Winners & Losers from the ABC News GOP Presidential Debate in New Hampshire – 1/7/12

The ABC News GOP Presidential Debate in New Hampshire just ended, and it was a very strong night for Mitt Romney.

The first segment of the debate had some fireworks, with Gingrich initially taking a shot at Mitt Romney by quoting a New York Times hitpiece on Romney. That was a mistake. Romney, quite predictably, brushed that attack off by attacking the New York Times! He said he wasn’t surprised at such an attack from the Times, but he said he was surprised to see Gingrich using the New York Times to attack him.

Rick Santorum and Ron Paul had a tense back and forth, with Paul calling Santorum “corrupt,” and questioning his work as a “lobbyist.” Santorum essentially blew Paul off by repeatedly telling Paul he is “not a libertarian” like Paul is – a not so subtle attempt by Santorum to say to GOP voters that Paul is not a true Republican.

The most tense exchange may have been between Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich, with Paul attacking Gingrich for not serving in Vietnam, and Gingrich responding indignantly that he felt “personally offended” to be attacked that way when he was not even eligible for the draft, and since he grew up in a military family.

But following those exchanges early in the debate, it settled into a muddle of bizarre questions by the ABC moderators on “contraception” and “gay marriage.” They were obviously trying to trap the Republican candidates with gotcha questions. Mitt Romney did a great job in particular of not falling into a trap by George Stephanopoulos. He tried to get Romney to agree there was a “right to privacy” in the Constitution on the issue of contraception, intending to then move to how Romney can oppose abortion when it is built on the same “right to privacy.” But Romney would not fall for it, instead saying the question was silly because no state wants to ban contraception.

Overall, I think Rick Santorum did well with the questions. He came across as someone in command of the issues. He should continue to do well. His momentum should continue, but I don’t think it will be enough to overtake Mitt Romney as long as Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich are still in the race.

Gingrich had some great moments, particularly when he slammed the bias of the media against Christians and traditional values, and Rick Perry had some strong answers – but not many of them. For much of the debate, it was as if Perry was not even there.

Rating the candidates in order of performance tonight: (1) Mitt Romney (2)Rick Santorum (3) Newt Gingrich (4) Ron Paul (5) Rick Perry (6) Jon Huntsman. Romney really just dominated this debate. Again and again, he took questions and moved to the big picture – talking repeatedly about how this election is about what kind of country we are going to be. He went after Barack Obama rather than attacking his GOP rivals, for the most part, and came off looking very Presidential. Whether you are a Romney fan or not, I think you have to admit he came across really strong tonight.

  • Terence Perry

    This analysis is retarded and leaves out a lot of the full story on some of these exchanges for many of the candidates.

  • http://twitter.com/F_S_Solutions Mark Odom

    Complete foolishness.  Romney is a media and Presidential puppet

  • http://twitter.com/F_S_Solutions Mark Odom

    Complete foolishness.  Romney is a media and Presidential puppet

  • Anonymous

    Absolutely, it’s not a transcript of the debate. Just my take on how things went. You are free to have your own view. I’ll respect you enough not to call you names because you have a different view.

  • Anonymous

    But he came across very well tonight.

  • http://www.facebook.com/sam.bronstein Sam Bronstein

    Ron Paul had his best debate yet, politically speaking. He is a one man wrecking machine; he took out Perry and Gingrich, and he’s going to work on Santorum. Romney is his next target. I can’t believe you have Ron Paul as coming in fifth. I guess you rally don’t like him. You also disregarded his epic comeback to Newt that laughed the crown speechless. Romney was one, as he was inexplicably left untouched. Ron Paul was second. Jon Huntsman was third. The rest of them were all sort of in the same boat. Perry was good until he advocated going back into Iraq, something most hawkish neo-cons would not even advocate. Santorum sort of did nothing, which is not good. Ron Paul made him look back on the debt ceiling, and Santorum didn’t have an adequate response. Gingrich is done. He got skewered by Ron Paul, but he also looked good attacking Obama and the media bias, the way he got into first in the first place. Santorum is done because he is a big government liberal with an atrocious record, little fundraising prowess, and no national organization. Right now it is a two man race between Romney and Paul, albeit big advantage to Romney.

  • SteveS

    I thought Ron Paul came across very well tonight.  I will admit that Romney came across looking quick witted and polite.  So I would say that his overall image was helped by tonight’s debate.  However, I would say Ron Paul was clearly second in debate performance.  Gingrich said he was not eligible for the draft (which would have been 1963(?), I believe) at a time when LBJ’s administration was implementing the draft with a vengeance because he  was married and had a child.  However, that would not be the case.  So, Gingrich is lying, right?  Or am I mistaken.  I mean Newt was born in 1943, making him 20 at the height of LBJ’s ramping up the Vietnam War.  He might have escaped the draft through sheer luck, but he would not have been ineligible.  He might have asked for a deferment.  I don’t know.  Anyway, when Dr. Paul was drafted, he had two kids, but he went.  So the point is made.  As I see it, Gingrich is dead in this race.  He needs to bow out. 

  • http://www.facebook.com/stkimura Stephen Kimura

    Glad to know at least 1 other person was watching the same debate I was watching.

  • Anonymous

    Interesting observations, Sam. Yes, Ron Paul is a “one-man wrecking machine.” His attack on Gingrich did draw blood, but I’m not sure it will translate into MORE voters wanting to move to Ron Paul. We saw that with Michele Bachmann. She attacked, attacked, attacked, but it did not mean voters moved to her. The committed will stay with Ron Paul to be sure. He did not do poorly in this debate. I just did not feel he drew people to his side overall. 

  • Brad

    Ron Paul has to attack all the time and now bend the truth consistently to keep attention away from his ludicrous and devastating foreign policy.  He goes in directions that are embarrassing in terms of maintaining personal respect.  Unfortunately, in today’s culture, people love to see other people getting beat up.  He won’t win with it though.  Possibly just prevent the best candidate from winning – what a nice legacy. 

  • Brad

    I think the analysis is very good.  

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_GDILSA3KHSTTVHPDMTUAF6JGIY Bedlum

    According to all of the polls except one that I have seen on line Paul won the debate hands down.


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