossup

NJ – 12

Scott Sipprelle

*Rush Holt

Tossup

NM – 1

Jon Barela

*Martin Heinrich

Tossup

NM – 2

Steve Pearce

*Harry Teague

GOP Gain

NM – 3

Tom Mullins

*Ben Ray Lujan

Dem Hold

NY – 1

Randy Altschuler

*Tim Bishop

Tossup

NY – 4

Fran Becker

*Carolyn McCarthy

Tossup

NY – 13

Mike Grimm

*Mike McMahon

Tossup

NY – 19

Nan Hayworth

*John Hall

GOP Gain

NY – 20

Chris Gibson

*Scott Murphy

GOP Gain

NY – 22

George Phillips

*Maurice Hinchey

Dem Hold

NY – 23

Matthew Doheny

(Doug Hoffman on ballot as Conservative Party nominee,  but campaign suspended; calls on supporters to vote for Doheny)

*Bill Owens

GOP Gain

NY – 24

Richard Hanna

*Michael Arcuri

Tossup

NY – 25

Ann Marie Buerkle

*Dan Maffei

Tossup

NY – 27

Leonard Roberto

*Brian Higgins

Dem Hold

NY – 29 (Open – Eric Massa resigned)

Thomas Reed

*Matthew Zeller

GOP Gain

NC – 2

Renee Elmers

*Bob Etheridge

Tossup

NC – 7

Ilario Pantano

*Mike McIntyre

Tossup

NC – 8

Harold Johnson

*Larry Kissell

GOP Gain

NC – 11

Jeff Miller

*Heath Shuler

Tossup

OH – 1

Steve Chabot

*Steve Driehaus

GOP Gain

OH – 2

*Jean Schmidt

Surya Yalamanchili

GOP Hold

OH – 6

Bill Johnson

*Charlie Wilson

Tossup

OH – 12

*Patrick Tiberi

Paula Brooks

GOP Hold

OH – 13

Thomas Ganley

*Betty Sue Sutton

Dem Hold

OH – 15

Steve Stivers

*Mary Jo Kilroy

GOP Gain

OH – 16

Jim Renacci

*John Boccieri

GOP Gain

OH – 18

Bob Gibbs

*Zack Space

GOP Gain

OK – 2

Charles Thompson

*Dan Boren

Dem Hold

OR – 1

Rob Cornilles

*David Wu

Dem Hold

OR – 4

Art Robinson

*Pete DeFazio

Dem Hold

OR – 5

Scott Bruun

*Kurt Schrader

Tossup

PA – 3

Mike Kelly

*Kathy Dahlkemper

GOP Gain

PA – 4

Keith Rothfus

*Jason Altmire

Dem Hold

PA – 6

*Jim Gerlach

Manan Trivedi

GOP Hold

PA – 7 (Open – Sestak Senate)

Patrick Meehan

*Bryan Lentz

GOP Gain

PA – 8

Mike Fitzpatrick

*Patrick Murphy

GOP Gain

PA – 10

Tom Marino

*Chris Carney

GOP Gain

PA – 11

Lou Barletta

*Paul Kanjorski

GOP Gain

PA – 12 (Special  – Murtha Death)

Tim Burns

*Mark Critz

GOP Gain

PA – 15

*Charlie Dent

John Callahan

GOP Hold

PA – 17

David Argall

*Tim Holden

Dem Hold

RI – 1 (Patrick Kennedy retiring)

John Loughlin, II

*David Cicilline

Tossup

SC – 1 (Open)

*Tim Scott

Ben Frasier

GOP Hold

SC – 5

Mick Mulvaney

*John Spratt

GOP Gain

SD – AL

Kristi Noem

*S. Herseth-Sandlin

GOP Gain

TN – 4

Dr. Scott DesJarlais

*Lincoln Davis

GOP Gain

TN – 5

David Hall

*Jim Cooper

Dem Hold

TN – 6 (Open)

Diane Black

*Brett Carter

GOP Gain

TN – 8 (Open)

Stephen Fincher

*Roy Herron

GOP Gain

TX – 17

Bill Flores

*Chet Edwards

GOP Gain

TX – 23

Francisco “Quico” Canseco

*Ciro Rodriguez

GOP Gain

TX – 27

Blake Farenthold

*Solomon Ortiz

Tossup

VA – 2

Scott Rigell

*Glenn Nye

GOP Gain

VA – 5

Robert Hurt

*Tom Perriello

GOP Gain

VA – 9

Morgan Griffith

*Rick Boucher

Dem Hold

VA – 11

Keith Fimian

*Gerald Connolly

Tossup

WA – 2

John Koster

*Rick Larsen

Tossup

WA – 3 (Open)

Jaime Herrera

*Denny Heck

GOP Gain

WA – 8

*Dave Reichert

Suzan DelBene

GOP Hold

WA – 9

Dick Muri

*Adam Smith

Tossup

WV – 1 (Dem inc. district – Inc. Mollohan defeted)

David McKinley

*Michael Olivario, II

GOP Gain

WV – 3

Elliot Maynard

*Nick Joe Rahall, II

Dem Hold

WI – 3

Dan Kapanke

*Ronald Kind

Tossup

WI – 7 (OPEN – David Obey Retiring)

Sean Duffy

*Julie Lassa

GOP Gain

WI – 8

Reid Ribble

*Steve Kagen

GOP Gain

TOTALS

146 Competitive House Races

24 GOP Seats

122 Dem Seats

GOP Gain – 60

Dem Gain – 02

      Tossup – 38

Net GOP Gain

+58