2012 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Map & Projection
Updated 5/24/12, 12:00 PM ET
Latest 2012 Presidential Election Polls & Electoral Vote Projection - Here is the 2012 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Map (above) and Table (below). We have shaded the states according to our current estimate of how the state is likely to vote in the November 2012 General Election. States that we consider “tossup” states we have shaded in green.
Check back often as we keep this map updated frequently with our projection based on current polls, trends, and the all important “gut-feeling.” To see the most recent polls for each state, just click on the state name in the table below. The most recent polls are also linked at the top of the table. We’ll do our best to keep it that way from day to day. Polls will be posted as they come out – when we can do so. But look for everything to be updated late each evening.
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2012 Presidential Election – Electoral College Vote State-by-State Projection |
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Current Projection: Obama 252 – Romney 191 – Tossup 95 (270 Needed to Win)
Latest State Polls Added (Click on State name below to see polls & polling averages): MA, VA, FL, OH, PA, FL, VT, PA, NC, OK, TX, TN, NE, WI, NC, NC, NJ, NH, WI, MN, NY, ME, GA, MI, WA, WI, OR, OH, OH, MA, FL, IA, MT, VA, OH, FL, AZ, PA, WI, NV, MT, NC, VA, WV |
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|
State |
Electoral Votes |
2008 Results |
Latest 2012 Poll Average |
Current Projection |
|
Alabama |
9 |
McCain +21% |
|
Romney |
|
Alaska |
3 |
McCain +21% |
Romney |
|
|
11 |
McCain +8% |
Romney +3.6 44.3% – 40.7% |
Romney |
|
|
6 |
McCain +20% |
Romney +24.0 57.0% – 33.0% |
Romney |
|
|
55 |
Obama +24% |
Obama +23.5 57.8% – 34.3% |
Obama |
|
|
9 |
Obama +9% |
Obama +13.0 53.0% – 40.0% |
Obama |
|
|
7 |
Obama +22% |
Obama +9.0 50.0% – 41.0% |
Obama |
|
|
Delaware |
3 |
Obama +25% |
|
Obama |
|
D.C. |
3 |
Obama +86% |
|
Obama |
|
29 |
Obama +3% |
Romney +1.0 45.8% – 44.8% |
Tossup |
|
|
16 |
McCain +5% |
Romney +9.0 50.0% – 41.0% |
Romney |
|
|
4 |
Obama + 45% |
Obama +27.0 59.0% – 32.0% |
Obama |
|
|
Idaho |
4 |
McCain +25% |
|
Romney |
|
20 |
Obama +25% |
Obama +21.0 56.0% – 35.0% |
Obama |
|
|
11 |
Obama +1% |
Romney +9.0 49.0% – 40.0% |
Romney |
|
|
6 |
Obama +10% |
Obama +4.0 47.5% – 43.5% |
Tossup |
|
|
6 |
McCain +15% |
Romney +17.0 52.0% – 35.0% |
Romney |
|
|
8 |
McCain +16% |
Romney +8.0 48.0% – 40.0% |
Romney |
|
|
Louisiana |
8 |
McCain +19% |
|
Romney |
|
4 |
Obama +17% |
Obama +13.0 52.5% – 39.5% |
Obama |
|
|
Maryland |
10 |
Obama +25% |
|
Obama |
|
11 |
Obama +26% |
Obama +21.2 55.5% – 34.3% |
Obama |
|
|
16 |
Obama +16% |
Obama +4.5 46.0% – 41.5% |
Obama |
|
|
10 |
Obama +10% |
Obama +12.0 51.5% – 39.5% |
Obama |
|
|
6 |
McCain +13% |
Romney +18.0 54.0% – 36.0% |
Romney |
|
|
10 |
McCain +0.13% |
Romney +1.5 46.5% – 45.0% |
Romney |
|
|
3 |
McCain +2% |
Romney +6.0 49.5% – 43.5% |
Romney |
|
|
5 |
McCain +15% |
Romney +13.0 52.0% – 39.0% |
Romney |
|
|
6 |
Obama +12% |
Obama +8.0 51.5% – 43.5% |
Obama |
|
|
4 |
Obama +10% |
Obama +6.4 48.7% – 42.3% |
Tossup |
|
|
14 |
Obama +16% |
Obama +11.5 49.5% – 38.0% |
Obama |
|
|
5 |
Obama +15% |
Obama +15.0 53.0% – 38.0% |
Obama |
|
|
29 |
Obama +27% |
Obama +21.0 57.0% – 36.0% |
Obama |
|
|
15 |
Obama +0.33% |
Romney +2.7 47.7% – 45.0% |
Tossup |
|
|
3 |
McCain +9% |
Romney +14.0 47.0% – 33.0% |
Romney |
|
|
18 |
Obama +5% |
Obama +4.9 47.2% – 42.3% |
Tossup |
|
|
7 |
McCain +31% |
Romney +35.0 62.0% – 27.0% |
Romney |
|
|
7 |
Obama +16% |
Obama +4.0 47.0% – 43.0% |
Obama |
|
|
20 |
Obama +10% |
Obama +7.3 48.0% – 40.7% |
Obama |
|
|
4 |
Obama +28% |
Obama +17.0 54.0% – 37.0% |
Obama |
|
|
9 |
McCain +9% |
Romney +4.7 46.7% – 42.0% |
Romney |
|
|
South Dakota |
3 |
McCain +8% |
|
Romney |
|
11 |
McCain +15% |
Romney +6.5 47.0% – 40.5% |
Romney |
|
|
38 |
McCain +12% |
Romney +13.5 52.5% – 39.0% |
Romney |
|
|
6 |
McCain +28% |
Romney +32.0 63.0% – 31.0% |
Romney |
|
|
3 |
Obama +37% |
Obama +31.0 59.0% – 28.0% |
Obama |
|
|
13 |
Obama +6% |
Obama +2.5 47.2% – 44.7% |
Tossup |
|
|
12 |
Obama +17% |
Obama +13.4 50.7% – 37.3% |
Obama |
|
|
5 |
McCain +13% |
Romney +17.0 54.0% – 37.0% |
Romney |
|
|
10 |
Obama +14% |
Obama +1.6 47.3% – 45.7% |
Tossup |
|
|
Wyoming |
3 |
McCain +32% |
|
Romney |
|
State |
Electoral Votes
538 |
2008 Results
Barack Obama – 365 / 53% John McCain – 173 / 46% |
Latest 2012 Poll Average |
Projection
Romney = 191 Obama = 252 Tossup = 95 |
