Cost: Historical Analysis Shows Every President Below 50% in Mid-September in the Gallup Poll has Lost the Election; Obama at 47% – Chart
Jay Cost, at the Weekly Standard, has put together this chart showing where incumbent Presidents have been in the Gallup Poll in mid-September. As you see, and as Cost points out, every incumbent President who has been below 50% in mid-September has lost. Every incumbent President above 50% has ended up the winner. Right now, Barack Obama is at 47%. Read More from Jay Cost’s analysis.