2012 Presidential General Election Polls – National

Updated: 11/6/12, 10:55 AM ET

NOTE: FINAL Polls listed below.


Poll

Date

Romney

Obama

Margin

Poll Sample

Sample Voter Split *

14-Day Polling Average

Since 10/23/12

47.6

48.3

+0.7

 

 

7-Day Polling Average

Since 10/30/12

48.1

48.5

+0.4

 

 

3-Day Polling Average

Since 11/4/12

48.4

48.4

Tie

 

 

Gallup / Rasmussen Tracking Avg.

 

49.5

48.5

+1.0

 

 

Daily Tracking Poll Average (3 Polls)

 

48.7

49.0

+0.3

 

 

Rasmussen Tracking – 3-Day

11/3-5/12

49

48

+1

1500 LV

Dem +2

Gallup Tracking – 7-Day

12/1-4/12

50

49

+1

2700 LV

Dem +1

ABC News/Washington Post Tracking

11/1-4/12

47

50

+3

2345 LV

Dem +6 = R-29%, D-35%, I-32%

Politico/GWU/Battleground

11/4-5/12

47

47

Tie

1000 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33%

IBD/TIPP

11/3-5/12

49

50

+1

712 LV

Dem +7 = R-31%, D-38%, I-32%

CNN/Opinion Research

11/2-4/12

49

49

Tie

693 LV

Dem +11 = R-30%, D-41%, I-29%

NewsMax/Zogby

11/2-4/12

48

46

+2

1013 LV

 

Monmouth/Survey USA/Braun

11/1-4/12

48

48

Tie

1417 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

11/1-3/12

47

48

+1

1475 LV

 

Pew Research

10/31-11/3/12

47

50

+3

2709 LV

Dem +4 = R-32%, D-36%, I-29%

Politico/GWU/Battleground

10/29-11/1/12

48

48

Tie

1000 LV

 

Fox News

10/28-30/12

46

46

Tie

1128 LV

 

American Research Group (ARG)

10/25-28/12

48

48

Tie

1200 LV

Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-28%

CBS News/New York Times

10/25-28/12

47

48

+1

563 LV

Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-33%

National Journal

10/25-28/12

45

50

+5

713 LV

Dem +8

Pew Research

10/24-28/12

47

47

Tie

1495 LV

Dem +1 = R-34%, D-35%, I-27%

NPR

10/23-25/12

48

47

+1

1000 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33%

Politico/GWU/Battleground

10/22-25/12

48

49

+1

1000 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33%

UPI/CVoter Poll

10/18-25/12

47

48

+1

1179 LV

Not provided

Associated Press / GfK

10/19-23/12

47

45

+2

839 LV

Dem +4 = R-30%, D-34%, I-31%

Third Presidential Debate (Foreign Policy) in Boca Raton, FL, October 22, 2012

Monmouth/Survey USA/Braun

10/18-21/12

48

45

+3

1402 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34%

American Research Group (ARG)

10/18-21/12

49

47

+2

1200 LV

Dem +5 = R-34%, D-39%, I-27%

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

10/18-21/12

48

48

Tie

1300 LV

Dem +6 = R-35%, D-41%, I-24%

ABC News/Washington Post

10/18-21/12

48

49

+1

1376 LV

Dem +5 = R-29%, D-34%, I-33%

Democracy Corps

10/18-21/12

46

49

+3

1000 LV

Dem +10 = R-29%, D-39%, I-30%

UPI/CVoter Poll

10/15-21/12

48

47

+1

1151 LV

Not provided

CBS News/New York Times

10/17-20/12

46

48

+2

790 LV

Even = R-32%, D-32%, I-35%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

10/17-20/12

47

47

Tie

816 LV

Not provided

Politico/GWU/Battleground

10/15-18/12

49

47

+2

1000 LV

Dem +4= R=31%, D-35%, I-33%

UPI/CVoter Poll

10/12-18/12

48

46

+2

1254 LV

Not provided

Gravis Marketing

10/18/2012

46

44

+2

805 LV

Dem +8 = R-32%, D-40%, I-28%

Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall Format) at Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY, October 16, 2012

Uconn/Hartford Courant

10/11-16/12

45

48

+3

1023 LV

Dem +8 = R-39%, D-47%, I-15%

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

10/12-14/12

50

46

+4

1600 LV

Dem +2 = R-37%, D-39%, I-24%

American Research Group (ARG)

10/11-14/12

48

47

+1

1200 LV

Dem +4 = R-34%, D-38%, I-28%

ABC News/Washington Post

10/10-13/12

46

49

+3

923 LV

Dem +9 = R-26%, D-35%, I-33%

UPI/CVoter Poll

10/7-13/12

49

46

+3

1244 LV

 

Politico/GWU/Battleground

10/7-11/12

48

49

+1

1000 LV

Dem +3 = R-35%, D-38%, I-23%

Monmouth University

10/8-10/12

47

46

+1

1360 LV

Dem +3 = R-32%, D-35%, I-33%

Fox News

10/7-9/12

46

45

+1

1109 LV

 

American Research Group (ARG)

10/5-8/12

48

47

+1

1200 LV

Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-28%

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

10/4-7/12

49

47

+2

1300 LV

Dem +3 = R-37%, D-40%, I-23%

Pew Research

10/4-7/12

49

45

+4

1112 LV

GOP +3 = R-36%, D-33%, I-30%

JZ Analytics/Washington Times

10/4-6/12

45

45

Tie

800 LV

 

Politico/GWU/Battleground

10/1-4/12

48

49

+1

1000 LV

Dem +8 = R-30%, D-38%, I-32%

Clarus Research

10/4/2012

47

46

+1

500 LV

Not provided

First Presidential Debate at University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, October 3, 2012

CNN/Opinion Research

9/28-30/12

47

50

+3

783 LV

Not provided

National Journal

9/27-30/12

47

47

Tie

789 LV

Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-30%

NPR

9/26-30/12

44

51

+7

800 LV

Dem +7 = R-30%, D-37%, I-43%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

9/26-30/12

46

49

+3

832 LV

Dem +6 = R-26%, D-32%, I-40%

Quinnipiac

9/25-30/12

45

49

+4

1912 LV

Not provided

ABC News/Washington Post

9/26-29/12

47

49

+2

813 LV

Dem +3 = R-30%, D-33%, I-33%

Politico/GWU/Battleground

9/24-27/12

47

49

+2

1000 LV

Not provided

Fox News

9/24-26/12

43

48

+5

1092 LV

Dem +3 = R-38%, D-41%, I-20%

Bloomberg

9/21-24/12

43

49

+6

789 LV

Dem +6 = R-24%, D-30%, I-41%

UPI/CVoter Poll

9/15-21/12

45

49

+4

795 LV

Not provided

Angus Reid

9/19-20/12

46

48

+2

865 RV

Not provided

American Research Group (ARG)

9/17-20/12

47

49

+2

761 LV

Not provided

Politico/GWU/Battleground

9/16-20/12

47

50

+3

1000 LV

Dem +7 = R-33%, D-40%, I-24%

National Journal

9/15-19/12

43

50

+7

1055 LV

Not provided

Uconn/Hartford Courant

9/11-18/12

43

46

+3

1186 LV

Dem +8 = R-40%, D-48%, I-12%

Reason-Rupe

9/13-17/12

45

52

+7

787 LV

Dem +8 = R-28%, D-36%, I-29%

Associated Press / GfK

9/13-17/12

46

47

+1

807 LV

Dem +4 = R-44%, D-48%, I-8%

Monmouth/Survey USA/Braun

9/13-16/12

45

48

+3

1344 LV

Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34%

Pew Research

9/12-16/12

43

51

+8

2268 LV

Not provided

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

9/12-16/12

45

50

+5

736 LV

Dem +5 = R-32%, D-37%, I-16%

CBS News/New York Times

9/8-12/12

46

49

+3

1162 LV

 

Democracy Corps

9/8-12/12

45

50

+5

1000 LV

 

Fox News

9/9-11/12

43

48

+5

1056 LV

 

Reuters/Ipsos

9/7-10/12

45

48

+3

1089 LV

Not provided

Esquire/Yahoo News

9/7-10/12

46

50

+4

1002 LV

Dem +4 = R-28%, D-32%, I-35%

ABC News / Washington Post

9/7-9/12

48

49

+1

710 LV

Dem +6 = R-26%, D-32%, I-37%

CNN / Opinion Research

9/7-9/12

46

52

+6

709 LV

Dem +11 = R-28%, D-39%, I-33% (est)

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

9/7-9/12

44

50

+6

1000 RV

Not provided

IBD/CSM/TIPP

9/4-9/12

44

46

+2

808 RV

Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-30%

CNN / Opinion Research

8/31-9/3/12

48

48

Tie

735 LV

Not provided

American Research Group (ARG)

9/4-6/12

49

46

+3

1200 LV

Not provided

YouGov/The Economist

8/25-27/12

47

46

+1

1000 RV

Dem +8 = R-38%, D-46%, I-17%

Democracy Corps

8/23-27/12

47

49

+2

1000 LV

Not provided

CBS News

8/22-26/12

45

46

+1

1051 RV

Dem +2 = R-31%, D-33%, I-36%

ABC News / Washington Post

8/22-26/12

47

46

+1

857 RV

Dem +9 = R-22%, D-31%, I-39%

Zogby/Washington Times

8/23-25/12

46

46

Tie

800 LV

Not provided

CNN / Opinion Research

8/22-23/12

47

49

+2

719 LV

Not provided

Resurgent Republic

8/16-22/12

45

46

+1

1000 LV

Dem +5 = R-39%, D-44%, I-14%

Fox News

8/19-21/12

45

44

+1

1007 LV

Dem +4 = R-38%, D-42%, I-18%

Wenzell Strategies/WND

8/18-21/12

48

44

+4

800 LV

Not provided

YouGov/The Economist

8/18-20/12

45

45

Tie

1000 RV

Dem +9 = R-36%, D-45%, I-20%

Associated Press / GfK

8/16-20/12

46

49

+3

885 RV

Dem +6 = R-41%, D-47%, I-12%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

8/16-20/12

44

48

+4

1000 RV

Dem +6 = R-39%, D-45%, I-13%

Monmouth/Survey USA/Braun

8/15-19/12

45

46

+1

1149 LV

Dem +6 = R-27%, D-33%, I-40%

LA Times/USC

8/13-19/12

46

48

+2

954 LV

Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-26%

Angus Reid

8/15-16/12

49

45

+4

898 RV

Not provided

Zogby

8/11-12/12

46

46

Tie

1117 LV

Not provided

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

8/9-12/12

45

47

+2

1000 RV

Dem +1 = R-37%, D-38%, I-25%

IBD/CSM/TIPP

8/3-10/12

39

46

+7

828 RV

Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-30%

Politico/GWU/Battleground

8/5-9/12

47

48

+1

1000 LV

Dem +4 = R-40%, D-44%, I-15%

CNN / Opinion Research

8/7-8/12

45

52

+7

911 RV

Not provided

Fox News

8/5-7/12

40

49

+9

930 RV

Dem +9 = R-35%, D-44%, I-14%

Reuters/Ipsos

8/2-6/12

42

49

+7

1014 RV

Even – R-46%,  D-46%, I-8%

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

8/2-5/12

46

48

+2

1000 RV

Dem +2 = R-34%, D-36%, I-29%

Pew Research

7/16-26/12

41

51

+10

1956 RV

Dem +11 = R-22%, D-33%, I-38%

Democracy Corps

7/21-25/12

46

50

+4

700 LV

Dem +5 = R-33%, D-38%, I-25%

YouGov/The Economist

7/21-23/12

45

44

+1

1000 RV

Dem +6 = R-37%, D-43%, I-20%

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

7/19-22/12

46

46

Tie

1000 RV

Dem +7 = R-32%, D-39%, I-29%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

7/18-22/12

43

49

+6

1000 RV

Dem +11 = R-35%, D-46%, I-16%

Fox News

7/15-17/12

41

45

+4

901 RV

Dem +4 = R-38%, D-42%, I-18%

CBS News/New York Times

7/11-16/12

47

46

+1

942 RV

Dem +6 = R-25%, D-31%, I-39%

NPR

7/9-12/12

45

47

+2

1000 LV

Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-31%

Marist/McClatchey

7/9-11/12

46

48

+2

849 RV

Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-34%

YouGov/The Economist

7/7-9/12

44

43

+1

1000 RV

Dem +8 = R-36%, D-44%, I-19%

Reuters/Ipsos

7/5-9/12

43

49

+6

885 RV

Dem +5 = R-26%, D-31%, I-43%

Pew Research

6/28-7/9/12

43

50

+7

2373 RV

Dem +9 =  R-24%, D-33%, I-37%

Zogby/Washington Times

7/6-8/12

43

42

+1

800 LV

 

ABC News / Washington Post

7/5-8/12

47

47

Tie

855 RV

Dem +9 = R-24%, D-33%, I-36%

Quinnipiac

7/1-8/12

43

46

+3

2722 RV

Dem +4 = R-27%, D-31%, I-36%

IBD/CSM/TIPP

6/26-7/5/12

42

43

+1

825 RV

Dem +5 = R-29%, D-34%, I-33%

YouGov/The Economist

6/30-7/2/12

43

47

+4

1000 RV

Dem +8 = R-37%, D-45%, I-19%

CNN / Opinion Research

6/28-7/1/12

46

49

+3

1390 RV

 

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

6/28-7/1/12

45

48

+3

1200 RV

 

Newsweek/Daily Beast

6/28/2012

44

47

+3

600 LV

 

Democracy Corps

6/23-27/12

46

49

+3

1000 LV

 

Fox News

6/24-26/12

40

45

+5

912 RV

Dem +5 = R-36%, D-41%, I-19%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal

6/20-24/12

44

47

+3

819 RV

 

Pew Research

6/7-17/12

46

50

+4

1563 RV

Dem +9 =  R-24%, D-33%, I-39%

YouGov/The Economist

6/16-18/12

44

44

Tie

RV

 

Bloomberg

6/15-18/12

40

53

+13

734 LV

 

Associated Press / GfK

6/14-18/12

44

47

+3

878 RV

 

PPP/Daily Kos (D)

6/14-17/12

45

49

+4

1000 RV

 

Reuters/Ipsos

6/7-11/12

44

45

+1

848 RV

 

IBD/CSM/TIPP

6/1-8/12

42

46

+4

841 RV

 

Monmouth

6/4-6/12

46

47

+1

1395 RV

 

Fox News

6/3-5/12

43

43

Tie

907 RV

Dem +4 = R-37%, D-41%, I-20%

Pew Research

5/9-6-3/12

42

49

+7

2388 RV

Dem +8 = R-24%, D-32%, I-36%

CNN / Opinion Research

5/29-31/12

46

49

+3

895 RV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Poll

Date

Romney

Obama

Margin

Poll Sample

Sample Voter Split

RV = "Registered Voters       LV = "Likely Voters"

 *In the 2008 Presidential Election, the Voter Split was: R-32%, D-39%, I-29%. In the 2010 Midterm Election, it was: R-35%, D-35%, I-30%.

The "sample split" indicates the number of Republicans (R), Democrats (D), and Independents (I) surveyed in the poll.