Two new polls on the 2012 GOP Presidential Nomination race show Gov. Mitt Romney leading the field – although by very different margins.

An ABC News/Washington Post poll has Romney up by 10-points over his nearest rival, Sarah Palin, by a 26%-16% margin. Michele Bachmann runs third at 13%, with Rick Perry in fourth at 8%:

New Poll – 2012 GOP Nomination – National

7/14-17/11

ABC News/WAPO

Romney

26

Palin

16

Bachmann

13

Perry

8

Paul

7

Cain

7

Gingrich

4

Huntsman

3

Pawlenty

2

Santorum

2

 

A poll out by The Economist/YouGov has Romney ahead – but by only 1-point over Sarah Palin, 14%-13%. Essentially tied with them at the top are Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry at 12%.

New Poll – 2012 GOP Nomination – National

7/16-19/11

The Economist/YouGov

Romney

14

Palin

13

Bachmann

12

Perry

12

Cain

9

Giuliani

4

Santorum

4

Paul

4

Gingrich

4

Pawlenty

2

Huntsman

2

 

Once again, in both polls, you see Gov. Tim Pawlenty mired near the bottom at only 2%. Herman Cain continues to run fairly strong in both polls, at 7% and 9% respectively.

Check for the latest polls and national averages in the Election Center.

Two New Polls Show Mitt Romney Leading the 2012 GOP Presidential Field – But by Very Different Margins – 7/21/11

New Poll – 2012 GOP Nomination – South Carolina

7/12-17/11

American Research Group

Romney

25

Palin

16

Bachmann

13

Cain

10

Perry

6

Giuliani

6

Gingrich

3

Roemer

2

Paul

2

Santorum

2

Huntsman

0

Pawlenty

0

Johnson

0

 

American Research Group has released a new poll out of South Carolina showing Gov. Mitt Romney leading the 2012 GOP Presidential Nomination field by 9-points.

Romney received 25% support in the poll, followed by Sarah Palin at 16% and Michele Bachmann at 13%. Herman Cain was the only other candidate in double-figures at 10%.

Perhaps shocking is Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who has been touted as a top-tier candidate by media and political pundits for months. Pawlenty got 0% in the poll. He is simply not connecting with Republican voters. It’s like he is invisible despite getting a great deal of press now for months.

Check all the latest polls and national averages in the Election Center.

New South Carolina GOP Nomination Poll: Shocking Tim Pawlenty Result – 0%; Mitt Romney Leads the Field – 7/18/11

Several new polls are out on the 2012 Presidential race.

Quinnipiac has a national poll showing President Obama leading all GOP challengers. Mitt Romney does the best, trailing Obama by 6-points:

New Poll – 2012 Election Matchups – National

7/5-11/11

Quinnipiac

Romney

41

Obama

47

+6

Bachmann

38

Obama

50

+12

Perry

37

Obama

50

+13

Palin

34

Obama

53

+19

 

PPP/Daily Kos polled for a matchup between Obama and Michele Bachmann. Their poll shows Obama beating Bachmann by 13-points.

IBOPE/Zogby polled matchups between Obama and 11 possible GOP Candidates. Chris Christie did the best, leading Obama 45%-41%. Rick Perry and Mitt Romney also led Obama by 1-point. Three GOP Candidates – Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Herman Cain tied Obama:

New Poll – 2012 Election Matchups – National

7/8-11/11

IBOPE/Zogby

Christie

45

Obama

41

+4

Perry

43

Obama

42

+1

Romney

43

Obama

42

+1

Cain

42

Obama

42

Tie

Paul

40

Obama

40

Tie

Pawlenty

41

Obama

41

Tie

Bachmann

42

Obama

44

+2

Santorum

39

Obama

44

+5

Huntsman

31

Obama

39

+8

Palin

37

Obama

47

+10

Gingrich

33

Obama

45

+12

 

You can always check for the latest polls and averages in the Election Center.

2012 Polling Update: GOP Candidates Gaining Ground on Obama – 7/13/11

We have updated our 2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Map, moving two states into the “Battleground Category.”

We have moved Iowa and Pennsylvania from “Likely Obama” to “Battleground.” Both states appear to be in play because of current economic conditions and recent polling – particularly in Pennsylvania. Obama really has to win Pennsylvania. If the Republican nominee can take it away, it will be a good night all the way around for the GOP. At this point we have the Electoral Vote totals as follows:

212 – Likely Obama Votes

191 – Likely GOP Votes

135 – Battleground Votes

You can always go here to check the Electoral Map (larger size) and our latest projection.

2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Map Update: Two States Moved into “Battleground” Category – 7/11/11

Two new national polls are out on the 2012 GOP Presidential race.

A Quinnipiac Poll has Gov. Mitt Romney leading the GOP Field by 3-points, with 18% support, followed by Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin at 15%, and Donald Trump at 12%.

But a new CNN/Opinion Research Poll has Huckabee on top with 16%, followed by Trump at 14%, Romney at 13%, Palin 11%, and Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich with 10%.

As you can see from the two polls, you have Romney, Huckabee, Trump, and Palin running fairly strong. So far, only Romney is in the race.

Below is a table showing the averages of the GOP Field for all polls done since March 27, 2011. Romney has a very slight lead over Huckabee, with Donald Trump just over one-point behind.

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Poll Averages

Date

Poll

Candidates / Pct.

AVERAGES

Romney

15.9

Bachmann

3.8

(Average taken from

Huckabee

15.7

Pawlenty

3.6

totals in polls where

Trump

14.8

Daniels

2.9

each candidate appears)

Palin

10.1

Cain

2.7

Avg. on Polls Since 3/27/11

Giuliani

8.5

Santorum

1.9

Gingrich

7.7

Johnson

0.8

Paul

6.4

Huntsman

0.7

NOTE: Possible Candidates who have said they will not run are not included in the average (Example: Chris Christie)

 

You can check all the 2012 GOP Nomination Polls or check out all the latest polls we have added.

2012 Polling Update: Romney, Huckabee, Trump, Palin Run Strong in New 2012 GOP National Polls

We have added a number of new polls on the 2012 Presidential race. Check the table below for all the polls added in the last several weeks.

Gov. Mitt Romney is leading the GOP Field in two of the key early states – New Hampshire and Nevada.

Interestingly, Romney also is leading Obama in both Nevada and New Hampshire. That could be huge if he turned out to be the GOP Nominee because Nevada and New Hampshire are both going to be battleground states for Electoral Votes. Winning those two states could make the difference in winning the election because Obama won both in 2008. At this point, Romney is the only GOP candidate leading Obama in those two states. We’ll see in the months to come if that continues to be the case.

Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

4/25-27/11

Fox News – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+2

4/26/11

Rasmussen – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump

+2

4/15-26/11

Univ. NH – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Romney

+7

4/25/11

Insider Advantage – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Huckabee, Romney

 

Tie

4/21-24/11

PPP – Nevada – 2012 Election

Romney

+3

4/21-24/11

PPP – Nevada – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+8

4/21-24/11

PPP – West Virginia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Huckabee

Tie

4/18-23/11

ARG – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

4/16-21/11

ARG – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+15

4/15-20/11

Gallup – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Huckabee

Tie

4/12-19/11

ARG – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

4/15-17/11

PPP – Iowa – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

4/15-17/11

PPP – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+11

4/15-16/11

Rasmussen – National – 2012 Election (only Obama vs. Trump)

Obama vs. Trump

+15

4/14-17/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Obama

+1

4/14-17/11

ABC News/WAPO – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

4/14-17/11

ABC News/WAPO – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+8

4/11-14/11

Dartmouth – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

C. Powell

Romney

+20

+8

4/10-14/11

Marist – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

4/10-14/11

Marist – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+1

    4/10-12/11

Democracy Corps – National – 2012 Election

Romney

+2

4/10-12/11

Suffolk – Florida – 2012 Election

Romney

+1

4/10-12/11

Suffolk – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+19

4/9-10/11

CNN/OP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Huckabee

Tie

4/7-10/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

4/7-10/11

PPP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump

+9

4/7-10/11

PPP – Pennsylvania – 2012 Election

Romney

+1

4/7/11

Dan Jones – Utah – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+55

4/4-7/11

Mason-Dixon – Florida – 2012 Election

Romney

+5

4/4-7/11

Mason-Dixon – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+5

4/3-5/11

Fox News – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

3/31-4/4/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+4

3/31-4/3/11

Neighborhood Research – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+7

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Georgia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Georgia – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+3

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Gingrich, Huckabee

Tie

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+1

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+6

3/6-3/31/11

Rasmussen – National – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

3/24-27/11

PPP – Florida – 2012 Election

Obama

+2

3/24-27/11

PPP – Mississippi – 2012 GOP Nomination

Barbour

+18

3/24-27/11

PPP – Mississippi – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+14

3/18-22/11

Gallup – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+6

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

3/15-21/11

Zogby – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Palin

+2

3/17-20/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Obama, Huckabee

Tie

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

2012 Polling Update: Mitt Romney Leading GOP Field, President Obama in Two Key States

We have added a number of new polls released over the last week. New polls added include several national polls, as well as polls out of Florida and Georgia. The table below has all the polls added over the last several weeks.


Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

4/10-12/11

Suffolk – Florida – 2012 Election

Romney

+1

4/10-12/11

Suffolk – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+19

4/9-10/11

CNN/OP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Huckabee

Tie

4/7-10/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

4/7-10/11

PPP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump

+9

4/7-10/11

PPP – Pennsylvania – 2012 Election

Romney

+1

4/7/11

Dan Jones – Utah – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+55

4/4-7/11

Mason-Dixon – Florida – 2012 Election

Romney

+5

4/4-7/11

Mason-Dixon – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+5

4/3-5/11

Fox News – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

3/31-4/4/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+4

3/31-4/3/11

Neighborhood Research – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+7

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Georgia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Georgia – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+3

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – Florida – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Gingrich, Huckabee

Tie

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+1

3/31-4/3/11

PPP – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+6

3/6-3/31/11

Rasmussen – National – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

3/24-27/11

PPP – Florida – 2012 Election

Obama

+2

3/24-27/11

PPP – Mississippi – 2012 GOP Nomination

Barbour

+18

3/24-27/11

PPP – Mississippi – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+14

3/18-22/11

Gallup – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+6

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

3/15-21/11

Zogby – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Palin

+2

3/17-20/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Obama, Huckabee

Tie

3/8-14/11

Pew – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

3/7-14/11

Harris Interactive Poll – National – 2012 Election

Giuliani

+2

3/7-14/11

Harris Interactive Poll – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Romney

Tie

3/11-13/11

CNN/Opinion Research – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10/11

We Ask America – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

3/3-6/11

PPP – Maine – 2012 Election

Obama

+8

3/3-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+6

3/2-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+10

2/9-28/11

McCall/Muhlenberg – Pennsylvania – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+8

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/24-27/11

PPP/DK – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee, Gingrich

Tie

2/24-26/11

Rutgers Univ. – New Jersey – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/21-27/11

Winthrop Univ. – 11 Southern States – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+9

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+24

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 Election

Obama

+17

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+1

2/18-20/11

Gallup – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

2012 Polling Update: Romney Leads in Florida; Huckabee in Georgia; Trump Takes GOP Lead

We have added six new polls this morning on the 2012 Presidential Election race.

On the GOP Nomination battle, a Fairleigh Dickinson University national poll has Mike Huckabee with a one-point lead over Mitt Romney, 21%-20%, with Sarah Palin eight-points back at 12%. A Harris Interactive Poll has Donald Trump and Mitt Romney at the top of the GOP heap, tied at 10%, followed by Huckabee and Giuliani (8%), Palin (7%), and Gingrich (5%). They polled using the names of 11 candidates, which caused the individual percentages to be very small.

On the 2012 General Election matchup with Obama, Harris Interactive released a poll showing Rudy Giuliani as the only Republican name that would defeat Obama, 51%-49%. Romney trailed Obama 51%-49%, and Mike Huckabee was four-points back of Obama at 52%-48%.

Three state polls were also added – all from Public Policy Polling (PPP):

In Florida, Obama leads all the GOP candidates surveyed for, with Romney doing the best against him, trailing by two-points at 46%-44%.

In Mississippi, all five GOP Candidates would defeat Barack Obama there, with Mike Huckabee doing the best at 54%-40% over the President. He even outdid favorite son Governor Haley Barbour, who defeats Obama 51%-41%.

In Michigan, Mitt Romney leads the GOP Nomination race there with 26% support, followed by Mike Huckabee at 20%, and Newt Gingrich at 15%.

Below is our table listing all the polls we have added over the last several weeks:

Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/21-28/11

Fairleigh Dickinson – National – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

3/24-27/11

PPP – Florida – 2012 Election

Obama

+2

3/24-27/11

PPP – Mississippi – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+14

3/18-22/11

Gallup – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+6

3/18-20/11

PPP – Michigan – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

3/15-21/11

Zogby – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Palin

+2

3/17-20/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Obama, Huckabee

Tie

3/8-14/11

Pew – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

3/7-14/11

Harris Interactive Poll – National – 2012 Election

Giuliani

+2

3/7-14/11

Harris Interactive Poll – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Trump, Romney

Tie

3/11-13/11

CNN/Opinion Research – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10/11

We Ask America – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

3/3-6/11

PPP – Maine – 2012 Election

Obama

+8

3/3-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+6

3/2-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+10

2/9-28/11

McCall/Muhlenberg – Pennsylvania – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+8

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/24-27/11

PPP/DK – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee, Gingrich

Tie

2/24-26/11

Rutgers Univ. – New Jersey – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/21-27/11

Winthrop Univ. – 11 Southern States – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+9

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+24

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 Election

Obama

+17

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+1

2/18-20/11

Gallup – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

2/12-17/11

EPIC/MRA – Michigan – 2012 Election

Romney

+5

2/12-15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

2/12/15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/11-14/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+3

2/11-13/11

PPP – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+3

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+12

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+14

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

,

2012 Polling Update: Trump, Romney Lead GOP Pack in Harris Interactive Poll; Giuliani Leads Obama – 4/1/11

4 potential Republican presidential candidates join for Des Moines event

Roemer to Run as Irritant to Republicans in 2012

The clock is ticking for Huckabee, Palin to join the race in Iowa

The Talented Mr. Romney

GOP 2012 hopefuls criticize Obama’s Libyan policy

How Much Does It Cost to Run for President?

Mike Huckabee Interview: His 2012 Decision and Christian Involvement in Politics

2012 Campaign Update – 3/26/11

A new Gallup Poll out today shows Gov. Mike Huckabee leading the GOP field of possible 2012 Presidential candidates. Huckabee garnered 19% of those surveyed, with Mitt Romney in second place at 15%, followed by Sarah Palin at 12% and Newt Gingrich at 10%.

These four candidates continue to consistently be the top four in the GOP Field. Palin has slipped four points from the last Gallup Survey in February.

In our average of national polls since Feb. 1 for the GOP race, Huckabee is leading as well:

18.7% Mike Huckabee

17.1% Mitt Romney

13.3% Sarah Palin

11.7% Newt Gingrich

9.3% Donald Trump

7.3% Ron Paul

5.0% Michele Bachmann

4.0% Tim Pawlenty

3.6% Mitch Daniels

2.0% Rick Santorum

1.5% Haley Barbour

New Gallup Poll has Gov. Mike Huckabee Up by 4-Points; Shows Palin Losing Ground

We have added four new 2012 Presidential Election Polls today. Three of them were national polls on the GOP Nomination race.

A Zogby Poll has Sarah Palin leading the GOP pack by two points, with Romney two behind and Huckabee three points behind. Interestingly, Donald Trump shows up at just four points back of Palin in fourth place.

Pew is out with a new poll that shows Romney with a one-point lead over Huckabee, and Palin eight-points behind.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll has Mike Huckabee in the lead by one-point over Romney, with Gingrich five back and Palin seven-points behind. Donald Trump shows up in this poll too at 10%, which is nine-points back of Huckabee.

Finally, a new Public Policy Polling survey out of North Carolina shows Mike Huckabee and President Obama tied at 45%. Obama leads the other top GOP Candidates in North Carolina – Romney by 2, Gingrich by 5, and Palin by 11.

Below is a table showing all the polls added in the last several weeks.


Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

3/15-21/11

Zogby – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Palin

+2

3/17-20/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Obama, Huckabee

Tie

3/8-14/11

Pew – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

3/11-13/11

CNN/Opinion Research – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10-13/11

PPP – Ohio – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

3/10-13/11

PPP – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+1

3/10/11

We Ask America – Iowa – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

3/3-6/11

PPP – Maine – 2012 Election

Obama

+8

3/3-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+6

3/2-6/11

PPP – Missouri – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+10

2/9-28/11

McCall/Muhlenberg – Pennsylvania – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+5

2/24-28/11

NBC News/WSJ – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+8

2/24-27/11

PPP – Wisconsin – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+4

2/24-27/11

PPP – Virginia – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/24-27/11

PPP/DK – National – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee, Gingrich

Tie

2/24-26/11

Rutgers Univ. – New Jersey – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/21-27/11

Winthrop Univ. – 11 Southern States – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+9

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+24

2/16-22/11

PPP – Rhode Island – 2012 Election

Obama

+17

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+6

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+1

2/18-20/11

Gallup – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

2/12-17/11

EPIC/MRA – Michigan – 2012 Election

Romney

+5

2/12-15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

2/12/15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/11-14/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+3

2/11-13/11

PPP – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+3

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+12

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+14

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

lOther Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

2012 Polling Update: GOP Pack Bunched Closely; Trump Moving Up in Polls

In data released by Gallup yesterday, it is becoming clear that Americans have become very wary of President Barack Obama’s leadership. Obama’s average approval rating across the 50 states fell from 58% when he was inaugurated on January 20, 2009, to only 47% at the end of 2010. The 47% approval rating is the “average” mentioned on the map above. Notice Obama only gets an approval rating above 47% in the states colored in dark green – just a few. In more than half the states (32), Obama’s approval rating dropped by double-digits.

One of the real trouble spots for Obama is New Hampshire. His approval rating in New Hampshire is only 41%, with 51% disapproving! Obama won New Hampshire in 2008. It is one of the nine states we have projected to be a battleground state in 2012. On our 2012 Electoral Vote Map, if the GOP Nominee can take away from Obama – Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Ohio, he/she will be at 266 electoral votes. That will mean the GOP Nominee will have to win one of the following states to be victorious: New Hampshire, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Colorado or Nevada. New Hampshire would put the GOP Nominee at 270 and victory.

Right now, Obama’s approval in those other states is: Wisconsin (47.8%), New Mexico (48.6%), Colorado (45.2%), and Nevada (47%).

Obviously, a lot can change during 2011, and who the GOP actually nominates could change everything for good or bad. But right now, these results would say to potential GOP Candidates that President Obama is exceedingly beatable in 2012.

Gallup Data on Obama Approval Shows Obama Very Beatable in 2012

A new Gallup Poll on the 2012 GOP Nomination race finds Gov. Mike Huckabee leading the potential GOP Field, with Gov. Mitt Romney and Gov. Sarah Palin only two-points behind. Newt Gingrich lags nine-points behind, with the rest of the potential field way back.

We also added a new Public Policy Polling survey out of North Carolina showing Mike Huckabee leading President Obama there by one-point. Obama leads the other potential GOP Challengers. Romney trails Obama by three, and Gingrich trails by four-points. Palin is 10-points down to Obama in North Carolina. Huckabee trailed Obama by four-points in North Carolina last month in the PPP survey. So, he has made a five-point improvement against Obama.

Below is our table showing the polls added over the last several weeks:


Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

2/16-21/11

PPP – North Carolina – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+1

2/18-20/11

Gallup – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

2/12-15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

2/12/15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/11-14/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+3

2/11-13/11

PPP – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+3

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+12

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+14

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 Election

Romney

+7

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 GOP Poll

Thune

+25

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 Election

Thune

+20

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Poll

DeMint

+4

1/26-27/11

PPP – Nebraska – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+13

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+1

1/25-27/11

Politicons – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Palin

+2

1/21-23/11

CNN/OR – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

Polling Update – Huckabee Leads Potential GOP Field in New Gallup Poll

A Newsweek / Daily Beast poll released yesterday shows several of the top 2012 GOP Presidential contenders very close to President Barack Obama in head-to-head national matchups.

The poll shows that Gov. Mike Huckabee does the best against Obama, actually tying him at 46%-46%. Gov. Mitt Romney is only two-points back of Obama, and Donald Trump is within three-points. Interestingly, Obama does not reach 50% against any of the GOP Candidates – except for Sarah Palin, who trails Obama by 11-points.

The poll found that in the 2012 GOP Presidential Nomination race, Mitt Romney holds a slim one-point lead over Huckabee, with Sarah Palin nine-points back in third. Surprisingly, Donald Trump is in fourth, garnering 8% of the vote already, even though he has not really made the rounds much yet in GOP circles.

Below is our table showing all the polls added in the past few weeks. You can always find this table posted in our Polling & Election Center.


Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

2/12-15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 Election

Huckabee, Obama

Tie

2/12/15/11

Newsweek/Daily Beast – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney

+1

2/11-14/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+3

2/11-13/11

PPP – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+3

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 Election

Huckabee

+12

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+14

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 Election

Romney

+7

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 GOP Poll

Thune

+25

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 Election

Thune

+20

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Poll

DeMint

+4

1/26-27/11

PPP – Nebraska – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+13

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+1

1/25-27/11

Politicons – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Palin

+2

1/21-23/11

CNN/OR – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

Huckabee, Romney, Trump Within Three-Points of Obama in Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll

We have added three new 2012 Presidential Polls to our table of most recent polls, which you see below.

All three polls were from Public Policy Polling, which continues to be the only polling outfit doing a lot of surveying this early in the race. Their latest national poll has President Obama leading all of the most likely GOP Challengers. Huckabee does the best among possible GOP candidates, trailing Obama by only three points. Romney was six back of Obama, and Sarah Palin trailed Obama by 12 points.

In PPP’s latest national poll on the GOP Nomination, Mike Huckabee leads the field by three points, followed by Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin. Huckabee also is way ahead of the field of GOP hopefuls in Tennessee, leading by 14 points.

You can always get the latest polling information on our Polling & Election Center page.

Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

2/11-14/11

PPP – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+3

2/11-13/11

PPP – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+3

2/9-13/11

PPP – Tennessee – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+14

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 Election

Romney

+7

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 GOP Poll

Thune

+25

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 Election

Thune

+20

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Poll

DeMint

+4

1/26-27/11

PPP – Nebraska – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+13

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+1

1/25-27/11

Politicons – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Palin

+2

1/21-23/11

CNN/OR – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

2012 Polling Update – Huckabee Leads GOP Field; Obama Leads GOP Challengers – 2/17/11

Below you find a table listing the latest polls we have added on the 2012 Presidential race.

Today, we added a poll from the University of New Hampshire which shows Gov. Mitt Romney running away from the potential GOP Field in New Hampshire. Romney gets 40% of the vote in the poll, a full 30 points ahead of Rudy Giuliani. Sarah Palin only gets 5% of the vote in this poll.

Romney also leads in Colorado against the GOP Field – but this time by only three points, in a new Public Policy Polling (PPP) poll.


Latest Presidential Polls Added

Date  of Poll

Poll

Leader

Margin

2/9-10/11

Magellan – New Hampshire – 2012 Election

Obama

+4

2/7-9/11

Fox News – National – 2012 Election

Obama

+7

1/28-2/7/11

Univ. of NH – New Hampshire – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+30

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – Colorado – 2012 Election

Obama

+6

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 GOP Poll

Palin

+3

2/4-6/11

PPP – New Mexico – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

2/7/11

Rasmussen 2012 Election Matchups (Polls done throughout January)

Romney

+2

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 Election

Obama

+15

1/28-30/11

PPP – California – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 Election

Romney

+7

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 GOP Poll

Romney

+4

1/28-30/11

PPP – Arizona – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 GOP Poll

Thune

+25

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Dakota – 2012 Election

Thune

+20

1/28-30/11

PPP – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Poll

DeMint

+4

1/26-27/11

PPP – Nebraska – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+13

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 Election

Romney

+6

1/24-28/11

20/20 Insight – Georgia – 2012 GOP Poll

Huckabee

+1

1/25-27/11

Politicons – 2012 GOP Nomination

Romney, Palin

+2

1/21-23/11

CNN/OR – 2012 GOP Nomination

Huckabee

+2

Other Poll Information:

2012 Presidential General Election Polls

2012 Presidential Election State Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Polls

2012 GOP Presidential Nomination State Polls

 

2012 Possible GOP Presidential Contenders – Latest News

 

 

2012 Presidential Election Polling Update – 2/15/11

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