2012 Presidential General Election Polls – National
Updated: 11/6/12, 10:55 AM ET
NOTE: FINAL Polls listed below.
|
Poll |
Date |
Romney |
Obama |
Margin |
Poll Sample |
Sample Voter Split * |
|
14-Day Polling Average |
Since 10/23/12 |
47.6 |
48.3 |
+0.7 |
|
|
|
7-Day Polling Average |
Since 10/30/12 |
48.1 |
48.5 |
+0.4 |
|
|
|
3-Day Polling Average |
Since 11/4/12 |
48.4 |
48.4 |
Tie |
|
|
|
Gallup / Rasmussen Tracking Avg. |
|
49.5 |
48.5 |
+1.0 |
|
|
|
Daily Tracking Poll Average (3 Polls) |
|
48.7 |
49.0 |
+0.3 |
|
|
|
11/3-5/12 |
49 |
48 |
+1 |
1500 LV |
Dem +2 |
|
|
12/1-4/12 |
50 |
49 |
+1 |
2700 LV |
Dem +1 |
|
|
11/1-4/12 |
47 |
50 |
+3 |
2345 LV |
Dem +6 = R-29%, D-35%, I-32% |
|
|
11/4-5/12 |
47 |
47 |
Tie |
1000 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
11/3-5/12 |
49 |
50 |
+1 |
712 LV |
Dem +7 = R-31%, D-38%, I-32% |
|
|
11/2-4/12 |
49 |
49 |
Tie |
693 LV |
Dem +11 = R-30%, D-41%, I-29% |
|
|
11/2-4/12 |
48 |
46 |
+2 |
1013 LV |
|
|
|
11/1-4/12 |
48 |
48 |
Tie |
1417 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34% |
|
|
11/1-3/12 |
47 |
48 |
+1 |
1475 LV |
|
|
|
10/31-11/3/12 |
47 |
50 |
+3 |
2709 LV |
Dem +4 = R-32%, D-36%, I-29% |
|
|
10/29-11/1/12 |
48 |
48 |
Tie |
1000 LV |
|
|
|
10/28-30/12 |
46 |
46 |
Tie |
1128 LV |
|
|
|
10/25-28/12 |
48 |
48 |
Tie |
1200 LV |
Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-28% |
|
|
10/25-28/12 |
47 |
48 |
+1 |
563 LV |
Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-33% |
|
|
10/25-28/12 |
45 |
50 |
+5 |
713 LV |
Dem +8 |
|
|
10/24-28/12 |
47 |
47 |
Tie |
1495 LV |
Dem +1 = R-34%, D-35%, I-27% |
|
|
10/23-25/12 |
48 |
47 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
10/22-25/12 |
48 |
49 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
10/18-25/12 |
47 |
48 |
+1 |
1179 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
10/19-23/12 |
47 |
45 |
+2 |
839 LV |
Dem +4 = R-30%, D-34%, I-31% |
|
|
Third Presidential Debate (Foreign Policy) in Boca Raton, FL, October 22, 2012 |
||||||
|
10/18-21/12 |
48 |
45 |
+3 |
1402 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34% |
|
|
10/18-21/12 |
49 |
47 |
+2 |
1200 LV |
Dem +5 = R-34%, D-39%, I-27% |
|
|
10/18-21/12 |
48 |
48 |
Tie |
1300 LV |
Dem +6 = R-35%, D-41%, I-24% |
|
|
10/18-21/12 |
48 |
49 |
+1 |
1376 LV |
Dem +5 = R-29%, D-34%, I-33% |
|
|
Democracy Corps |
10/18-21/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
1000 LV |
Dem +10 = R-29%, D-39%, I-30% |
|
UPI/CVoter Poll |
10/15-21/12 |
48 |
47 |
+1 |
1151 LV |
Not provided |
|
10/17-20/12 |
46 |
48 |
+2 |
790 LV |
Even = R-32%, D-32%, I-35% |
|
|
10/17-20/12 |
47 |
47 |
Tie |
816 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
10/15-18/12 |
49 |
47 |
+2 |
1000 LV |
Dem +4= R=31%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
10/12-18/12 |
48 |
46 |
+2 |
1254 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
10/18/2012 |
46 |
44 |
+2 |
805 LV |
Dem +8 = R-32%, D-40%, I-28% |
|
|
Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall Format) at Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY, October 16, 2012 |
||||||
|
10/11-16/12 |
45 |
48 |
+3 |
1023 LV |
Dem +8 = R-39%, D-47%, I-15% |
|
|
10/12-14/12 |
50 |
46 |
+4 |
1600 LV |
Dem +2 = R-37%, D-39%, I-24% |
|
|
10/11-14/12 |
48 |
47 |
+1 |
1200 LV |
Dem +4 = R-34%, D-38%, I-28% |
|
|
10/10-13/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
923 LV |
Dem +9 = R-26%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
10/7-13/12 |
49 |
46 |
+3 |
1244 LV |
|
|
|
10/7-11/12 |
48 |
49 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +3 = R-35%, D-38%, I-23% |
|
|
10/8-10/12 |
47 |
46 |
+1 |
1360 LV |
Dem +3 = R-32%, D-35%, I-33% |
|
|
10/7-9/12 |
46 |
45 |
+1 |
1109 LV |
|
|
|
10/5-8/12 |
48 |
47 |
+1 |
1200 LV |
Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-28% |
|
|
10/4-7/12 |
49 |
47 |
+2 |
1300 LV |
Dem +3 = R-37%, D-40%, I-23% |
|
|
10/4-7/12 |
49 |
45 |
+4 |
1112 LV |
GOP +3 = R-36%, D-33%, I-30% |
|
|
10/4-6/12 |
45 |
45 |
Tie |
800 LV |
|
|
|
10/1-4/12 |
48 |
49 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +8 = R-30%, D-38%, I-32% |
|
|
10/4/2012 |
47 |
46 |
+1 |
500 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
First Presidential Debate at University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, October 3, 2012 |
||||||
|
9/28-30/12 |
47 |
50 |
+3 |
783 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/27-30/12 |
47 |
47 |
Tie |
789 LV |
Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-30% |
|
|
9/26-30/12 |
44 |
51 |
+7 |
800 LV |
Dem +7 = R-30%, D-37%, I-43% |
|
|
9/26-30/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
832 LV |
Dem +6 = R-26%, D-32%, I-40% |
|
|
9/25-30/12 |
45 |
49 |
+4 |
1912 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/26-29/12 |
47 |
49 |
+2 |
813 LV |
Dem +3 = R-30%, D-33%, I-33% |
|
|
9/24-27/12 |
47 |
49 |
+2 |
1000 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/24-26/12 |
43 |
48 |
+5 |
1092 LV |
Dem +3 = R-38%, D-41%, I-20% |
|
|
9/21-24/12 |
43 |
49 |
+6 |
789 LV |
Dem +6 = R-24%, D-30%, I-41% |
|
|
9/15-21/12 |
45 |
49 |
+4 |
795 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/19-20/12 |
46 |
48 |
+2 |
865 RV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/17-20/12 |
47 |
49 |
+2 |
761 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/16-20/12 |
47 |
50 |
+3 |
1000 LV |
Dem +7 = R-33%, D-40%, I-24% |
|
|
9/15-19/12 |
43 |
50 |
+7 |
1055 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/11-18/12 |
43 |
46 |
+3 |
1186 LV |
Dem +8 = R-40%, D-48%, I-12% |
|
|
9/13-17/12 |
45 |
52 |
+7 |
787 LV |
Dem +8 = R-28%, D-36%, I-29% |
|
|
9/13-17/12 |
46 |
47 |
+1 |
807 LV |
Dem +4 = R-44%, D-48%, I-8% |
|
|
9/13-16/12 |
45 |
48 |
+3 |
1344 LV |
Dem +4 = R-31%, D-35%, I-34% |
|
|
9/12-16/12 |
43 |
51 |
+8 |
2268 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/12-16/12 |
45 |
50 |
+5 |
736 LV |
Dem +5 = R-32%, D-37%, I-16% |
|
|
9/8-12/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
1162 LV |
|
|
|
9/8-12/12 |
45 |
50 |
+5 |
1000 LV |
|
|
|
9/9-11/12 |
43 |
48 |
+5 |
1056 LV |
|
|
|
9/7-10/12 |
45 |
48 |
+3 |
1089 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/7-10/12 |
46 |
50 |
+4 |
1002 LV |
Dem +4 = R-28%, D-32%, I-35% |
|
|
9/7-9/12 |
48 |
49 |
+1 |
710 LV |
Dem +6 = R-26%, D-32%, I-37% |
|
|
9/7-9/12 |
46 |
52 |
+6 |
709 LV |
Dem +11 = R-28%, D-39%, I-33% (est) |
|
|
9/7-9/12 |
44 |
50 |
+6 |
1000 RV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/4-9/12 |
44 |
46 |
+2 |
808 RV |
Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-30% |
|
|
8/31-9/3/12 |
48 |
48 |
Tie |
735 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
9/4-6/12 |
49 |
46 |
+3 |
1200 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/25-27/12 |
47 |
46 |
+1 |
1000 RV |
Dem +8 = R-38%, D-46%, I-17% |
|
|
8/23-27/12 |
47 |
49 |
+2 |
1000 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/22-26/12 |
45 |
46 |
+1 |
1051 RV |
Dem +2 = R-31%, D-33%, I-36% |
|
|
8/22-26/12 |
47 |
46 |
+1 |
857 RV |
Dem +9 = R-22%, D-31%, I-39% |
|
|
8/23-25/12 |
46 |
46 |
Tie |
800 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/22-23/12 |
47 |
49 |
+2 |
719 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/16-22/12 |
45 |
46 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +5 = R-39%, D-44%, I-14% |
|
|
8/19-21/12 |
45 |
44 |
+1 |
1007 LV |
Dem +4 = R-38%, D-42%, I-18% |
|
|
8/18-21/12 |
48 |
44 |
+4 |
800 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/18-20/12 |
45 |
45 |
Tie |
1000 RV |
Dem +9 = R-36%, D-45%, I-20% |
|
|
8/16-20/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
885 RV |
Dem +6 = R-41%, D-47%, I-12% |
|
|
8/16-20/12 |
44 |
48 |
+4 |
1000 RV |
Dem +6 = R-39%, D-45%, I-13% |
|
|
8/15-19/12 |
45 |
46 |
+1 |
1149 LV |
Dem +6 = R-27%, D-33%, I-40% |
|
|
8/13-19/12 |
46 |
48 |
+2 |
954 LV |
Dem +6 = R-33%, D-39%, I-26% |
|
|
8/15-16/12 |
49 |
45 |
+4 |
898 RV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/11-12/12 |
46 |
46 |
Tie |
1117 LV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/9-12/12 |
45 |
47 |
+2 |
1000 RV |
Dem +1 = R-37%, D-38%, I-25% |
|
|
8/3-10/12 |
39 |
46 |
+7 |
828 RV |
Dem +5 = R-31%, D-36%, I-30% |
|
|
8/5-9/12 |
47 |
48 |
+1 |
1000 LV |
Dem +4 = R-40%, D-44%, I-15% |
|
|
8/7-8/12 |
45 |
52 |
+7 |
911 RV |
Not provided |
|
|
8/5-7/12 |
40 |
49 |
+9 |
930 RV |
Dem +9 = R-35%, D-44%, I-14% |
|
|
8/2-6/12 |
42 |
49 |
+7 |
1014 RV |
Even – R-46%, D-46%, I-8% |
|
|
8/2-5/12 |
46 |
48 |
+2 |
1000 RV |
Dem +2 = R-34%, D-36%, I-29% |
|
|
7/16-26/12 |
41 |
51 |
+10 |
1956 RV |
Dem +11 = R-22%, D-33%, I-38% |
|
|
7/21-25/12 |
46 |
50 |
+4 |
700 LV |
Dem +5 = R-33%, D-38%, I-25% |
|
|
7/21-23/12 |
45 |
44 |
+1 |
1000 RV |
Dem +6 = R-37%, D-43%, I-20% |
|
|
7/19-22/12 |
46 |
46 |
Tie |
1000 RV |
Dem +7 = R-32%, D-39%, I-29% |
|
|
7/18-22/12 |
43 |
49 |
+6 |
1000 RV |
Dem +11 = R-35%, D-46%, I-16% |
|
|
7/15-17/12 |
41 |
45 |
+4 |
901 RV |
Dem +4 = R-38%, D-42%, I-18% |
|
|
7/11-16/12 |
47 |
46 |
+1 |
942 RV |
Dem +6 = R-25%, D-31%, I-39% |
|
|
7/9-12/12 |
45 |
47 |
+2 |
1000 LV |
Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-31% |
|
|
7/9-11/12 |
46 |
48 |
+2 |
849 RV |
Dem +7 = R-29%, D-36%, I-34% |
|
|
7/7-9/12 |
44 |
43 |
+1 |
1000 RV |
Dem +8 = R-36%, D-44%, I-19% |
|
|
7/5-9/12 |
43 |
49 |
+6 |
885 RV |
Dem +5 = R-26%, D-31%, I-43% |
|
|
6/28-7/9/12 |
43 |
50 |
+7 |
2373 RV |
Dem +9 = R-24%, D-33%, I-37% |
|
|
7/6-8/12 |
43 |
42 |
+1 |
800 LV |
|
|
|
7/5-8/12 |
47 |
47 |
Tie |
855 RV |
Dem +9 = R-24%, D-33%, I-36% |
|
|
7/1-8/12 |
43 |
46 |
+3 |
2722 RV |
Dem +4 = R-27%, D-31%, I-36% |
|
|
6/26-7/5/12 |
42 |
43 |
+1 |
825 RV |
Dem +5 = R-29%, D-34%, I-33% |
|
|
6/30-7/2/12 |
43 |
47 |
+4 |
1000 RV |
Dem +8 = R-37%, D-45%, I-19% |
|
|
6/28-7/1/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
1390 RV |
|
|
|
6/28-7/1/12 |
45 |
48 |
+3 |
1200 RV |
|
|
|
6/28/2012 |
44 |
47 |
+3 |
600 LV |
|
|
|
6/23-27/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
1000 LV |
|
|
|
6/24-26/12 |
40 |
45 |
+5 |
912 RV |
Dem +5 = R-36%, D-41%, I-19% |
|
|
6/20-24/12 |
44 |
47 |
+3 |
819 RV |
|
|
|
6/7-17/12 |
46 |
50 |
+4 |
1563 RV |
Dem +9 = R-24%, D-33%, I-39% |
|
|
6/16-18/12 |
44 |
44 |
Tie |
RV |
|
|
|
6/15-18/12 |
40 |
53 |
+13 |
734 LV |
|
|
|
6/14-18/12 |
44 |
47 |
+3 |
878 RV |
|
|
|
6/14-17/12 |
45 |
49 |
+4 |
1000 RV |
|
|
|
6/7-11/12 |
44 |
45 |
+1 |
848 RV |
|
|
|
6/1-8/12 |
42 |
46 |
+4 |
841 RV |
|
|
|
6/4-6/12 |
46 |
47 |
+1 |
1395 RV |
|
|
|
6/3-5/12 |
43 |
43 |
Tie |
907 RV |
Dem +4 = R-37%, D-41%, I-20% |
|
|
5/9-6-3/12 |
42 |
49 |
+7 |
2388 RV |
Dem +8 = R-24%, D-32%, I-36% |
|
|
5/29-31/12 |
46 |
49 |
+3 |
895 RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poll |
Date |
Romney |
Obama |
Margin |
Poll Sample |
Sample Voter Split |
|
RV = "Registered Voters LV = "Likely Voters" |
||||||
|
*In the 2008 Presidential Election, the Voter Split was: R-32%, D-39%, I-29%. In the 2010 Midterm Election, it was: R-35%, D-35%, I-30%. |
||||||
|
The "sample split" indicates the number of Republicans (R), Democrats (D), and Independents (I) surveyed in the poll. |
||||||
