Shock Poll: Obama only Leading Mitt Romney by 4-Points in the Very Blue State of Oregon – 5/11/12

A new Survey USA Poll shows President Barack Obama only leading Gov. Mitt Romney by four-points in the very blue state of Oregon.

The new poll puts Obama ahead 47%-43% over Romney, in a state where Obama won in 2008 by 16%.

In a Survey USA Poll done in Oregon in mid-March 2012, Obama held an 11-point lead, 50%-39%.

New Tracking Poll Shows Romney Leading Obama by Seven Points; Hits 50% Support for the First Time – 5/11/12

Gov. Mitt Romney has moved out to a 7-point lead in the latest Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll.

Romney now leads President Obama 50%-43%, marking the first time Romney has reached 50% support in the poll, and becoming the largest lead he has had over Obama in the Rasmussen Tracking Poll.

It’s too early to tell if this size margin will hold, but Romney has been leading Obama all week by between three and now seven points.

Two Major Tracking Polls Show Mitt Romney Moving Ahead of President Obama; Both Put Obama at Just 44% Support – 5/8/12

The two major tracking polls today both show Mitt Romney moving out to a lead over President Obama. Rasmussen puts Romney up by five-points at 49%-44%, while Gallup has Romney leading 47%-44%. Whether this is the beginning of a trend toward Romney or a blip on the screen is yet to be seen.

Perhaps the most significant number is that Obama is only at 44% in both of the polls. As we near the November 6 Election, that’s a key number to watch. Typically, “Undecided” voters break heavily toward the challenger in Presidential Elections. Obama needs to be at 50% or above if he is going to be re-elected. He can’t count on undecided voters putting him over the top if he is well below 50%.

Poll: Gender Gap? Romney Leads among Women Older than 45; Leads Obama 57%-39% with White Women Voters – 5/7/12

More from that new Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll. Mitt Romney leads among women older than 45 years old, and has a 57%-39% lead among white women. Obama leads among women younger than 45. Which age group do you think is more likely to go vote? A disturbing question for the Obama Campaign.

POLITICO: . . . A gender gap still exists, but it appears to be narrowing. Obama leads among women by 7 percentage points, while Romney has the same lead among male voters. But among women younger than 45 , Obama leads 57 percent to 39 percent. Yet Romney leads among women older than 45, 50 percent to 45 percent. The Republican also leads among white women, 57 percent to 38 percent. . . . Read More

New Poll Shows Mitt Romney Leading President Obama by 10-Points among “Independent” Voters

Mitt Romney has opened up a 10-point lead among “Independent” voters in a new Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll. The poll gives Romney a 48%-47% edge over Obama among “Likely Voters,” but a 48%-38% lead among so-called “Independent” Voters. Among those who say they are “extremely likely” to vote, Romney leads by six-points. In the last poll conducted by Politico back in February, Obama had a 9-point lead.

CBS NEWS: A new Politico-George Washington University poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama by one point, 48 to 47 percent.

In that poll, independent voters prefered Romney by a ten-point margin. . . . Read More

New Tracking Polls Shows Mitt Romney Moving Out to a Five-Point Lead over Barack Obama – 4/14/12

The latest Rasmussen Tracking Poll on the 2012 Presidential Election has Gov. Mitt Romney moving out to a 5-point lead over President Barack Obama.

The tracking poll certainly moves up and down, but this makes five straight days Romney has either been tied with Obama or in the lead. Coupled with the latest Fox News Poll on the race showing Romney up by 2-points, the trend is certainly good right now for Romney.

It will be interesting to see what other media polls in the next week show on the race. People are just now settling in to Romney as the GOP Nominee-to-be. So far, that seems to be moving him up.

New Poll Shows Mitt Romney Leading Santorum in Pennsylvania

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Pennsylvania shows Gov. Mitt Romney taking a 5-point lead over Sen. Rick Santorum in Santorum’s home state. According to the new poll, Romney leads Santorum 42%-37%. Santorum still leads our 21-day polling average by one-point, 36%-35%.

Pennsylvania will hold its GOP Primary on April 24. Santorum has publicly staked a great deal on winning there to kickoff what he is calling the “second half” of the GOP Nomination race. A Romney victory there would be a real embarrassment for Santorum, and some are speculating he will end his Presidential bid before April 24 if he believes he may lose to Romney in his home state.

This is just one poll. At this point, I would say Santorum would still defeat Romney in Pennsylvania. But we’ll have to see if the trend in other polls keeps moving Romney’s way.

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