Polling Averages for Arizona, Michigan GOP Presidential Primaries

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Arizona, Michigan Primary Polling Averages

Updated: 2/22/12, 8:30 AM ET

Candidate

Primary Date

Arizona

2/28/12

Michigan

2/28/12

                  LEADER

Romney +8.2

Santorum +0.7

Santorum

30.0

33.7

Romney

38.2

33.0

Gingrich

16.0

8.5

Paul

8.2

10.7

Note: A 7-Day Average of Polls is used for both Arizona and Michigan.  Click on the state names above for polling data.

 

The next two big GOP Primary Contests will be held on February 28 in Arizona and Michigan. Above is a table showing the current average of polls for the GOP Presidential Candidates in those two contests. We’ll keep this post at the top of the main page from now until the primaries are held, and keep it updated as new polls come in.

For results in primaries and caucuses already held, and for polling averages on other future GOP contests – including Super Tuesday – go here.

Colorado, Minnesota, Missouri Polling Averages; Santorum Set Up for Golden Opportunity to Prove He’s the Conservative to Defeat Romney and Obama

UPDATED 2/8/12, 9:30 AM ET: Here are the winning totals for Rick Santorum:

Colorado, Minnesota, Missouri Results

Updated: 2/8/12, 8:45 AM ET

Candidate

 

Primary Date

Colorado

Caucuses

2/7/12

Minnesota

Caucuses

2/7/12

Missouri

Primary

2/7/12

Winner

Santorum Wins +5.3

Santorum Wins +17.6

Santorum Wins +29.9

Romney

34.9

16.9

25.3

Gingrich

12.8

10.7

*

Santorum

40.2

44.8

55.2

Paul

11.8

27.2

12.2

Note:  Click on the state names above for final vote results.

 

With Mitt Romney winning the Nevada Caucuses on Saturday, February 4, the GOP Presidential Nomination race moves on to Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri this week. These two caucuses and the Missouri Primary take place on Tuesday, February 7, and Rick Santorum has a golden opportunity to prove he is the conservative who can defeat Mitt Romney head-to-head. Above are the polling averages in the three states, but there is just very little polling data to go on. Newt Gingrich chose to skip the Missouri Primary, which is a non-binding primary. The delegates for Missouri will be chosen at a Caucus in March. But the Missouri Primary could prove to be far more valuable to Rick Santorum than any amount of delegates. With Gingrich not on the ballot, it is Santorum’s chance to show what he can do one-on-one against Mitt Romney. If he wins, he could get a great deal of buzz and momentum going forward.

Santorum also has a great shot at winning in Minnesota. With Gingrich running back in the pack in all three states, tomorrow could be a very dark day for the Gingrich Campaign. If Santorum wins one or two contests tomorrow and Gingrich finishes third or fourth in all three, the calls for Gingrich to get out of the race will grow strong.

South Carolina, Florida GOP Presidential Primary Polling Averages & Results

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This table will remain at the top of the main page through the end of January.

South Carolina, Florida Primary Polling Averages & Results

Updated: 1/31/12, 6:15 AM ET

Candidate

Primary Date

South Carolina

1/21/12

Florida

1/31/2012

                  LEADER

Gingrich Wins +12.6

Romney +13.6

Romney

27.8

42.9

Gingrich

40.4

29.3

Santorum

17.0

12.7

Paul

13.0

9.9

Perry

Withdrew

Withdrew

Huntsman

Withdrew

Withdrew

Note: Final Vote Percentages are listed for South Carolina, and a 3-Day Average for Florida is listed. Click on the state names above for polling data and more averages. Results from Iowa and New Hampshire. 

 

The GOP Presidential Nomination race now moves on to Florida (January 31) following Newt Gingrich’s shocking victory in South Carolina. Here is the polling average for Florida, which shapes up to be a pivotal contest in the GOP Presidential race. We’ll keep it updated as new polls come out.

New Polls Show Newt Gingrich Gaining Significant Ground on Mitt Romney in New Hampshire – 11/29/11

Two new polls in New Hampshire show the race tightening there, with Mitt Romney still leading in the must-win state for his campaign. But Newt Gingrich has moved up to a strong second, and Jon Huntsman has actually reached double-digits in a new Rasmussen Poll.

Rasmussen has Romney up by 10-points over Gingrich 34%-24%, with Ron Paul at 14% and Huntsman at 11%. An Insider Advantage Poll has Gingrich within 4 points at 31%-27%.

Romney still has a 15.8 point lead in New Hampshire in our 21-day polling average, but Gingrich is making up ground fast.

Mitt Romney Holds Strong Lead in New Hampshire in Two New Polls – 11/22/11

Two new polls out of New Hampshire show Mitt Romney continuing to hold a sizeable lead in the first-in-the-nation primary state.

The New Hampshire Primary will be held January 10, 2012, and Romney leads by 27-points in a new Suffolk Poll over Newt Gingrich. In a new survey by The Polling Company, Romney’s lead is 17-points. That’s in keeping with the 21-day average of New Hampshire Polls which shows Romney leading Gingrich by 17.2 points.

New Poll Shows Newt Gingrich Surging into 2nd Place in South Carolina; Cain Still Leads – 11/11/11

New Poll – South Carolina – 2012 GOP Nomination

11/8/11

Insider Advantage

Cain

26

Gingrich

19

Romney

16

Perry

6

Bachmann

5

Paul

3

Santorum

2

 

A new Insider Advantage Poll in South Carolina shows Herman Cain continuing to lead there, but with Newt Gingrich surging to second place just 7-points behind. Cain leads Gingrich 26%-19%, with Mitt Romney falling to third at 16%.

In the Insider Advantage Poll conducted less than a month ago, Cain led Romney 32%-16%, with Gingrich at only 8%.

Our 21-day average of polls in South Carolina now shows Cain in the lead by 4-points over Mitt Romney, 25.5%-21.5%. Gingrich is now third with 13%.

Poll Average Update for Early-Voting States: Mitt Romney Now Leads in All Five – 10/12/11

Summary of 2012 GOP Primary / Caucus Poll Averages

Candidate

Primary Date

Iowa

Jan. 2012

New Hampshire

Jan. 2012

Nevada

1/14/12

South Carolina

1/21/12

Florida

1/31/12

                  LEADER

Romney +3.3

Romney +24.7

Romney +4.0

Romney +3.0

Romney +9.6

Romney

22.0

39.7

27.5

26.0

28.3

Perry

11.0

4.7

23.5

23.0

15.3

Bachmann

11.0

2.5

10.0

4.5

4.7

Cain

18.7

15.0

7.5

17.0

18.7

Gingrich

8.0

4.5

6.5

6.5

8.7

Paul

11.0

11.7

8.5

5.5

5.3

Santorum

3.5

1.5

1.0

1.5

1.7

Huntsman

1.0

5.7

1.5

1.0

2.7

NOTE: Click on the state names to see the actual polling data.

 

In four of the five – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida – the average is based on polls from the last 21-days. The average for Nevada goes back further because there is just not enough recent polling data. Undoubtedly, Perry’s numbers have fallen there as well.

You can check the most recent polling and election data by clicking on the links at the top of the home page.

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