2012 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Map & Projection

Updated 5/24/12, 12:00 PM ET

Latest 2012 Presidential Election Polls & Electoral Vote Projection - Here is the 2012 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Map (above) and Table (below). We have shaded the states according to our current estimate of how the state is likely to vote in the November 2012 General Election. States that we consider “tossup” states we have shaded in green.

Check back often as we keep this map updated frequently with our projection based on current polls, trends, and the all important “gut-feeling.” To see the most recent polls for each state, just click on the state name in the table below. The most recent polls are also linked at the top of the table. We’ll do our best to keep it that way from day to day. Polls will be posted as they come out – when we can do so. But look for everything to be updated late each evening.

2012 Presidential Election – Electoral College Vote State-by-State Projection

Current Projection: Obama 252 – Romney 191 – Tossup 95 (270 Needed to Win)

 

Latest State Polls Added (Click on State name below to see polls & polling averages): MA, VA, FL, OH, PA, FL, VT, PA, NC, OK, TX, TN, NE,  WI, NC, NC,  NJ, NH, WI, MN, NY, ME, GA, MI, WA, WI, OR, OH, OH, MA, FL, IA, MT, VA, OH, FL, AZ, PA, WI, NV, MT, NC, VA, WV

State

Electoral Votes

2008 Results

Latest 2012 Poll Average

Current Projection

Alabama

9

McCain +21%

 

Romney

Alaska

3

McCain +21%

Romney

Arizona

11

McCain +8%

Romney +3.6                 44.3% – 40.7%

Romney

Arkansas

6

McCain +20%

Romney +24.0               57.0% – 33.0%

Romney

California

55

Obama +24%

Obama +23.5                 57.8% – 34.3%

Obama

Colorado

9

Obama +9%

Obama +13.0                 53.0% – 40.0%

Obama

Connecticut

7

Obama +22%

Obama +9.0                   50.0% – 41.0% 

Obama

Delaware

3

Obama +25%

 

Obama

D.C.

3

Obama +86%

 

Obama

Florida

29

Obama +3%

Romney +1.0                  45.8% – 44.8%

Tossup

Georgia

16

McCain +5%

Romney +9.0                  50.0% – 41.0%

Romney

Hawaii

4

Obama + 45%

Obama +27.0                 59.0% – 32.0% 

Obama

Idaho

4

McCain +25%

 

Romney

Illinois

20

Obama +25%

Obama +21.0                 56.0% – 35.0%

Obama

Indiana

11

Obama +1%

Romney +9.0                 49.0% – 40.0%

Romney

Iowa

6

Obama +10%

Obama +4.0                   47.5% – 43.5%

Tossup

Kansas

6

McCain +15%

Romney +17.0               52.0% – 35.0%

Romney

Kentucky

8

McCain +16%

Romney +8.0                 48.0% – 40.0% 

Romney

Louisiana

8

McCain +19%

 

Romney

Maine

4

Obama +17%

Obama +13.0                 52.5% – 39.5%

Obama

Maryland

10

Obama +25%

 

Obama

Massachusetts

11

Obama +26%

Obama +21.2                 55.5% – 34.3%

Obama

Michigan

16

Obama +16%

Obama +4.5                   46.0% – 41.5% 

Obama

Minnesota

10

Obama +10%

Obama +12.0                 51.5% – 39.5% 

Obama

Mississippi

6

McCain +13%

Romney +18.0               54.0% – 36.0%

Romney

Missouri

10

McCain +0.13%

Romney +1.5                 46.5% – 45.0%

Romney

Montana

3

McCain +2%

Romney +6.0                 49.5% – 43.5%

Romney

Nebraska

5

McCain +15%

Romney +13.0               52.0% – 39.0%

Romney

Nevada

6

Obama +12%

Obama +8.0                   51.5% – 43.5%

Obama

New Hampshire

4

Obama +10%

Obama +6.4                   48.7% – 42.3%

Tossup

New Jersey

14

Obama +16%

Obama +11.5                 49.5% – 38.0%

Obama

New Mexico

5

Obama +15%

Obama +15.0                 53.0% – 38.0%

Obama

New York

29

Obama +27%

Obama +21.0                 57.0% – 36.0%

Obama

North Carolina

15

Obama +0.33%

Romney +2.7                  47.7% – 45.0%

Tossup

North Dakota

3

McCain +9%

Romney +14.0               47.0% – 33.0%

Romney

Ohio

18

Obama +5%

Obama +4.9                   47.2% – 42.3%

Tossup

Oklahoma

7

McCain +31%

 Romney +35.0              62.0% – 27.0%

Romney

Oregon

7

Obama +16%

Obama +4.0                   47.0% – 43.0%

Obama

Pennsylvania

20

Obama +10%

Obama +7.3                   48.0% – 40.7%

Obama

Rhode Island

4

Obama +28%

Obama +17.0                 54.0% – 37.0%

Obama

South Carolina

9

McCain +9%

Romney +4.7                 46.7% – 42.0%

Romney

South Dakota

3

McCain +8%

 

Romney

Tennessee

11

McCain +15%

Romney +6.5                 47.0% – 40.5%

Romney

Texas

38

McCain +12%

Romney +13.5               52.5% – 39.0%

Romney

Utah

6

McCain +28%

Romney +32.0               63.0% – 31.0%

Romney

Vermont

3

Obama +37%

Obama +31.0                 59.0% – 28.0%

Obama

Virginia

13

Obama +6%

Obama +2.5                   47.2% – 44.7%

Tossup

Washington

12

Obama +17%

Obama +13.4                 50.7% – 37.3%

Obama

West Virginia

5

McCain +13%

Romney +17.0               54.0% – 37.0% 

Romney

Wisconsin

10

Obama +14%

Obama +1.6                   47.3% – 45.7%

Tossup

Wyoming

3

McCain +32%

 

Romney

 

State

Electoral Votes 

 

538

 

2008 Results

 

Barack Obama – 365 / 53%

    John McCain – 173 / 46%

 

Latest 2012 Poll Average

Projection

 

 Romney  = 191

    Obama = 252

     Tossup = 95

 

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