Generic Congressional Ballot Average

Below is our table showing the “Generic Congressional Ballot” Polls and the polling average. The “Generic Congressional Ballot” has been useful in showing trends, particularly in midterm elections, of which party is likely to make gains in Congress. As a rule, Democrats tend to lead the Generic Ballot by a few points. In general, if Republicans are even or ahead in the Generic Ballot, it signals they are likely to make gains in Congress. The last few weeks before the election are important to watch, to see if the ballot moves in the direction of one party or the other.


Generic Congressional Ballot

 

The last 40 days (Since 6/2/11) of polls are listed and used to calculate the average.

 

Date

Poll

Type

GOP%

Democrat%

Margin

AVERAGE

Last 40 Days of Polls

43.9

38.7

+5.2

7/4-10/11

Rasmussen

LV

44

38

+6

6/27-7/2/11

Rasmussen

LV

43

40

+3

6/20-26/11

Rasmussen

LV

44

37

+7

6/18-21/11

Democracy Corps

RV

47

44

+3

6/13-19/11

Rasmussen

LV

43

37

+6

6/6-12/11

Rasmussen

LV

43

38

+5

5/30-6/5/11

Rasmussen

LV

43

37

+6

LV = Likely Voters              RV = Registered Voters 

 

NOTE: Only “Likely Voter” and “Registered Voter” Polls are included.  

 

 

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