Carl Cameron: Florida could be the Key State in 2016 GOP Nomination Race – Video 6/3/15

Here is video of Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus on with Greta Van Susteren last night, where he responded to questions about Newt Gingrich’s contention that delegates from the Florida Primary should be allocated proportionally rather than as “winner-take-all.” Greta cited a letter from the RNC in December that warned states who moved their primary ahead of March 6 that their delegates would have to be awarded proportionally. Priebus said the complaint would be taken up by the RNC’s “Committee on Contests” to make a decision. If awarded proportionally, Gingrich would stand to get about 16 of the 50 delegates awarded to Mitt Romney.

RNC Chair Reince Priebus Talks about Newt Gingrich Challenge to Florida Primary Awarding Delegates “Winner-Take-All” – Video 2/1/12

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Florida, Nevada, Maine Polling Averages & Results

Updated: 2/4/12, 9:25 AM ET


Primary Date










Romney Wins +14.5

Romney +22.5

Romney + 6.0

















Note: Final Vote Percentages are listed for Florida, and an Average of Polls for Nevada and Maine are listed. Click on the state names above for polling data and more averages.


After Mitt Romney’s huge victory in Florida, the race moves on to Caucuses in Nevada and Maine on February 4. Here are the results from the Florida Primary, and what little polling has been done on the Nevada and Maine Caucuses. I’m sure we’ll see more polling over the next few days. We’ll update the averages as they come in.

Florida, Nevada, Maine GOP Presidential Nomination Polling Averages and Results

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Here is video of Gov. Mitt Romney delivering an outstanding victory speech in Florida tonight, after winning the Florida GOP Presidential Primary by a wide margin.

Romney focused his speech squarely on President Barack Obama. The speech was a preview of what Mitt Romney’s Campaign would look like this Fall if he becomes the GOP Nominee. He hammered Obama on the Economy and on the failed direction he is taking the nation.

Mitt Romney’s prepared remarks after his Florida Republican primary win:

Mitt Romney tonight delivered remarks in Tampa, Florida. The following remarks were prepared for delivery:

Sticky: Mitt Romney Delivers Strong Victory Speech in Florida Hammering President Barack Obama – Complete Video 1/31/12

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Here is complete video of Newt Gingrich delivering a defiant speech in the wake of a distant second place finish to Mitt Romney in the Florida GOP Presidential Primary.

Gingrich never congratulated Romney on his victory in Florida, but instead made it clear he intends to fight Romney in every state. Gingrich supporters held up signs that said, “46 states to go.” He said he would run a campaign “of the people, by the people, for the people,” and that in the end, “people power” would triumph over “money power.”

He also spent a good deal of time describing what he would do his first day as President. From this speech, you would never know he just lost a primary race by a wide margin. He certainly made it clear he won’t leave the race anytime soon.

Newt Gingrich Delivers Defiant Speech after Finishing Distant Second in the Florida GOP Presidential Primary – Complete Video 1/31/12

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Here is video of Rick Santorum speaking tonight from Nevada after finishing third in the Florida GOP Presidential Primary. Santorum urged voters to reject the negativity of both the Gingrich and Romney Campaigns and choose his campaign that he promised will make Barack Obama the issue.

Rick Santorum Speech after Third-Place Finish in the Florida GOP Presidential Primary – Complete Video 1/31/12

CNN and Fox News just projected Gov. Mitt Romney as the winner of the Florida Primary. The polls are now closed in the entire state, and Romney’s lead in votes already counted from the precincts that closed an hour ago is fluctuating between 17-20%. Romney is getting right at 50% of the vote. If he winds up getting between 45%-50% of the final vote, it will be a huge night, indeed, for Mitt Romney.

CNN, Fox News Project Mitt Romney the Winner of the Florida Presidential Primary – 1/31/12

DRUDGE is reporting that network sources say they will call Florida for Romney at 8 PM ET when the polls close. He reports exit polls show Romney at 49%, Gingrich 33%, Santorum 11%, Paul 6%. . . .

Live election results for the Florida GOP Primary tonight.

DRUDGE: Sources Say Networks Will Call Florida for Romney as Polls Close at 8 PM ET; Romney at 49% in Exit Polls – 1/31/12

Public Policy Polling’s final Florida Poll shows Mitt Romney headed for an 8 point victory today over Newt Gingrich:

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING: PPP’s tracking of the Florida Republican primary wraps up with Mitt Romney at 39%, Newt Gingrich at 31%, Rick Santorum at 15%, and Ron Paul at 11%. Our three days of tracking found very little movement in the race: Romney was at 39-40% every day, Gingrich was at 31-32% every day, Santorum was at 14-15% every day, and Paul was at 9-11% every day.

The lack of movement in the final 72 hours of the campaign is a far cry from the dramatic shifts Florida Republicans made in their preferences over the last four months. In late September we found Mitt Romney ahead of Newt Gingrich by 20 points in the state. By late November, as he surged nationally, Gingrich had taken a 30 point led over Romney. But then our first poll in early January, after poor performances by Gingrich in Iowa and New Hampshire, found Romney back on top by 15 points. Riding a (short lived) wave of momentum off his South Carolina victory, Gingrich led our Florida poll last week by 5 points. By the end of the week the race had swung back to Romney and over the last three days his lead has been steady in the 7-8 point range.

One thing Romney did a great job of was getting his voters out early. With the third of the electorate who have already cast their ballots he leads 45-32. That means Gingrich would have to win election day voters by somewhere in the 6-8 point range to pull off the Florida upset, but we find that Romney still has a 36-30 advantage with those are waiting to vote tomorrow.

Romney will win in Florida tomorrow because he’s winning his core groups of support by wide margins, while holding Gingrich to single digit advantages with his key constituencies. Romney is winning moderates by 39 (53-14), seniors by 12 (46-32), and women by 12 (42-30). Meanwhile Gingrich is only up 8 with Tea Partiers (39-31) and 6 with Evangelicals (38-32), groups he won by huge margins in South Carolina. . . . Read More

Final “Public Policy” Poll has Romney Headed for an Eight-Point Victory Today in GOP Florida Primary

Here is video of Mitt Romney’s closing web ad for the Florida Primary tomorrow. The ad urges voters, “Tomorrow, stand with Mitt.” In the ad, Romney says:

“I’m looking forward to debating Barack Obama. I’m not going to worry about the crowd. I’m going to make sure we tell the truth to Barack Obama and get him out of the White House.”

Mitt Romney Closing Web Ad for Florida Primary: “I’m Looking Forward to Debating Barack Obama”; “I’m Going to Make Sure. . . We Get Him out of the White House” – Video 1/30/12

Here is video of Mitt Romney in Florida today, where he mocked Newt Gingrich’s debate performances last week. Romney has a double-digit lead over Gingrich in a 3-Day Average of Polls, just one day before the Florida Primary.

Mitt Romney Mocks Newt Gingrich over Debate Performances; Leads Gingrich by Double-Digits in Average of Polls – Video 1/30/12

Here is video of Newt Gingrich Campaign Spokesman R.C. Hammond sparring with Utah GOP Rep. Jason Chaffetz – a supporter of Mitt Romney. Chaffetz has apparently been following the Gingrich Campaign and showing up at events. Hammond apparently spotted Chaffetz and decided to approach him and ask him some questions.

THE HILL: Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) found his own tactics turned against him during a Newt Gingrich event here Friday afternoon.

Chaffetz, a Mitt Romney supporter, has been turning up at Gingrich events during the past two days, though he denied in a brief interview with The Hill that he was doing so in order to goad the former Speaker. He said he was merely there to “offer some perspective.”

But Gingrich spokesman R.C. Hammond decided it was time to do some goading of his own, as he briefed reporters. Hammond first waved with faux-glee at the Utah congressman and invited him to join the briefing. When Chaffetz ignored him, the spokesman instead marched the press over to where Chaffetz was standing with fellow Romney supporter Bay Buchanan. . . . Read More

Nerves are clearly getting frayed. I don’t think either camp comes off looking very good with stuff like this.

Gingrich Spokesman Spars with Romney Supporter Rep. Jason Chaffetz Shadowing their Campaign Event – Video 1/27/12

Two new polls out today show Gov. Mitt Romney with a nine point lead over Newt Gingrich in Florida. The Florida Primary will take place on Tuesday, January 31.

Both Quinnipiac and Sunshine State News put Romney ahead of Gingrich, 38%-29% and 40%-31% respectively. In both polls, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul are way back around the 10% mark. Romney’s two debate performances this week have really turned the momentum in his favor.

Romney now holds a 7.1 point lead over Gingrich in our 3-Day Average of Polls.

Two New Polls Show Mitt Romney Now Up by Nine in Florida over Newt Gingrich – 1/27/12

The final GOP Presidential Debate in Florida just ended, and it was a very strong night for Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum.

Romney was aggressive once again, and really went after Newt Gingrich early in the debate. Gingrich again did not really seem ready for the hits and did not return fire in equal proportion to the attacks he received. Gingrich needed to land a knockout blow on Romney in this debate, and he just did not do it. He had some good moments, particularly on the need to support Israel, but he did not have a moment to help him recapture his momentum.

I thought Rick Santorum did very well, and actually put Romney on the defensive for awhile on RomneyCare. But Romney handled those attacks as well as he possibly can, and it was probably enough to keep it from doing him any serious harm in Florida. Santorum spoke very eloquently on a number of questions, and gave a great answer summing up the truth that our rights come from the “Creator” as it says in the Declaration of Independence. He further explained that Government does not exist under our Constitution to give rights to Americans, but rather to protect those God-given rights that it has no power or authority to take away.

Ron Paul had some very good moments too. He provided a good contrast to the back-and-forth between Gingrich and Romney, as did Rick Santorum.

Mitt Romney had a lot of momentum coming into this debate, and I suspect he will maintain it coming out of the debate. Gingrich did nothing to derail him, and Santorum is so far back in the polls, I doubt his strong performance here will boost him enough to give him a chance to actually win Florida. In fact, Santorum is not going to be in Florida on Election night, Tuesday, and he is not going to spend money running ads in Florida (he just said that on CNN after the debate). That does not convey that he believes he has any real chance in Florida.

If I had to give grades, I would say: Romney – A-; Santorum – A-; Paul – B; Gingrich – C. Romney and Santorum were “Winners,” Paul held his own, and Gingrich lost by not doing what he needed to do to turn the momentum in Florida.

Winners and Losers from the CNN GOP Presidential Debate in Jacksonville, Florida – 1/26/12

Here is video of a clearly positive and energized Mitt Romney today in Florida urging supporters to attend the CNN Debate tonight and cheer him along. When told there were no tickets available, Romney advised, “Just storm in!”

Via Politico

Mitt Romney Urges Supporters to Attend CNN Debate to Cheer Him On: “Just Storm In” – Video 1/26/12

Rasmussen is out with a new Florida Poll this morning that leaves little doubt as to a major swing in favor of Mitt Romney there. The new poll has Romney leading Newt Gingrich by 8 points 39%-31%, a major turnaround from the previous Rasmussen survey conducted in Florida on Sunday, just after Gingrich had won the South Carolina Primary. Gingrich had moved to a 9 point lead 41%-32% in that poll.

RASMUSSEN: Mitt Romney has jumped back ahead in the fevered Florida Republican Primary race with his support back to where it was before Newt Gingrich’s big win Saturday in South Carolina.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Republican Primary Voters, taken Wednesday night, shows Romney with 39% support to Gingrich’s 31%. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum earns 12%, and Texas Congressman Ron Paul runs last with nine percent (9%). Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Four days ago, just after the South Carolina Primary, Gingrich led Romney 41% to 32%. Less than two weeks earlier, coming off Romney’s decisive win in the New Hampshire Primary, it was Romney 41%, Gingrich 19% in Florida. Santorum’s and Paul’s support has remained largely the same throughout. . . .

The new Rasmussen Poll confirms what Insider Advantage also found yesterday, and that is a move up for Romney following his more aggressive debate performance on Monday. American Research Group also put out a poll yesterday showing Romney back to a 7 point lead in Florida.

We now have Romney up to a 3 point lead over Gingrich in Florida in our 3-Day Average of Polls.

Rasmussen Poll Shows Mitt Romney Surging Back to an 8 Point Lead in Florida over Newt Gingrich

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