2014 U.S. Senate Midterm Election Races – Polls and Projections

UPDATE # 2, 10/30/14 – Added another 10 new polls. McConnell +5 in Kentucky; UNH poll has Shaheen +8 in New Hampshire. UPDATED 10/30/14 – Added 6 new polls. A new Univ. of Arkansas poll shows Tom Cotton pulling away from Dem Sen. Mark Pryor. in Colorado, Quinnipiac has Republican Cory Gardner +7 over Dem Sen. Mark Udall. More updates if additional polls come out . . (Details in table under each state).

We currently rate eight races as “GOP Takeaway,” and one race as “Independent Takeaway,” which would give Republicans a 52-45-3 Majority in the U.S. Senate.

Our final projection will come the morning of Election Day after the final polls are added to the table, but before voting begins.

The Democrats currently have a five-seat majority (55-45) when you include the two “Independents” who caucus with them. That means Republicans will have to net gain six seats to retake control of the U.S. Senate (If it is 50-50 with the two Independents voting with the Democrats, it would remain in Democratic control because the Vice-President would cast the tie-breaking vote). There are 36 races, 21 of them seats currently held by Democrats, and 15 by Republicans.

The 36 races (including special elections) are listed in the table below, with our latest projection for each race on the right column of the table. We have listed polls on races where available. We will now use polls from the last 20 days to figure the average (unless fewer than 3 polls are available). Check back often for polling updates!

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2014 U.S. Senate Midterm Races – Polls & Projections
               
Current U.S. Senate: Democrats 53, Republicans 45, Independents 2 (Caucus with Dems)        
2014 Seats Contested: 21 Democrat, 15 Republican (One Special Election – OK, Coburn Retiring)        
Current 2014 Senate Projection (No Tossups): Republicans 52, Democrats 45, Independents 3
Totals = 36 Contested Races – GOP Hold 14, Democrat Hold 13, GOP Takeaway 8, Independent Takeaway 1, Dem Takeaway 0
Key State Polling Averages & Current Projections (Scroll down for details)
Alaska -GOP Takeaway +2.5   Louisiana – GOP Takeaway  12/6 Runoff +4.4  
Arkansas – GOP Takeaway +6.2   Michigan – Dem Hold   +12.2  
Colorado - GOP Takeaway +3.2   Montana – GOP Takeaway   +15.6  
Georgia - GOP Hold +1.4   New Hampshire – Dem Hold   +3.0  
Iowa – GOP Takeaway +2.0   North Carolina – Dem Hold   +0.2  
Kansas - IND Takeaway +0.8   South Dakota – GOP Takeaway   +11.3  
Kentucky – GOP Hold +5.5   West Virginia – GOP Takeaway   +16.6  
             
MOST RECENT POLLS ADDED (Margin of Individual Poll Indicated)
10/30/14 GA tie, KY +5, NH tie, NH +8, NC +1, NC +1, NC +5, NC tie, CO +2, CO +3, AR +13, CO +7, IL +10, MI +15, NC +4, AK +4
*Denotes Incumbent Senator              
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
               
ALABAMA *(R) Jeff Sessions vs. (D) Unopposed GOP HOLD
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
               
               
AVG.              
ALASKA *(D) Mark Begich vs. (R) Dan Sullivan vs. (L) Mark Fish GOP TAKEAWAY
       
Poll Poll Date R-Sullivan *D-Begich L-Fish Margin    
Moore Information 10/26-28/14 LV 42% 38%   +4    
Ivan Moore 10/24-26/14 LV 42% 48%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 48% 44%   +4    
Rasmussen 10/8-12/14 LV 48% 45%   +3    
Fox News 10/4-7/14 LV 44% 40%   +4    
CNN/Opinion Research 10/1-6/14 LV 50% 44%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 48% 42%   +6    
Rasmussen 9/23-24/14 LV 48% 43%   +5    
Public Policy Polling 9/18-21/14 LV 45% 42%   +3    
Dittman Research 9/14-17/14 LV 49% 43%   +6    
Hays Research 9/13-14/14 LV 36% 41%   +5    
Harstad Strategic Research 9/7-10/14 LV 40% 45% 6% +5    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 44% 38%   +6    
Rasmussen 8/20-21/14 LV 47% 45%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 7/31-8/3/14 RV 41% 45%   +4    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 37% 49%   +12    
               
AVG.   45.7% 43.2%   +2.5    
ARKANSAS *(D) Mark Pryor vs. (R) Tom Cotton GOP TAKEAWAY
Poll Poll Date Cotton-R Pryor-D Ind. Margin    
The Arkansas Poll (Univ. of Arkansas) 10/21-27/14 LV 49% 36%   +13    
NBC News/Marist 10/18-22/14 LV 45% 43%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 47% 42%   +5    
Talk Business/Hendrix College 10/15-16/14 LV 49% 41%   +8    
Rasmussen 10/13-15/14 LV 47% 44%   +3    
Fox News 10/4-7/14 LV 46% 39%   +7    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 45% 41%   +4    
Rasmussen 9/24-25/14 LV 47% 40%   +7    
USA Today/Suffolk 9/20-23/14 LV 43% 45%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 9/18-21/14 LV 45% 39%   +6    
NBC News/Marist 9/2-4/14 LV 45% 40%   +5    
CNN/Opinion Research 8/28-9/2/14 LV 49% 47%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 43% 39%   +4    
Rasmussen 8/25-26/14 LV 43% 44%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 8/1-3/14 RV 43% 41%   +2    
Anzalone Liszt Grove 7/20-24/14 LV 46% 48%   +2    
Talk Business Poll 7/22-25/14 LV 44% 42%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 50% 46%   +4    
Gravis Marketing 7/7-8/14 RV 51% 43%   +8    
Impact Management 6/29/14 RV 47% 43%   +4    
OnMessage 6/11-12/14 LV 47% 40%   +7    
Magellan Strategies 6/4-5/14 LV 49% 45%   +4    
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates 6/3-5/14 LV 51% 43%   +8    
Public Opinion Strategies 5/27-29/14 LV 46% 41%   +5    
Rasmussen 5/27-28/14 LV 47% 43%   +4    
OnMessage 5/6-8/14 LV 42% 40%   +2    
NBC News/Marist 4/30-5/4/14 RV 40% 51%   +11    
Public Policy Polling 4/25-27/14 LV 42% 43%   +1    
NYT/Kaiser (D) 4/8-15/14 RV 36% 46%   +10    
Harper Polling 4/9-10/14  39% 39%   Tie    
Talk Business/Hendrix College 4/3-4/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
Opinion Research 4/1-8/14 LV 38% 48%   +10    
Anzalone Liszt Grove 3/27-4/2/14 RV 45% 48%   +3    
Hickman Analytics 2/17-20/14 LV 51% 42%   +9    
Impact Management 2/12/14 LV 46% 42%   +4    
Rasmussen 2/4-5/14 LV 45% 40%   +5    
Harper Polling 1/26-27/14 LV 42% 36%   +6    
Public Policy Polling 12/13-15/13 RV 44% 44%   Tie    
               
AVG.   47.4% 41.2%   +6.2    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
COLORADO *(D) Mark Udall vs. (R) Cory Gardner vs. (I) Steve Shogan GOP TAKEAWAY
         
Poll Poll Date R-Cory Gardner *D-Mark Udall I-Shogan Margin    
Denver Post/Survey USA 10/27-29/14 LV 46% 44%   +2    
Vox Populi Polling 10/26-27/14 LV 46% 43%   +3    
Quinnipiac 10/22-27/14 LV 46% 39%   +7    
Rasmussen 10/21-23/14 LV 51% 45%   +6    
NBC News/Marist 10/18-22/14 LV 46% 45%   +1    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 46% 47%   +1    
Quinnipiac 10/15-21/14 LV 46% 41% 5% +5    
USA Today / Suffolk 10/18-21/14 LV 46% 39%   +7    
Monmouth 10/17-20/14 LV 47% 46%   +1    
Reuters/Ipsos 10/13-20/14 LV 47% 45%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 10/16-19/14 LV 47% 44%   +3    
Quinnipiac 10/8-13/14 LV 47% 41%   +6    
CNN/Opinion Research 10/9-13/14 LV 50% 46%   +4    
Denver Post/Survey USA 10/9-12/14 LV 45% 43%   +2    
High Point 9/30-10/9/14 LV 46% 42%   +4    
Fox News 10/4-7/14 LV 43% 37%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 45% 48%   +3    
Rasmussen 9/29-30/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 9/19-21/14 LV 47% 45%   +2    
Gravis Marketing 9/16-17/14 LV 46% 39%   +7    
Quinnipiac 9/10-15/14 LV 48% 40%   +8    
USA Today / Suffolk 9/13-16/14 LV 43% 42%   +1    
Denver Post/Survey USA 9/8-10/14 LV 42% 46%   +4    
NBC News/Marist 9/2-4/14 LV 42% 48%   +6    
Rasmussen 9/3-4/14 LV 42% 44%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 47% 51%   +4    
Public Policy Polling 7/17-20/14 RV 43% 44%   +1    
Quinnipiac 7/10-14/14 RV 44% 42%   +2    
Gravis Marketing 7/8-10/14 RV 47% 43%   +4    
NBC News/Marist 7/7-10/14 RV 41% 48%   +7    
Public Policy Polling 6/25-26/14 LV 42% 43%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 5/7-8/14 RV 43% 47%   +4    
Public Policy Polling 4/17-20/14 LV 45% 47%   +2    
               
AVG.   47.1% 43.9%   +3.2    
DELAWARE *(D) Chris Coons vs. (R) Kevin Wade DEM HOLD
Poll Poll Date R-Wade D-Coons Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 9/10-12/14 LV 34% 49%   +15    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 35% 48%   +13    
               
AVG.   34.5% 48.5%   +14    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
GEORGIA – *(R) Saxby Chambliss Retiring (R) David Perdue vs. (D) Michelle Nunn vs. (L) Amanda Swafford GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Perdue D-Nunn L-Swafford Margin    
WSB/Landmark 10/29/14 LV 47% 47% 3% Tie    
Monmouth University 10/26-28/14 LV 49% 41% 3% +8    
Rasmussen 10/25-27/14 LV 48% 48%   Tie    
Survey USA 10/24-27/14 LV 48% 45% 3% +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 47% 44% 1% +3    
Atlanta Journal-Constitution 10/16-23/14 LV 44% 42% 6% +2    
Insider Advantage 10/21-22/14 LV 45% 47% 4% +2    
CNN/Opinion Research 10/19-22/14 LV 44% 47% 5% +3    
WSB/Landmark 10/20-21/14 LV 47% 47%   Tie    
Survey USA 10/17-20/14 LV 44% 46% 4% +2    
Survey USA 10/10-13/14 LV 45% 48% 3% +3    
WSB/Landmark 10/7-9/14 LV 46% 46% 4% Tie    
Survey USA 10/2-6/14 LV 46% 45%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 10/2-5/14 LV 48% 45%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 47% 43%   +4    
Rasmussen 9/30-10/1/14 LV 46% 42%   +4    
Insider Advantage 9/29-10/1/14 LV 47% 43%   +4    
Survey USA 9/19-22/14 LV 46% 45% 4% +1    
Rasmussen 9/15-16/14 LV 46% 41%   +5    
Insider Advantage 9/10-11/14 LV 50% 40%   +10    
WSB/Landmark 9/9-11/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
Atlanta Journal-Constitution 9/8-11/14 LV 45% 41%   +4    
Survey USA 9/5-8/14 LV 47% 44%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 47% 41%   +6    
WRBL/Ledger-Inquirer 8/24-25/14 LV 43% 45%   +2    
WSB/Landmark 8/20-21/14 LV 40% 47%   +7    
Survey USA 8/14-17/14 LV 50% 41%   +9    
Insider Advantage 8/12-13/14 LV 47% 40%   +7    
Vox Populi Polling 7/27-28/14 LV 49% 40%   +9    
Landmark Communications 7/25/14 LV 43% 47%   +4    
Rasmussen 7/23-24/14 LV 46% 40%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 50% 44%   +6    
Landmark Communications 7/16/14 LV 42% 48%   +6    
Public Policy Polling 7/11-13/14 LV 41% 48%   +7    
Survey USA 6/3-5/14 LV 43% 38%   +5    
               
AVG.   46.5% 45.1% 3.6% +1.4    
HAWAII – (D) Inouye Death; Schatz apptd; *(D) Brian Schatz vs. (R) Cam Cavasso DEM HOLD
                     Special Election        
Poll Poll Date R-Cavasso D-Schatz Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 9/9-10/14 LV 28% 60%   +32    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 27% 62%   +35    
               
AVG.   27.5% 61.0%   +33.5    
IOWA – *(D) Tom Harkin Retiring (D) Bruce Braley vs. (R) Joni Ernst vs. (L) Doug Butzier vs. (I) Rick Stewart GOP TAKEAWAY
         
Poll Poll Date R-Joni Ernst D-Bruce Braley Ind. Margin    
Quinnipiac 10/22-27/14 LV 49% 45%   +4    
Loras College 10/21-24/14 LV 44% 45%   +1    
NBC News/Marist 10/18-22/14 LV 49% 46%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 44% 44%   Tie    
Monmouth Univ. 10/18-21/14 LV 47% 46%   +1    
Quinnipiac 10/15-21/14 LV 48% 46%   +2    
USA Today/Suffolk 10/11-14/14 LV 47% 43%   +4    
Quinnipiac 10/8-13/14 LV 47% 45%   +2    
Rasmussen 10/8-10/14 LV 48% 45%   +3    
Des Moines Register 10/3-8/14 LV 47% 46%   +1    
Magellan 10/3/14 LV 50% 41%   +9    
Loras College 10/1-3/14 LV 42% 42%   Tie    
NBC News/Marist 9/27-10/1/14 LV 46% 44%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 43% 44%   +1    
Gravis Marketing 9/29-30/14 LV 50% 41%   +9    
Public Policy Polling 9/25-28/14 LV 45% 43%   +2    
Des Moines Register 9/21-24/14 LV 44% 38%   +6    
Rasmussen 9/17-18/14 LV 43% 43%   Tie    
Fox News 9/14-16/14 LV 41% 41%   Tie    
Quinnipiac 9/10-15/14 LV 50% 44%   +6    
CNN/Opinion Research 9/8-10/14 LV 48% 49%   +1    
Loras College 9/2-5/14 LV 41% 45%   +4    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 42% 44%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 8/28-30/14 LV 45% 43%   +2    
USA Today/Suffolk 8/23-26/14 LV 40% 40%   Tie    
Public Policy Polling 8/22-24/14 RV 40% 41% Butzier 2% +1    
        Stewart 2%      
Rasmussen 8/11-12/14 LV 43% 43%   Tie    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
Gravis Marketing 7/17-18/14 LV 43% 44%   +1    
NBC News/Marist 7/7-13/14 RV 43% 43%   Tie    
Quinnipiac 6/12-16/14 RV 40% 44%   +4    
Vox Populi Polling 6/4-5/14 LV 49% 44%   +5    
Loras College 6/4-5/14 LV 48% 42%   +6    
Rasmussen 6/4-5/14 LV 45% 44%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 5/15-19/14 RV 39% 45%   +6    
Hickman Analytics 4/24-30/14 LV 40% 44%   +4    
AVG.   46.9% 44.9%   +2.0    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
IDAHO *(R) Jim Risch vs. (D) Nels Mitchell GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Risch D-Mitchell Ind. Margin    
Public Policy Polling 10/9-12/14 LV 50% 32%   +18    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 64% 27%   +37    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 59% 25%   +34    
Rasmussen 5/28-29/14 LV 54% 29%   +25    
               
AVG.   57.0% 29.5%   +27.5    
ILLINOIS *(D) Dick Durbin vs.(R) Jim Oberweis DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Oberweis D-Durbin Ind. Margin    
Chicago Sun-Times 10/28/14 LV 39% 49%   +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 39% 52%   +13    
Chicago Tribune 10/16-21/14 LV 36% 50%   +14    
The Simon Poll/SIU 9/23-10/15/14 LV 37% 47%   +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 39% 51%   +12    
Rasmussen 9/24-25/14 LV 37% 51%   +14    
Chicago Tribune 9/3-12/14 RV 32% 55%   +23    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 38% 50%   +12    
Harper Polling 8/24-27/14 LV 38% 44%   +6    
Chicago Sun-Times/We Ask America 8/27/14 LV 41% 48%   +7    
Gravis Marketing 8/4-5/14 RV 38% 48%   +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 43% 51%   +8    
Rasmussen 4/9-10/14 LV 37% 51%   +14    
               
AVG.   37.8% 49.5%   +11.7    
KANSAS – (Dem Chad Taylor withdrew *(R) Pat Roberts vs. (D) Chad Taylor (Withdrew, Name OFF ballot)  vs.  IND TAKEAWAY
as Dems hope Former Dem Orman can   (I) Greg Orman (former Democrat) vs. (L) Randall Batson    
unseat incumbent Pat Roberts).              
Poll Poll Date *R-Roberts D-Taylor I-Orman Margin    
Survey USA 10/22-26/14 LV 42%   44% +2    
NBC News/Marist 10/18-22/14 LV 44%   45% +1    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 42%   38% +4    
Rasmussen 10/20-21/14 LV 44%   49% +5    
Gravis Marketing 10/20-21/14 LV 45%   47% +2    
Monmouth 10/16-19/14 LV 46%   46% Tie    
Remington Research Group 10/9-12/14 LV 48%   46% +2    
Public Policy Polling 10/9-12/14 LV 43%   46% +3    
Fox News 10/4-7/14 LV 44%   39% +5    
CNN/Opinion Research 10/2-6/14 LV 49%   48% +1    
Survey USA 10/2-5/14 LV 42%   47% +5    
Gravis Marketing 9/30-10/1/14 LV 40%   47% +7    
NBC News/Marist 9/27-10/1/14 LV 38%   48% +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 40%   40% Tie    
USA Today/Suffolk 9/27-30/14 LV 41%   46% +5    
Rasmussen 9/16-17/14 LV 40%   45% +5    
Fox News 9/14-16/14 LV 42%   48% +6    
Public Policy Polling 9/11-14/14 LV 34% 6% 41% +7    
Survey USA 9/4-7/14 LV 36% 10% 37% +1    
Survey USA 8/20-23/14 LV 37% 32% 20% +5    
Public Policy Polling 8/14-17/14 LV 43% 39%   +4    
    32% 25% 23% +7    
Rasmussen 8/6-7/14 LV 44% 40%   +4    
Survey USA 7/17-22/14 LV 38% 33% 14% +5    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 54% 37%   +17    
AVG.   44.3%   45.1% +0.8    
KENTUCKY *(R) Mitch McConnell vs. (D) Alison Lundgren Grimes vs. (L) David Patterson GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date *R-McConnell D-Grimes L-Patterson Margin    
Courier-Journal/Survey USA 10/25-29/14 LV 48% 43% 3% +5    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 45% 39%   +6    
Voter Consumer Research 10/16-21/14 LV 49% 41%   +8    
Western Kentucky Univ. 10/6-19/14 LV 45% 42%   +3    
Survey USA/Courier-Journal 10/15-19/14 LV 44% 43%   +1    
Rasmussen 10/15-16/14 LV 52% 44%   +8    
Gravis Marketing 10/11-12/14 LV 50% 47%   +3    
Fox News 10/4-7/14 LV 45% 41%   +4    
Survey USA/WHAS 9/30-10/2/14 LV 44% 46% 3% +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 47% 41%   +6    
Gravis Marketing 9/16/14 RV 51% 41%   +10    
Reuters/Ipsos 9/8-12/14 LV 46% 42%   +4    
NBC News/Marist 9/2-4/14 LV 47% 39%   +8    
CNN/Opinion Research 8/28-9/1/14 LV 50% 46%   +4    
Rasmussen 9/1-2/14 LV 46% 41%   +5    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 47% 42%   +5    
Survey USA 8/25-27/14 LV 46% 42% 5% +4    
Public Policy Polling 8/7-10/14 LV 44% 40% 7% +4    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 50% 46%   +4    
Survey USA 7/18-23/14 LV 47% 45%   +2    
Voter Consumer Research 6/22-25/14 LV 49% 42%   +7    
Public Policy Polling 6/20-22/14 RV 46% 48%   +2    
Magellan Strategies 6/4-5/14 LV 46% 49%   +3    
Rasmussen 5/28-29/14 LV 48% 41%   +7    
Wenzel Strategies 5/23-24/14 LV 47% 44%   +3    
Survey USA 5/14-16/14 RV 42% 43%   +1    
NBC News/Marist 4/30-5/6/14 RV 46% 45%   +1    
Hickman Analytics 4/24-30/14 LV 46% 45%   +1    
Gravis Marketing 4/15-17/14 RV 43% 36%   +7    
NYT/Kaiser 4/8-15/14 RV 44% 43%   +1    
Public Policy Polling/MoveOn 4/1-2/14 RV 44% 45%   +1    
               
AVG.   48.2% 42.7% 3.0% +5.5    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
LOUISIANA -Jungle Primary (Nov. 4); *(D) Mary Landrieu vs. (R) Bill Cassidy, Rob Maness, Paul Hollis GOP TAKEAWAY
Candidate wins with 50%+1; If not, top two              
in runoff on Dec. 6, 2014              
Poll Poll Date R-Cassidy D-Landrieu Primary Margin    
USA Today/Suffolk 10/23-26/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 36% +1    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 35%      
        Maness 11%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 48% 41%   +7    
               
Rasmussen 10/22-23/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 43% +7    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 36%      
        Maness 13%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 50% 46%   +4    
               
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 37% +5    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 32%      
        Maness 6%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 46% 42%   +4    
               
WAFB/Fox8/Raycom 10/14-19/14 RV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 36% +4    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 32%      
        Maness 6%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 43% 40%   +3    
               
Vox Populi Polling 10/13-14/14 LV    
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 48% 44%   +4    
               
Rasmussen 10/13-14/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 41% +3    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 38%      
        Maness 14%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 52% 43%   +9    
               
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 36% +4    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 32%      
        Maness 4%      
               
  RUNOFF (Dec. 6) 47% 41%   +6    
               
Public Policy Polling 9/25-28/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 42% +8    
        Cassidy 34%      
        Maness 12%      
               
  RUNOFF (12/6/14) 48% 45%   +3    
               
CNN/Opinion Research 9/22-25/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 43% +3    
        Cassidy 40%      
        Maness 9%      
               
  RUNOFF (12/6/14) 50% 47%   +3    
               
Fox News 9/14-16/14 LV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Cassidy 35% +4    
        Landrieu 31%      
        Maness 7%      
               
  RUNOFF (12/6/14) 51% 38%   +13    
               
Gravis Marketing 9/5-9/14 RV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 43% +13    
        Cassidy 30%      
        Maness 14%      
               
  RUNOFF (12/6/14) 45% 45%   Tie    
               
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV     Cassidy 38% +2    
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 36%      
        Maness 10%      
               
Rasmussen 9/2-3/14 LV 44% 41%   +3    
  RUNOFF (12/6/14)            
               
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 47% 46%   +1    
Rasmussen 7/8-9/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
  RUNOFF (12/6/14)            
               
Public Policy Polling 6/26-29/14 RV            
  JUNGLE PRIMARY     Landrieu 44% +17    
  (Nov. 4)     Cassidy 27%      
        Maness 8%      
        Hollis 5%      
  RUNOFF (12/6/14)            
    47% 47%   Tie    
               
RUNOFF AVG.   47.0% 42.6%   +4.4    
MAINE *(R) Susan Collins vs. (D) Shenna Bellows GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Collins D-Bellows Ind. Margin    
Ipsos/Bangor Daily News 10/6-12/14 LV 56% 31%   +25    
Pan Atlantic SMS 9/23-29/14 LV 68% 25%   +43    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/2-10/1/14 LV 57% 33%   +24    
Portland Press Herald 9/18-25/14 LV 59% 29%   +30    
Rasmussen 9/3-4/14 LV 59% 31%   +28    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 65% 29%   +36    
Univ. of New Hampshire 6/12-18/14 LV 72% 17%   +55    
               
AVG.   60.0% 29.5%   +30.5    
MASSACHUSETTS *(D) Ed Markey vs.(R) Brian Herr DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Herr D-Markey Ind. Margin    
Suffolk/Boston Herald 9/25-28/14 LV 30% 54%   +24    
Western NE University 9/20-28/14 LV 34% 56%   +22    
WBUR/MassINC 9/16-21/14 LV 30% 58%   +28    
Rasmussen 9/16-17/14 LV 31% 49%   +18    
Boston Globe 9/14-16/14 LV 27% 53%   +26    
               
AVG.   30.4% 54.0%   +23.6    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
MICHIGAN – *(D) Carl Levin Retiring (D) Gary Peters vs. (R) Terri Lynn Land DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date Land Peters Ind. Margin    
EPIC-MRA 10/26-28/14 LV 35% 50%   +15    
Mitchell Research 10/27/14 LV 38% 52%   +14    
Detroit News 10/22-24/14 LV 33% 48%   +15    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 41% 49%   +8    
Rasmussen 10/20-22/14 LV 42% 51%   +9    
EPIC-MRA 10/17-19/14 LV 34% 45%   +11    
Mitchell Research 10/19/14 LV 38% 51%   +13    
Mitchell Research 10/12/14 LV 39% 50%   +11    
Mitchell Research 10/9/14 LV 43% 48%   +5    
Detroit News 10/2-4/14 LV 35% 44%   +9    
Public Policy Polling 10/2-3/14 LV 42% 49%   +7    
Marketing Resource Group 9/30-10/1/14 LV 36% 47%   +11    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 41% 46%   +5    
EPIC-MRA 9/25-29/14 LV 33% 42%   +9    
Mitchell Research 9/29/14 LV 36% 49%   +13    
Public Policy Polling 9/18-19/14 LV 40% 47%   +7    
Rasmussen 9/17-18/14 LV 39% 41%   +2    
We Ask America 9/18-19/14 LV 39% 42%   +3    
Magellan Strategies 9/14-15/14 LV 40% 45%   +5    
Mitchell Research 9/14/14 LV 41% 43%   +2    
Denno Research 9/11-13/14 LV 38% 45%   +7    
USA Today/Suffolk 9/6-10/14 LV 37% 46%   +9    
Public Policy Polling 9/4-7/14 LV 40% 45%   +5    
Detroit News 9/3-5/14 LV 37% 47%   +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 43% 42%   +1    
Mitchell Research 8/27/14 LV 44% 46%   +2    
EPIC-MRA 8/22-25/14 LV 39% 45%   +6    
Mitchell Research 8/5/14 LV 44% 45%   +1    
Harper Polling 8/4-5/14 LV 44% 45%   +1    
Rasmussen 7/28-29/14 LV 39% 45%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
Mitchell Research 7/7-17/14 LV 38% 43%   +5    
EPIC-MRA 7/12-15/14 LV 36% 45%   +9    
Denno Research 7/9-11/14 LV 37% 40%   +3    
NBC News/Marist 7/7-10/14 RV 37% 43%   +6    
Public Policy Polling 6/26-29/14 RV 36% 41%   +5    
Magellan Strategies 6/5-8/14 LV 41% 50%   +9    
Mitchell Research 6/6/14 LV 42% 45%   +3    
Detroit News 5/20-22/14 LV 35% 40%   +5    
EPIC-MRA 5/17-20/14 LV 38% 44%   +6    
Hickman Analytics 4/24-30/14 LV 37% 42%   +5    
Mitchell Research 4/9/14 LV 44% 38%   +6    
Harper Polling 4/7-8/14 43% 40%   +3    
Public Policy Polling 4/3-6/14 RV 36% 41%   +5    
Marketing Resource Group 3/24-28/14 LV 40% 38%   +2    
LE&A / Denno Research 3/8-9/14 LV 37% 40%   +3    
Clarity Campaigns (D) 2/22-23/14 RV 40% 46%   +6    
EPIC-MRA 2/5-11/14 LV 41% 38%   +3    
Harper Polling/Conservative Intel 1/19-20/14 LV 42% 37%   +5    
Rasmussen 1/14-15/14 LV 37% 35%   +2    
Harper Polling/Conservative Intel 1/7-8/14 LV 44% 36%   +8    
Public Policy Polling 12/5-8/13 42% 40%   +2    
LE&A / Denno Research 11/12-14/13 LV 36% 37%   +1    
               
AVG.   37.8% 50.0%   +12.2    
MINNESOTA *(D) Al Franken vs.(R) Mike McFadden DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-McFadden *D-Franken Ind. Margin    
KSTP/Survey USA 10/14-16/14 LV 38% 53%   +15    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 42% 49%   +7    
Rasmussen 9/29-30/14 LV 41% 49%   +8    
Star-Tribune/Mason-Dixon 9/8-10/14 LV 36% 49%   +13    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 41% 49%   +8    
KSTP/Survey USA 8/19-21/14 LV 42% 51%   +9    
Rasmussen 8/13-14/14 LV 42% 50%   +8    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 41% 55%   +14    
               
AVG.   40.3% 50.3%   +10.0    
MISSISSIPPI *(R) Thad Cochran vs. (D) Travis Childers vs. (Reform Party) Shawn O’Hara GOP HOLD
Poll Poll Date R-*Cochran D-Childers Reform-O’Hara Margin    
Public Policy Polling 7/10-13/14 RV 40% 24% 5% +16    
Rasmussen 6/25-26/14 LV 46% 34%   +12    
               
AVG.   43.0% 29.0% 5.0% +14.0    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
MONTANA – *(D) Max Baucus Retiring; (D) Amanda Curtis vs. (R) Steve Daines vs. (L) Roger Roots GOP TAKEAWAY
John Walsh appointed to fill out term;        
Walsh withdrew due to plagiarism claims;                
Amanda Curtis chosen by Democrats to              
replace Walsh as Candidate              
Poll Poll Date R-Daines D-Curtis L-Roots Margin    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 56% 38%   +18    
MSU-Billings 10/6-11/14 LV 47% 31%   +16    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 55% 34%   +21    
Gravis Marketing 9/29-30/14 LV 54% 41%   +13    
Rasmussen 8/18-19/14 LV 55% 35%   +20    
               
AVG.   52.3% 36.7%   +15.6    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
NEBRASKA – *(R) Mike Johanns Retiring (R) Ben Sasse vs. (D) David Domina GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Sasse D-Domina Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 5/14-15/14 51% 34%   +17    
Rasmussen 4/7-8/14 LV 52% 27%   +25    
               
AVG.              
NEW HAMPSHIRE *(D) Jeanne Shaheen vs.(R) Scott Brown DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Brown D-Shaheen Ind. Margin    
American Research Group 10/27-29/14 LV 49% 49%   Tie    
WMUR/Univ. NH 10/22-26/14 LV 42% 50%   +8    
New England College 10/24/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 41% 46%   +5    
American Research Group 10/19-22/14 LV 48% 49%   +1    
Univ. Mass. Lowell/7News 10/15-21/14 LV 46% 49%   +3    
Public Policy Polling 10/20-21/14 LV 45% 49%   +4    
CNN/Opinion Research 10/18-21/14 LV 47% 49%   +2    
Suffolk / Boston Herald 10/16-19/14 LV 46% 49%   +3    
New England College 10/16/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
U. Mass Amherst/WBZ 10/10-15/14 LV 45% 48%   +3    
New England College 10/9/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
High Point 10/4-8/14 LV 46% 48%   +2    
WMUR/Univ. NH 9/29-10/5/14 LV 41% 47%   +6    
New England College 10/3/14 LV 46% 49%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 41% 48%   +7    
American Research Group 9/27-29/14 LV 43% 53%   +10    
New England College 9/26/14 LV 47% 47%   Tie    
New England College 9/19-20/14 LV 43% 50%   +7    
Vox Populi 9/15-16/14 LV 47% 43%   +4    
American Research Group 9/12-15/14 LV 45% 50%   +5    
Magellan 9/10-11/14 LV 46% 44%   +2    
New England College 9/10-11/14 LV 40% 51%   +11    
CNN/ORC 9/8-11/14 LV 48% 48%   Tie    
Rasmussen 9/10-11/14 LV 42% 48%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 41% 47%   +6    
Univ. of New Hampshire 8/7-17/14  44% 46%   +2    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 42% 52%   +10    
Magellan 7/16-17/14 RV 41% 46%   +5    
NBC News/Marist 7/7-13/14 RV 42% 50%   +8    
WMUR/Univ. NH 6/19 – 7/1/14 LV 40% 52%   +12    
American Research Group 6/14-18/14 RV 38% 50%   +12    
Suffolk / Boston Herald 6/14-18/14 LV 39% 49%   +10    
Vox Populi 5/14-15/14 LV 35% 47%   +12    
               
AVG.   45.4% 48.4%   +3.0    
NEW JERSEY – (D) Frank Lautenberg died; *(D) Cory Booker vs. (R) Jeff Bell DEM HOLD
       (D) Cory Booker won  Special Election        
Poll Poll Date R-Bell D-Booker Ind. Margin    
Richard Stockton College 10/18-22/14 LV 33% 57%   +24    
Fairleigh Dickinson 10/13-19/14 LV 40% 56%   +16    
Richard Stockton College 10/5-8/14 LV 39% 48%   +9    
Monmouth Univ. 10/2-5/14 LV 38% 53%   +15    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 37% 51%   +14    
Quinnipiac 9/25-29/14 LV 40% 51%   +11    
Richard Stockton College 9/5-8/14 LV 36% 49%   +13    
Fairleigh Dickinson 9/1-7/14 RV 29% 42%   +13    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 37% 52%   +15    
Quinnipiac 7/31-8/4/14 RV 37% 47%   +10    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 43% 50%   +7    
Monmouth Univ. 6/26-29/14 RV 23% 43%   +20    
Rasmussen 6/17-18/14 LV 35% 48%   +13    
               
AVG.   37.0% 55.3%   +18.3    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
NEW MEXICO *(D) Tom Udall vs.(R) Allen Weh DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Weh *D-Udall Ind. Margin    
Alburquerque Journal 10/21-23/14 LV 43% 50%   +7    
CBS News, NYT, YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 36% 52%   +16    
Gravis Marketing 9/27-10/1/14 LV 36% 53%   +17    
Rasmussen 9/22-23/14 LV 39% 52%   +13    
Alburquerque Journal 9/9-11/14 LV 38% 51%   +13    
CBS News, NYT, YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 36% 54%   +18    
Albuquerque Journal 8/12-14/14 LV 35% 53%   +18    
               
AVG.   38.3% 51.7%   +13.4    
NORTH CAROLINA *(D) Kay Hagan vs. (R) Thom Tillis vs. (L) Sean Haugh DEM HOLD
               
Poll Poll Date R-Thom Tillis *D-Kay Hagan L-Haugh Margin    
               
Rasmussen 10/28-29/14 LV 46% 47%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 10/28-29/14 LV 46% 47% 4% +1    
Vox Populi Polling 10/26-27/14 LV 48% 43%   +5    
High Point/Survey USA 10/21-25/14 LV 44% 44% 5% Tie    
Elon Univ. 10/21-25/14 LV 41% 45%   +4    
NBC News/Marist 10/19-23/14 LV 43% 43% 7% Tie    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 41% 44% 2% +3    
Survey USA 10/16-20/14 LV 43% 46% 6% +3    
Civitas 10/15-18/14 LV 44% 44%   Tie    
Gravis Marketing 10/16-18/14 LV 48% 43%   +5    
Public Policy Polling 10/16-18/14 LV 43% 46% 5% +3    
Survey USA 10/10-12/14 LV 46% 45%   +1    
High Point 9/30-10/9/14 LV 40% 40%   Tie    
Rasmussen 10/6-7/14 LV 46% 48%   +2    
USA Today/Suffolk 10/4-7/14 LV 45% 47%   +2    
NBC News/Marist 9/27-10/1/14 LV 40% 44% 7% +4    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 45% 46%   +1    
Civitas 9/25-27/14 LV 41% 46% 4% +5    
CNN/Opinion Research 9/22-25/14 LV 43% 46%   +3    
High Point 9/13-18/14 LV 40% 42%   +2    
Fox News 9/14-16/14 LV 36% 41%   +5    
Public Policy Polling 9/11-14/14 LV 40% 44% 5% +4    
Elon Univ. 9/5-9/14 LV 41% 45%   +4    
American Insights 9/5-10/14 LV 40% 50%   +10    
Survey USA/Civitas 9/9-10/14 LV 46% 47%   +1    
Rasmussen 9/8-10/14 LV 39% 45%   +6    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 43% 42%   +1    
USA Today/Suffolk 8/16-19/14 LV 43% 45%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 8/14-17/14 LV 42% 43%   +1    
Rasmussen 8/5-6/14 LV 45% 40%   +5    
Civitas 7/28-29/14 RV 45% 43%   +2    
Gravis Marketing 7/22-27/14 LV 41% 44%   +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 48% 47%   +1    
Public Policy Polling 7/17-20/14 RV 34% 41% 8% +7    
Civitas 6/18-22/14 RV 36% 42% 9% +6    
Public Policy Polling 6/12-15/14 RV 38% 42%   +4    
Civitas 5/20-22/14 RV 46% 41%   +5    
Public Policy Polling 5/9-11/14 LV 36% 38% 11% +2    
Rasmussen 5/7-8/14 LV 45% 44%   +1    
Magellan 4/14-15/14 LV 43% 43%   Tie    
NYT/Kaiser 4/8-15/14 RV 40% 42%   +2    
Public Policy Polling 4/3-6/14 RV 41% 43%   +2    
Survey USA 3/27-31/14 RV 46% 45%   +1    
               
AVG.   44.6% 44.4% 4.5% +0.2    
OKLAHOMA – *R – Tom Coburn *(R) James Lankford vs. (D) Connie Johnson GOP HOLD
       Retiring (Special Election)        
Poll Poll Date R-Lankford D-Johnson Ind. Margin    
Sooner Poll/News on 6 9/27-29/14 LV 56% 28%   +28    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 61% 28%   +33    
Rasmussen 8/27-28/14 LV 58% 29%   +29    
               
AVG.   58.3% 28.3%   +30.0    
OKLAHOMA *(R) Jim Inhofe vs. (D) Matt Silverstein GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Inhofe D-Silverstein Ind. Margin    
Sooner Poll/News on 6 9/27-29/14 LV 56% 32%   +24    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 60% 28%   +32    
Rasmussen 7/15-16/14 LV 58% 27%   +31    
               
AVG.   58.0% 30.0%   +28.0    
               
OREGON *(D) Jeff Merkley vs.(R) Monica Wehby DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Wehby *D-Merkley Ind. Margin    
The Oregonian/Elway 10/26-27/14 LV 30% 49%   +19    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 39% 51%   +12    
Survey USA 10/16-19/14 LV 32% 53%   +21    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 39% 52%   +13    
Survey USA 9/22-24/14 LV 32% 52%   +20    
The Polling Company 9/9-11/14 LV 34% 42%   +8    
Rasmussen 9/2-3/14 LV 35% 48%   +13    
Survey USA 8/1-5/14 LV 33% 52%   +19    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 41% 55%   +14    
Survey USA 6/5-9/14 LV 32% 50%   +18    
Public Policy Polling 5/22-27/14 RV 36% 50%   +14    
Rasmussen 5/21-22/14 LV 37% 47%   +10    
Vox Populi Polling 4/28-30/14 LV 45% 41%   +4    
Benenson Strategy Group 4/14-17/14 LV 32% 52%   +20    
Harper Polling 4/1-2/14 LV 34% 46%   +12    
               
AVG.   33.7% 51.0%   +17.3    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
RHODE ISLAND *(D) Jack Reed vs.(R) Mark Zaccaria DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Zaccaria D-Reed Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 9/23-25/14 LV 26% 61%   +35    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 32% 52%   +20    
               
AVG.   29.0% 56.5%   +27.5    
SOUTH CAROLINA *(R) Lindsey Graham vs. (D) Brad Hutto vs. (I) Thomas Ravenel GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date *R-Lindsey Graham D-Brad Hutto I-Ravenel Margin    
Winthrop Univ. 9/21-28/14 LV 46% 28% 8% +18    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 42% 29%   +13    
Rasmussen 7/9-10/14 LV 49% 30%   +19    
               
AVG.   44.0% 28.5% 8.0% +15.5    
SOUTH CAROLINA – *(R) Tim Scott *(R) Tim Scott vs. (D) Joyce Dickerson GOP HOLD
(Jim DeMint Resigned, Scott Appointed)        
Poll Poll Date *R-Tim Scott D-Joyce Dickerson Ind. Margin    
Winthrop Univ. 9/21-28/14 LV 52% 32%   +20    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 54% 33%   +21    
Rasmussen 7/9-10/14 LV 53% 31%   +22    
               
AVG.   53.0% 32.5%   +20.5    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
SOUTH DAKOTA -  (D) Rick Weiland vs. (R) Gov. Mike Rounds vs. (I) Larry Pressler GOP TAKEAWAY
*(D) Tim Johnson Retiring        
Poll Poll Date R-Rounds D-Weiland I-Pressler Margin    
Monmouth University 10/24-27/14 LV 45% 31% 19% +14    
Rasmussen 10/22-26/14 LV 45% 31% 21% +14    
Survey USA 10/21-26/14 LV 43% 32% 19% +11    
Mason-Dixon 10/20-23/14 LV 42% 33% 13% +9    
NBC News/Marist 10/19-23/14 LV 43% 29% 16% +14    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 38% 25% 17% +13    
Harper 10/9-11/14 LV 37% 33% 23% +4    
Survey USA 10/1-5/14 LV 35% 28% 32% +3    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 42% 27% 12% +15    
Nielson Brothers 9/21-25/14 LV 39% 26% 24% +13    
Survey USA 9/3-7/14 LV 39% 28% 25% +11    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 43% 29% 6% +14    
Rasmussen 6/4-5/14 LV 44% 29% 18% +15    
               
AVG.   41.9% 30.6% 18.3% +11.3    
TENNESSEE *(R) Lamar Alexander, Joe Carr, Brenda Lenard, Danny Paige vs. (D) Terry Adams, GOP HOLD
    William Gordon Ball    
Poll Poll Date GOP Democrat Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 4/29-30/14 LV Alexander 50% Adams 26%   +24    
    Alexander 51% Ball 25%   +26    
               
North Star Opinion ?            
  GOP PRIMARY Alexander, 62%     +45    
    Carr, 17%          
    Lenard, 2%          
    Paige, 1%          
               
Middle Tenn. State U. 1/23-26/14 RV Alexander, 47%     +40    
    Carr, 7%          
               
AVG.              
TEXAS   *(R) John Cornyn vs. (D) David Alameel vs. (L) Kathie Glass GOP HOLD
               
Poll Poll Date R-Cornyn D-Alameel L-Glass Margin    
Univ. Texas/Texas Tribune 10/10-19/14 LV 57% 31%   +26    
Rasmussen 10/1-2/14 LV 50% 29%   +21    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 55% 35%   +20    
Texas Lyceum 9/11-25/14 LV 48% 30%   +18    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 55% 34%   +21    
Rasmussen 8/4-5/14 LV 47% 29%   +18    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 55% 38%   +17    
Univ. Texas/Texas Tribune 5/30 – 6/8/14 RV 36% 25% 3% +11    
Public Policy Polling 4/10-13/14 RV 49% 32%   +17    
               
AVG.   54.0% 31.7%   +22.3    
VIRGINIA *(D) Mark Warner vs.(R) Ed Gillespie vs. (L) Robert Sarvis DEM HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date Gillespie-R Warner-D Sarvis (Lib) Margin    
Roanoke College 10/20-25/14 LV 35% 47%   +12    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 39% 49%   +10    
Univ. of Mary Washington 10/1-6/14 LV 37% 47%   +10    
Christopher Newport Univ. 9/29-10/5/14 LV 39% 51%   +12    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 9/20-10/1/14 LV 39% 51%   +12    
Public Policy Polling 9/22-23/14 LV 37% 49%   +12    
Quinnipiac 9/17-22/14 LV 41% 50%   +9    
Roanoke College 9/13-19/14 LV 29% 49%   +20    
Christopher Newport Univ. 9/2-7/14 LV 31% 53% 5% +22    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 39% 51%   +12    
Hampton Univ. 7/27-30/14 LV 32% 55%   +23    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 43% 53%   +10    
Roanoke College 7/14-19/14 RV 22% 47% 5% +25    
Rasmussen 6/11-12/14 LV 36% 53%   +17    
Public Policy Polling/MoveOn 4/1-2/14 RV 35% 49%   +14    
Quinnipiac 3/19-24/14 RV 31% 46% 6% +15    
Roanoke College 2/22-28/14 RV 29% 56%   +27    
Harper Polling 2/4-5/14 LV 38% 44%   +6    
Rasmussen 1/20-21/14 LV 37% 51%   +14    
Christopher Newport Univ. 1/15-22/14 RV 30% 50%   +20    
Roanoke College 1/13-17/14 RV 21% 50%   +29    
               
AVG.   37.5% 48.5%   +11.0    
STATE POSSIBLE CANDIDATES PROJECTION
WEST VIRGINIA -  (D) Natalie Tennant vs. (R) Shelley Moore Capito GOP TAKEAWAY
(D) Jay Rockefeller Retiring        
Poll Poll Date R-Capito D-Tennant Ind. Margin    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 10/16-23/14 LV 56% 34%   +22    
Rasmussen 9/30-10/1/14 LV 50% 39%   +11    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 8/18-9/2/14 LV 55% 32%   +23    
West Virginia Poll 8/15-23/14 LV 54% 37%   +17    
Rasmussen 8/19-20/14 LV 50% 33%   +17    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 51% 43%   +8    
West Virginia Poll 5/19-22/14 LV 49% 38%   +11    
Rasmussen 5/14-15/14 LV 48% 39%   +9    
Rasmussen 2/19-20/14 LV 49% 35%   +14    
Harper Polling 9/24-25/13 LV 51% 34%   +17    
               
AVG.   53.3% 36.7%   +16.6    
WYOMING *(R) Mike Enzi vs. (D) Charlie Hardy GOP HOLD
         
Poll Poll Date R-Enzi D-Hardy Ind. Margin    
Rasmussen 8/20-21/14 LV 63% 27%   +36    
CBS News/NYT/YouGov 7/5-24/14 LV 68% 23%   +45    
               
AVG.   65.5% 25.0%   +40.5