
New Hampshire could be the deciding factor in the 2012 Election. If Romney carries the states we currently project him to win, he has 191 Electoral Votes. If he can win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio, it will give him another 75 Electoral Votes and bring him to 266. Adding New Hampshire’s four votes would give him the victory with 270 – without winning Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania or New Mexico.
NEW YORK TIMES: In the days and weeks after the 2008 election, it seemed as if President Obama had permanently yanked independent-minded New Hampshire out of the reach of Republicans.
But much has changed since he triumphantly won here four years ago. Republicans surged back to power in the State Capitol in 2010, and Mitt Romney’s campaign now views the Granite State as a real opportunity to pry four electoral votes away from Mr. Obama in November.
In an appearance Friday at an abandoned 19th-century bridge that was repaired with $150,000 of federal stimulus money, Mr. Romney sought to tap into the one thing that gets mild-mannered New Hampshire voters riled up: wasteful spending.
“This is the absolute Bridge to Nowhere if ever was one,” Mr. Romney said, to knowing laughs. “That’s your stimulus dollars at work.”
Mr. Romney is hoping his message of lower taxes, less regulation and an emphatic denunciation of Mr. Obama’s economic record is in sync with voters whose local economy is better than the nation’s but still struggling. Aides have privately identified it as potentially crucial to victory in a close election, and a potent symbolic win.
He is also betting that his personal connection to the state will help him. Aides said on Friday that he planned to spend the night at his family’s vacation home in Wolfboro, N.H., before heading to his home in Boston.
But the Republican candidate is playing catch-up in New Hampshire, where polls show the president with a lead. Mr. Obama has spent months building a campaign operation in the state even as Mr. Romney was forced to shift his New Hampshire resources to other states during the primary. Mr. Romney’s state director started just this month.
“The Obama campaign’s had well over a dozen people up here since before the primary, and they never slowed down,” said Steve Duprey, a Republican who worked for John McCain in 2008.
“We Republicans are still putting the pieces together after the primary campaign, and not even running on all cylinders yet,” said Michael P. Dennehy, a veteran Republican operative. “I think it’s going to be a very close race — two, three, four points, maximum.”
That would fit, historically. In 1992, Bill Clinton won the state by about a percentage point. In 2000, George W. Bush won by about the same amount. Four years later, John Kerry snatched it back, winning by about two percentage points. Polls suggest it will be a close race again this year. . . . Read More
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