2014 U.S. Senate Midterm Election Races – Polls and Projections

UPDATED 4/14/14 – Added 14 new polls from the past week (See top of table below).

We currently rate seven races in the “Tossup” category (AR, AK, CO, KY, LA, MI, IA), five Democrat seats and one GOP seat, with an additional four seats already projected as “GOP Takeaways” (MT, NC, SD, WV). Republicans need a net six takeaways to regain control of the Senate. Polls and projections on the thirty-five 2014 U.S. Senate Midterm Election races. Get the latest information on the Senate contests here.

The Democrats have a five-seat majority (55-45) when you include the two “Independents” who caucus with them. That means Republicans will have to net gain six seats to retake control of the U.S. Senate (If it is 50-50 with the two Independents voting with the Democrats, it would remain in Democratic control because the Vice-President would cast the tie-breaking vote). There are 35 races, 21 of them seats currently held by Democrats, and 14 by Republicans.

The 35 races (including special elections) are listed in the table below, with our latest projection for each race on the right column of the table. We have started listing polls on races where available. Notice that General Election matchup polls are listed, and also Primary Polls below the same poll if available. Averages are only listed for races already shaped up to be head-to-head between two candidates. As nominees for each party are selected, more averages will appear. Check back often for polling updates!

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2014 U.S. Senate Midterm Races – Polls & Projections
               
Current U.S. Senate: Democrats 53, Republicans 45, Independents 2 (Caucus with Dems)        
2014 Seats Contested: 21 Democrat, 14 Republican            
Current 2014 Senate Projection: Democrats 43, Republicans 48, Independents 2, Tossup 7
Totals = 35 Contested Races – GOP Hold 13, Democrat Hold 11, Tossup 7, GOP Takeaway 4, Dem Takeaway 0
MOST RECENT POLLS ADDED
ILLINOIS – Rasmussen (4/9-10/14): *D-Durbin 51%, R-Oberweis 37%
NEW HAMPSHIRE – Univ. of New Hampshire (4/1-9/14): *D-Shaheen 45%, R-Brown, 39% + Shaheen vs. Others
IOWA – Suffolk (4/3-8/14): D-Bruce Braley Leads 4 GOP Candidates
IOWA – Suffolk (4/3-8/14): GOP PRIMARY – Joni Ernst Leads the Field by 2 Pts.
ARKANSAS – Opinion Research (4/1-8/14): *D-Pryor 48%, R-Cotton 38%
NEW HAMPSHIRE – Public Policy Polling (4/7-8/14): *D-Shaheen 49%, R-Brown 41%
NEBRASKA – Rasmussen (4/7-8/14): R-Sasse 52%, D-Domina 27%; R-Osborn 48%, D-Domina 27%
NORTH CAROLINA – Public Policy Polling (4/3-6/14): *D-Kay Hagan trails Six GOP Candidates, Leads only One
NORTH CAROLINA – Public Policy Polling (4/3-6/14): GOP PRIMARY – Thom Tillis Leading by 3 pts.
MICHIGAN – Public Policy Polling (4/3-6/14): D-Peters 41%, R-Land 36%
MISSISSIPPI – Harper Polling (4/3-5/14): GOP PRIMARY – *Cochran 52%, McDaniel 35%
KENTUCKY – Public Policy Polling/MoveOn (4/1-2-/14): D-Grimes 45%, *R-McConnell 44%
VIRGINIA – Public Policy Polling/MoveOn (4/1-2-/14): *D-Warner 49%, R-Gillespie 35%
ARKANSAS – Talk Business/Hendrix College (4/3-4/14): *D-Pryor 46%, R-Cotton 43%
OREGON – Harper Polling (4/1-2/14): *D-Merkley, 47%, R-Conger, 40%; *D-Merkley, 46%, R-Wheby, 34%
MICHIGAN – MRG (3/24-28/14): R-Land, 40%, D-Peters, 38%
MINNESOTA – Magellan (3/25-26/14): *D-Franken, 44%, R-Ortman, 41%; *D-Franken, 44%, R-McFadden, 38%
MISSISSIPPI – NSON Opinion (3/24-28/14): GOP Primary – *Cochran, 45%, McDaniel, 37%
MISSISSIPPI – Rasmussen (3/26-29/14): GOP Primary – *Cochran, 48%, McDaniel, 31%
NORTH CAROLINA – Survey USA (3/27-31/14): Five GOP Candidates Leading Democrat Incumbent Kay Hagan
NORTH CAROLINA – Survey USA (3/27-31/14): GOP Primary – Thom Tillis Leading by 8 pts.
 
*Denotes Incumbent Senator              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
               
ALABAMA *(R) Jeff Sessions vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
ALASKA *(D) Mark Begich vs. (R) Joe Miller, Mead Treadwell, TOSSUP
  Dan Sullivan,  Sarah Palin?, Kathleen Tonn?, John Jaramillo?    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 3/19-20/14 LV Treadwell, 47% Begich, 44%   +3    
    Sullivan, 44% Begich, 44%   Tie    
               
Hays Research 2/9/14 LV Sullivan, 33% Begich, 45% Miller, 10% +12    
               
Harper Polling 1/20-22/14 LV Treadwell, 47% Begich, 41%   +6    
    Sullivan, 47% Begich, 41%   +6    
    Miller, 32% Begich, 51%   +19    
               
Public Policy Polling 1/30-2/1/14 RV Sullivan, 37% Begich, 41%   +4    
    Palin, 40% Begich, 44%   +4    
    Treadwell, 37% Begich, 43%   +6    
    Miller, 25% Begich, 45%   +20    
               
AVG.              
ARKANSAS *(D) Mark Pryor vs. (R) Tom Cotton TOSSUP
Poll Poll Date Cotton-R Pryor-D Ind. Margin    
Talk Business/Hendrix College 4/3-4/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
Opinion Research 4/1-8/14 LV 38% 48%   +10    
Hickman Analytics 2/17-20/14 LV 51% 42%   +9    
Impact Management 2/12/14 LV 46% 42%   +4    
Rasmussen 2/4-5/14 LV 45% 40%   +5    
Harper Polling 1/26-27/14 LV 42% 36%   +6    
Public Policy Polling 12/13-15/13 RV 44% 44%   Tie    
               
AVG.   44.6% 43.6%   +1.0    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
COLORADO *(D) Mark Udall vs. (R) Cory Gardner, Randy Baumgardner, Owen Hill, Ken Buck,  TOSSUP
    Jamie MacMillan?, Amy Stephens?, Mark Aspiri?    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 3/14-16/14 RV Garner, 40% Udall, 42%   +2    
    Hill, 38% Udall, 43%   +5    
    Baumgardner, 37% Udall, 44%   +7    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Gardner, 44%     +29    
    Baumgardner, 15%          
    Hill, 6%          
    Janich, 4%          
    Aspiri, 3%          
    Trujillo, 0%          
               
Rasmussen 3/5-6/14 LV Gardner, 41% Udall, 42%   +1    
               
Quinnipiac 1/29-2/2/14 Baumgardner, 41% Udall, 43%   +2    
    Stephens, 41% Udall, 43%   +2    
    Buck, 42% Udall, 45%   +3    
    Hill, 39% Udall, 44%    +5    
    MacMillan, 38%  Udall, 45%   +7    
               
Public Policy Polling 12/3-4/12 Baumgardner, 40% Udall, 47%   +7    
    Buck, 42% Udall, 46%   +4    
    Hill, 37% Udall, 44%   +7    
    Stephens, 37% Udall, 44%   +7    
               
Quinnipiac 11/15-18/13 RV Buck, 42% Udall, 45%   +3    
    Baumgardner, 39% Udall, 44%   +5    
    Hill, 39% Udall, 45%   +6    
    MacMillan, 40% Udall, 43%   +3    
    Stephens, 38% Udall, 45%   +7    
    Aspiri, 36% Udall, 45%   +9    
               
AVG.              
DELAWARE *(D) Chris Coons vs. (R) Christine O’Donnell?, Tom Kovach? DEM HOLD
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
GEORGIA – *(R) Saxby Chambliss Retiring (R) Paul Broun, Phil Gingrey, Karen Handel, Jack Kingston, David Perdue, vs. GOP HOLD
    (D) Michelle Nunn, Todd Robinson, Steen Miles    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Landmark / Rosetta Stone 3/23-24/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Perdue, 21%     +6    
    Broun, 15%          
    Kingston, 15%          
    Gingrey, 13%          
    Handel, 10%          
               
Survey USA 3/16-18/14            
  GOP PRIMARY Perdue, 29%     +10    
  (May 20) Kingston, 19%          
    Gingrey, 12%          
    Broun, 11%          
    Handel, 10%          
               
Public Policy Polling 3/5-6/14 RV Broun, 43% Nunn, 43%   Tie    
    Gingrey, 40% Nunn, 42%   +2    
    Handel, 39% Nunn, 43%   +4    
    Kingston, 41% Nunn, 44%    +3    
               
The Polling Company 1/31-2/1/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Gingrey, 19%     +5    
    Handel, 14%          
    Broun, 13%          
    Kingston, 11%          
    Perdue, 8%          
               
Public Policy Polling (PPP) 1/24-26/14 RV Broun, 41% Nunn, 42%   +1    
    Gingrey, 41% Nunn, 45%   +4    
    Handel, 40% Nunn, 44%   +4    
    Kingston, 42% Nunn, 44%   +2    
               
AVG.              
HAWAII – (D) Inouye Death; Schatz apptd; *(D) Brian Schatz, Colleen Hanabusa vs. (R) Charles Djou? DEM HOLD
                     Special Election        
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Honolulu Civil Beat / MRG 2/12-15/14 LV            
  DEMOCRAT PRIMARY Hanabusa, 40%   Tie    
      Schatz, 40%        
Honolulu Star-Advertiser 2/1-11/14 RV            
  DEMOCRAT PRIMARY Hanabusa, 48%   +8    
      Schatz, 40%        
               
AVG.              
IOWA – *(D) Tom Harkin Retiring (D) Bruce Braley vs. (R) Matt Whitaker, Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, David Young, Mark Jacobs, TOSSUP
    Bob Vander Plaats?    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Suffolk 4/3-8/14 LV Jacobs, 31% Braley, 37%   +6    
    Ernst, 30% Braley, 38%   +8    
    Whitaker, 27% Braley, 38%   +11    
    Clovis, 25% Braley, 38%   +13    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Ernst, 25%     +2    
    Jacobs, 23%          
    Clovis, 7%          
    Whitaker, 4%          
    Schaben, 1%          
               
               
Rasmussen 3/24-25/14 LV Jacobs, 38% Braley, 41%   +3    
    Ernst, 37% Braley, 40%   +3    
    Whitaker, 36% Braley, 40%   +4    
    Clovis, 31% Braley, 44%   +13    
               
Quinnipiac 3/5-10/14 RV Jacobs, 31% Braley, 40%   +9    
    Whitaker, 30% Braley, 42%   +12    
    Ernst, 29% Braley, 42%   +13    
    Clovis, 27% Braley, 42%   +15    
               
Public Policy Polling 2/20-23/14 RV Jacobs, 35% Braley, 41%   +6    
    Ernst, 35% Braley, 41%   +6    
    Whitaker, 34% Braley, 40%   +6    
    Clovis, 34% Braley, 42%   +8    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Jacobs, 20%     +7    
    Ernst, 13%          
    Whitaker, 11%          
    Clovis, 8%          
    Lunde, 3%          
    Schaben, 3%          
               
Hill Research 2/12-13/14 LV Jacobs, 42% Braley, 41%   +1    
  GOP PRIMARY            
    Jacobs, 22%     +11    
    Ernst, 11%          
    Whitaker, 8%          
    Clovis, 6%           
               
Quinnipiac 12/10-15/13 RV Whitaker, 40% Braley, 43%   +3    
    Ernst, 38% Braley, 44%   +6    
    Jacobs, 37% Braley, 46%   +9    
    Young, 36% Braley, 44%   +8    
    Clovis, 34% Braley, 45%   +11    
    Vander Plaats, 40% Braley, 46%   +6    
               
Harper Polling 11/23-24/13 Generic, 42% Generic, 38%   +4    
    Clovis, 35% Braley, 40%   +5    
    Ernst, 36% Braley, 42%   +6    
    Jacobs, 37% Braley, 41%   +4    
    Whitaker, 38% Braley, 41%   +3    
    Young, 35% Braley, 41%   +6    
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
IDAHO *(R) Jim Risch vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
ILLINOIS *(D) Dick Durbin vs.(R) Chad Koppie, Jim Oberweis, Doug Truax DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 4/9-10/14 LV Oberweis, 37% Durbin, 51%   +14    
               
Chicago Tribune/WGN 2/5-8/14 RV            
  GOP PRIMARY Oberweis, 52%     +37    
    Truax, 15%          
               
Public Policy Polling 11/22-25/13 Koppie, 35% Durbin, 52%   +17    
    Oberweis, 36% Durbin, 51%   +15    
    Truax, 33% Durbin, 51%   +18    
               
AVG.              
KANSAS *(R) Pat Roberts, Milton Wolf vs. (D) Chad Taylor, Kathleen Sebelius? GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 2/18-20/14 RV Roberts, 48% Taylor, 32%   +16    
    Roberts, 52% Sebelius, 38%   +14    
    Wolf, 33% Taylor, 32%   +1    
    Wolf, 46% Sebelius, 39%   +7    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Roberts, 49%     +26    
    Wolf, 23%          
               
               
AVG.              
KENTUCKY *(R) Mitch McConnell, Matt Bevin vs. (D) Alison Lundgren Grimes, Greg Leichty,  TOSSUP
    Ed Marksberry, Bennie Smith    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling/MoveOn 4/1-2/14 RV McConnell, 44% Grimes, 45%   +1    
               
Wenzel Strategies 2/8-11/14 RV McConnell, 43% Grimes, 42%   +1    
    Bevin, 36% Grimes, 39%   +3    
               
  GOP PRIMARY McConnell, 59%     +42    
    Bevin, 17%          
               
Survey USA 1/30-2/3/14 RV McConnell, 42% Grimes, 46%   +4    
    Bevin, 38% Grimes, 43%   +5    
               
  GOP Primary McConnell, 55%     +26    
    Bevin, 29%          
               
Rasmussen 1/29-30/14 LV McConnell, 42% Grimes, 42%   Tie    
               
Public Policy Polling 1/24-26/14 RV McConnell, 45% Grimes, 44%   +1    
               
Gravis 1/2/14 RV McConnell, 42% Grimes, 37%   +5    
               
  GOP Primary McConnell, 53%     +22    
    Bevin, 31%          
               
Public Policy Polling 12/12-15/13 RV McConnell, 43% Grimes, 42%   +1    
    Bevin, 39% Grimes, 38%   +1    
               
  GOP Primary McConnell, 53%     +27    
    Bevin, 26%          
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
LOUISIANA -Jungle Primary (Nov. 4); *(D) Mary Landrieu vs. (R) Bill Cassidy, Rob Maness, Paul Hollis TOSSUP
Candidate wins with 50%+1; If not, top two              
in runoff on Dec. 6, 2014              
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Primary Margin    
Public Policy Polling 2/6-9/14 RV            
  RUNOFF MATCHUPS Cassidy, 44% Landrieu, 45%   +1    
    Maness, 42% Landrieu, 47%   +5    
        Hollis, 42% Landrieu, 48%   +6    
               
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu, 43% +18    
        Cassidy, 25%      
        Hollis, 5%      
        Maness, 3%      
               
Rasmussen 1/28-29/14 LV Cassidy, 44% Landrieu, 40%   +4    
               
Harper Polling 1/19-20/14 LV Cassidy, 45% Landrieu, 44%   +1    
               
Southern Media/Opinion Research 11/6-12/13 RV Cassidy, 34% Landrieu, 41%   +7    
    Maness, 10%          
               
     
AVG.              
MAINE *(R) Susan Collins vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
MASSACHUSETTS *(D) Ed Markey vs.(R) Gabriel Gomez? DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
MICHIGAN – *(D) Carl Levin Retiring (D) Gary Peters, Terry Whitney vs. (R) Terri Lynn Land, Rob Steele?, John Rakolta? TOSSUP
         
Poll Poll Date Land Peters Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 4/3-6/14 RV 36% 41%   +5    
Marketing Resource Group 3/24-28/14 LV 40% 38%   +2    
LE&A / Denno Research 3/8-9/14 LV 37% 40%   +3    
Clarity Campaigns (D) 2/22-23/14 RV 40% 46%   +6    
EPIC-MRA 2/5-11/14 LV 41% 38%   +3    
Harper Polling/Conservative Intel 1/19-20/14 LV 42% 37%   +5    
Rasmussen 1/14-15/14 LV 37% 35%   +2    
Harper Polling/Conservative Intel 1/7-8/14 LV 44% 36%   +8    
Public Policy Polling 12/5-8/13 42% 40%   +2    
LE&A / Denno Research 11/12-14/13 LV 36% 37%   +1    
               
AVG.   38.8% 40.6%   +1.8    
MINNESOTA *(D) Al Franken vs.(R) Mike McFadden, Jim Abeler, Julianne Ortman, Chris Dahlberg, DEM HOLD
    Monti Moreno    
Poll Poll Date GOP Franken Ind. Margin    
Magellan Strategies 3/25-26/14 RV Ortman, 41% Franken, 44%   +3    
    McFadden, 38% Franken, 44%   +6    
               
Survey USA 2/25-27/14 RV McFadden, 40% Franken, 50%   +10    
    Dahlberg, 41% Franken, 49%   +8    
    Abeler, 37% Franken, 49%   +12    
    Shudlick, 36% Franken, 50%   +14    
    Moreno, 36% Franken, 50%   +14    
               
Public Policy Polling 10/27-29/13 Abeler, 39% Franken, 50%   +11    
    Dahlberg, 39% Franken, 49%   +10    
    McFadden, 38% Franken, 49%   +11    
    Ortman, 37% Franken, 49%   +12    
    Moreno, 36% Franken, 49%   +13    
               
AVG.              
MISSISSIPPI *(R) Thad Cochran?, Chris McDaniel? vs. (D) Travis Childers, Jim Hood?, Ronnie Musgrove? GOP HOLD
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Harper Polling 4/3-5/14 LV            
  GOP PRIMARY Cochran, 52%     +17    
    McDaniel, 35%          
               
NSON Opinion 3/24-28/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Cochran, 45%     +8    
    McDaniel, 37%          
Rasmussen 3/26-29/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Cochran, 48%     +17    
    McDaniel, 31%          
Harper Polling 12/17-18/13 LV            
  GOP Primary Cochran, 54%     +23    
    McDaniel, 31%          
Gravis Marketing 12/13/13 RV            
  GOP Primary Cochran, 40%     Tie    
    McDaniel, 40%          
               
Public Policy Polling 11/15-17/13 RV Cochran, 50% Childers, 33%   +17    
    Cochran, 50% Musgrove, 37%   +13    
    Cochran, 45% Hood, 43%   +2    
               
  GOP Primary Cochran, 44%     +6    
    McDaniel, 38%          
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
MONTANA – *(D) Max Baucus Retiring (D) John Walsh?, John Bohlinger?, Dirk Adams?, Shane Colton?, Frank Wilmer? vs. GOP TAKEAWAY
    (R) Champ Edmunds, Steve Daines    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 3/17-18/14 LV Daines, 51% Walsh, 37%   +14    
               
Harper Polling 1/20-22/14 LV Daines, 43% Walsh, 29%   +14    
    Daines, 43% Bohlinger, 32%   +11    
    Daines, 44% Adams, 20%   +24    
               
Public Policy Polling 11/15-17/13 RV Daines, 51% Bohlinger, 36%   +15    
    Daines, 52% Walsh, 35%   +17    
    Edmunds, 39% Bohlinger, 37%   +2    
    Edmunds, 38% Walsh, 36%   +2    
               
  GOP Primary Daines, 66%     +59    
    Edmunds, 7%          
               
  Democrat Primary   Walsh, 39%   +8    
      Bohlinger, 31%        
      Adams, 3%        
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
NEBRASKA – *(R) Mike Johanns Retiring (R) Shane Osborn, Ben Sasse, Sid Dinsdale, Bart McLeahy vs. GOP HOLD
    (D) David Domina, Kim Robak?, Chris Beutler?, Jim Rodgers?    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 4/7-8/14 LV Sasse, 52% Domina, 27%   +25    
    Osborn, 48% Domina, 27%   +21    
               
Harper 2/3-4/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Osborn, 30%     +1    
    Sasse, 29%          
    Dinsdale, 13%          
    McLeahy, 4%          
               
AVG.              
NEW HAMPSHIRE *(D) Jeanne Shaheen vs.(R) Bob Smith?, Jim Rubens, Charlie Bass?,  DEM HOLD
    Karen Testerman, Scott Brown    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 4/7-8/14 RV Brown, 41% Shaheen, 49%   +8    
               
Univ. of New Hampshire 4/1-9/14 LV Brown, 39% Shaheen, 45%   +6    
    Smith, 34% Shaheen, 48%   +14    
    Rubens, 27% Shaheen, 48%   +21    
    Testerman, 25% Shaheen, 48%   +23    
               
American Research Group 3/13-16/14 RV Brown, 38% Shaheen, 50%   +12    
               
Rasmussen 3/12-13/14 LV Brown, 41% Shaheen, 50%   +9    
               
Suffolk 2/27-3/5/14 Brown, 39% Shaheen, 52%   +13    
    Rubens, 29% Shaheen, 52%   +23    
    Martin, 27% Shaheen, 52%   +25    
    Smith, 32% Shaheen, 53%   +21    
    Testerman, 29% Shaheen, 52%    +23    
               
Public Policy Polling 2/19-20/14 RV Brown, 39% Shaheen, 47%   +8    
               
Harper Polling 1/22-23/14 LV Brown, 35% Shaheen, 40%   +5    
               
Gravis 1/29-30/14 RV            
  GOP Primary Brown, 51%     +29    
    Smith, 22%          
               
Purple Strategies 1/21-23/14 LV Brown, 44% Shaheen, 44%   Tie    
               
Public Policy Polling 1/9-12/14 RV Brown, 43% Shaheen, 46%   +3    
    Smith, 34% Shaheen, 48%   +14    
    Rubens, 33% Shaheen, 49%   +16    
    Testerman, 30% Shaheen, 47%   +17    
               
American Research Group 12/13-16/13 RV Brown, 38% Shaheen, 48%   +10    
    Smith, 32% Shaheen, 50%   +18    
               
AVG.              
NEW JERSEY – (D) Frank Lautenberg died; *(D) Cory Booker, Frank Pallone? vs. (R) Murray Sabrin, Steve Lonegan? DEM HOLD
       (D) Cory Booker won  Special Election        
               
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Monmouth University 2/19-23/14 RV Sabrin, 25% Booker, 58%   +33    
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
NEW MEXICO *(D) Tom Udall vs.(R) Allen Weh DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 3/20-23/14 RV Clements, 33% Udall, 55%   +22    
    Weh, 33% Udall, 53%   +20    
               
AVG.              
NORTH CAROLINA *(D) Kay Hagan vs. (R) Thom Tillis, Greg Brannon, Mark Harris, Heather Grant, Bill Flynn GOP Takeaway
    Edward Kryn, Ted Alexander          
Poll Poll Date GOP Hagan Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 4/3-6/14 RV Grant, 43% Hagan, 39%   +4    
    Harris, 44% Hagan, 40%   +4    
    Brannon, 42% Hagan, 40%   +2    
    Bradshaw, 42% Hagan, 41%   +1    
    Alexander, 43% Hagan, 42%   +1    
    Kryn, 41% Hagan, 40%   +1    
    Snyder, 41% Hagan, 41%   Tie    
    Tillis, 41% Hagan, 43%   +2    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Tillis, 18%     +3    
    Brannon, 15%          
    Harris, 11%          
    Grant, 7%          
    Alexander, 6%          
    Bradshaw, 5%          
    Snyder, 2%          
    Kryn, 1%          
               
Survey USA 3/27-31/14 RV Harris, 47% Hagan, 43%   +4    
    Grant, 46% Hagan, 44%   +2    
    Brannon, 47% Hagan, 45%   +2    
    Alexander, 46% Hagan, 44%   +2    
    Tillis, 46% Hagan, 45%   +1    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Tillis, 23%     +8    
  (May 6) Brannon, 15%          
    Harris, 11%          
    Grant, 6%          
    Alexander, 6%          
               
Survey USA 3/17-19/14 LV            
  GOP PRIMARY Tillis, 28%     +13    
  (May 6) Brannon, 15%          
    Grant, 11%          
    Alexander, 7%          
    Harris, 6%          
    Bradshaw, 4%          
               
Public Policy Polling 3/6-9/14 RV Alexander, 45% Hagan, 43%   +2    
    Snyder, 43% Hagan, 42%   +1    
    Bradshaw, 43% Hagan, 43%   Tie    
    Harris, 43% Hagan, 43%   Tie    
    Brannon, 43% Hagan, 43%   Tie    
    Grant, 42% Hagan, 43%   +1    
    Kryn, 41% Hagan, 43%   +2    
    Tillis, 43% Hagan, 45%   +2    
               
Public Policy Polling 2/6-9/14 RV Alexander, 45% Hagan, 38%   +7    
    Brannon, 43% Hagan, 40%   +3    
    Flynn, 44% Hagan, 42%   +2    
    Grant, 41% Hagan, 39%   +2    
    Harris, 42% Hagan, 40%   +2    
    Tillis, 42% Hagan, 40%   +2    
    Kryn, 40% Hagan, 40%   Tie    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Tillis, 20%     +7    
    Brannon, 13%          
    Grant, 13%          
    Alexander, 10%          
    Harris, 8%          
    Kryn, 2%          
               
Rasmussen 1/22-23/14 LV Tillis, 47% 40%   +7    
    Brannon, 43% 39%   +4    
               
Harper Polling 1/20-21/14 LV Tillis, 44% 44%   Tie    
    Harris, 40% 44%   +4    
               
Public Policy Polling 1/9-12/14 RV Brannon, 43% 41%   +2    
    Flynn, 44% 42%   +2    
    Grant, 42% 41%   +1    
    Tillis, 43% 42%   +1    
               
  GOP Primary Tillis, 19%     +8    
    Brannon, 11%          
    Grant, 11%          
    Harris, 8%          
    Flynn, 7%          
               
Public Policy Polling 12/5-8/13 Brannon, 45% 43%   +2    
    Flynn, 45% 43%   +2    
    Grant, 43% 43%   Tie    
    Harris, 43% 43%   Tie    
    Tillis, 42% 44%   +2    
               
Public Policy Polling 11/8-11/13 RV Tillis, 42% 44%   +2    
    Grant, 40% 43%   +3    
    Harris, 41% 43%   +2    
    Brannon, 44% 43%   +1    
               
  GOP Primary Tillis, 20%     +6    
    Harris, 14%          
    Brannon, 11%          
    Grant, 8%          
               
     
AVG.              
OKLAHOMA – *R – Tom Coburn *(R) James Lankford?, J.C. Watts?, James Weger?, TW Shannon? vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
       Retiring (Special Election)        
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Harper Polling 1/30-2/1/14 LV            
  GOP Primary Watts, 40%     +3    
    Lankford, 37%          
    Weger, 8%          
    Shannon, 2%          
AVG.              
OKLAHOMA *(R) Jim Inhofe vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
               
OREGON *(D) Jeff Merkley vs.(R) Jason Conger, Jo Rae Perkins, Sam Carpenter, Monica Wehby? DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Harper Polling 4/1-2/14 LV Conger, 40% Merkley, 47%   +7    
    Wheby, 34% Merkley, 46%   +12    
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
RHODE ISLAND *(D) Jack Reed vs.(R) Undetermined DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
SOUTH CAROLINA *(R) Lindsey Graham, Nancy Mace, Richard Cash, Bill Connor, Lee Bright? vs. GOP HOLD
    (D) Jay Stamper    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Winthrop Univ. 2/16-23/14 LV            
  GOP PRIMARY  Graham, 45%     +36    
  (All LV) Bright, 9%          
    Mace, 4%          
    Connor, 4%          
    Cash, 3%          
               
  GOP PRIMARY (Tea Graham, 34%     +20    
  Party Voters) Bright, 14%          
    Connor, 5%          
    Cash, 4%          
    Mace, 4%          
               
Harper Polling 10/27-28/13 LV Graham, 47% Stamper, 30%   +17    
    Mace, 40% Stamper, 33%   +7    
               
  GOP PRIMARY Graham, 51%     +36    
    Bright, 15%          
    Mace, 4%          
    Connor, 4%          
    Cash, 4%          
               
AVG.              
SOUTH CAROLINA – *(R) Tim Scott *(R) Tim Scott vs. (D) Rick Wade? GOP HOLD
(Jim DeMint Resigned, Scott Appointed)   (D) Michelle Nunn, Todd Robinson, Steen Miles    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
SOUTH DAKOTA -  (D) Rick Weiland vs. (R) Gov. Mike Rounds, Bill Napoli, Larry Rhoden,  GOP TAKEAWAY
*(D) Tim Johnson Retiring   Stace Nelson, Annette Bosworth    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 2/25-26/14 LV Rounds, 51% Weiland, 31%   +20    
               
AVG.              
TENNESSEE *(R) Lamar Alexander, Joe Carr, Brenda Lenard, Danny Paige vs. (D) Larry Crim GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
North Star Opinion ?            
  GOP PRIMARY Alexander, 62%     +45    
    Carr, 17%          
    Lenard, 2%          
    Paige, 1%          
               
Middle Tenn. State U. 1/23-26/14 RV Alexander, 47%     +40    
    Carr, 7%          
               
AVG.              
TEXAS   *(R) John Cornyn, Steve Stockman vs. (D) Kesha Rogers, GOP HOLD
      David Alameel, Maxey Scherr, Harry Kim        
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Univ. Texas/Texas Tribune 2/7-17/14 RV            
  GOP PRIMARY Cornyn, 62%     +46    
    Stockman, 16%          
    Vega, 7%          
    Stovall, 4%          
    Cope, 4%          
    Reasor, 3%          
    Mapp, 3%          
    Cleaver, 1%          
               
  DEMOCRAT PRIMARY Rogers, 35%    +8    
      Alameel, 27%        
      Scherr, 15%        
      Kim, 14%        
      Fjteland, 9%        
               
Gravis Marketing 2/10-12/14 LV            
  GOP PRIMARY Cornyn, 43%     +15    
    Stockman, 28%          
               
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion  Research 12/10-11/13 Cornyn, 50%     +42    
    Stockman, 6%          
    Others, 5%          
               
AVG.              
VIRGINIA *(D) Mark Warner vs.(R) Ed Gillespie, Bob Marshall?, Howie Lind? Vs. DEM HOLD
    (Libertarian) Robert Sarvis    
Poll Poll Date Gillespie-R Warner-D Sarvis (Lib) Margin    
Public Policy Polling/MoveOn 4/1-2/14 RV 35% 49%   +14    
Quinnipiac 3/19-24/14 RV 31% 46% 6% +15    
Roanoke College 2/22-28/14 RV 29% 56%   +27    
Harper Polling 2/4-5/14 LV 38% 44%   +6    
Rasmussen 1/20-21/14 LV 37% 51%   +14    
Christopher Newport Univ. 1/15-22/14 RV 30% 50%   +20    
Roanoke College 1/13-17/14 RV 21% 50%   +29    
               
AVG.   33.3% 48.8% 6.0% +15.5    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
WEST VIRGINIA -  (D) Natalie Tennant, Sheiri Fletcher, David Wamsley vs.  GOP TAKEAWAY
(D) Jay Rockefeller Retiring   (R) Shelley Moore Capito, Pat McGeehan, Cody Regan?    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 2/19-20/14 LV Capito, 49% Tennant, 35%   +14    
               
Harper Polling 9/24-25/13 LV Capito, 51% Tennant, 34%   +17    
               
               
               
AVG.              
WYOMING *(R) Mike Enzi, Thomas Beleming vs. (D) Undetermined GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
The Wickers Group 10/25-28/13 LV Enzi, 69%     +52    
    Cheney, 17%          
               
AVG.