New Poll – 2012 GOP Nomination – National




















A new Rasmussen Poll out this morning shows Gov. Mitt Romney still leading the 2012 GOP Nomination Field – but Texas Gov. Rick Perry now not far behind.

Romney leads Perry 22%-18%, followed by Rep. Michele Bachmann at 16%. Perry has yet to announce his candidacy, but is expected to do so sometime in August.

Check all the latest polls and national averages in the Election Center.

New Rasmussen Poll has Mitt Romney Leading 2012 GOP Presidential Field; Rick Perry Running Close Second – 8/1/11

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Obama’s approval rating on his handling of the U.S. Economy is dropping like a rock:

RASMUSSEN: With the debate over the nation’s debt ceiling dragging on and consumer confidence near two-year lows, voters are souring even more on President Obama’s handling of economic issues.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 36% of Likely U.S. Voters give the president good or excellent marks when it comes to the economy. But 50% say the president is doing a poor job, up seven points from 43% two weeks ago. . . . Read More

The Obama White House wants you to believe Americans are behind him in the Debt-Ceiling Debate. But this poll would indicate he is not impressing the public with the way he is handling himself, or the U.S. Economy. A 7-point drop in two weeks is a huge drop.

Obama Approval Rating on Handling of the U.S. Economy is Dropping Like a Rock – Poll 7/29/11

For all of his talk about how the American people agree with him in the Debt Limit Debate, and are yearning for higher taxes, President Barack Obama is not faring too well in the opinion polls.

A new Rasmussen survey finds Obama would lose by six-points right now in a 2012 Election matchup with a “Generic Republican.” Obama trails 48%-42%. While he will not run against a “Generic” Republican, the consistent numbers well below 50% for Obama are ominous for him. Americans now know what they are going to get with Obama, and it is hard to see how he has very much upside, unless the economy dramatically improves between now and November 2012.

RASMUSSEN: A generic Republican candidate leads President Obama by six points again this week in a hypothetical 2012 election match-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows the generic Republican with 48% of the vote, tying the highest level of support earned by either candidate to date. The president picks up 42% support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. . . . .Read More

President Obama Losing to a “Generic Republican” by Six-Points – Rasmussen

A new Rasmussen Poll finds that Donald Trump has moved into the lead among possible 2012 GOP Presidential Candidates. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are close behind:

RASMUSSEN: Republican primary voters at this early stage of the game now give billionaire developer Donald Trump the edge over presumptive favorites Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee in the race to be the GOP’s presidential nominee in 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters finds Trump with 19% support, just ahead of the former governors, Massachusetts’ Romney at 17% and Arkansas’ Huckabee with 15%.

Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin and ex-House Speaker Newt Gingrich are tied for fourth place with nine percent (9%) each, closely followed by Texas Congressman Ron Paul at eight percent (8%). Rounding out the list are former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty (5%) and Mitch Daniels, the current governor of Indiana, at three percent (3%). Five percent (5%) like some other candidate, and 11% are undecided when presented with this list of candidates. . . . . Read More

We’ll get this added to our database of polls later today, along with several others and see how it impacts the current averages of the various possible candidates.

Donald Trump Now Leads 2012 GOP Field in New Rasmussen Poll

Rasmussen is out today with a new poll showing President Obama leading Donald Trump in a possible 2012 Presidential matchup by a 49%-34% margin:

RASMUSSEN: President Obama leads Donald Trump by 15 percentage points in a hypothetical 2012 match-up, but the president is unable to top the 50% level of support even against an opponent some are deriding as a joke.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that the president earns support from 49% of Likely Voters nationwide, while Trump attracts the vote from 34%. Given that choice, 12% would vote for some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. . . . . Read More

While the 15-point margin does not look good for Trump, neither does the inability of an incumbent President like Obama to cross the 50% threshold and someone they are dismissing as a “sideshow.” The potential for Obama to the upside is not much. This is a follow-up to Rasmussen’s polling throughout March of possible 2012 Matchups that showed Obama tied with Huckabee and leading Romney by 5-points.

Obama Leads Trump in Possible 2012 Presidential Matchup – Rasmussen

In newly released Rasmussen polls taken during the month of March, Gov. Mike Huckabee is even with Obama at 43%-43%, and all the other GOP candidates trail Obama. Gov.Mitt Romney trails Obama by five-points, 45%-40%.

It is interesting to note that Obama does not reach 50% support against ANY of the potential GOP candidates! You have to wonder how much upside Obama has at this point, since everyone already knows the kind of agenda he brings to the table. On the other hand, most of the GOP Candidates should have significant upside potential as voters become more comfortable with them on the national stage.

NOTE: Rasmussen’s graphic does not jive with the written article about the poll. They write that Romney trails Obama by five-points, but the graphic listing the poll results shows Romney leading Obama by five-points. UPDATED: Their graphic now shows Obama up on Romney by five-points.

Huckabee Even with Obama in Poll; Obama Does Not Reach 50% Against any GOP Candidate – Rasmussen

Rasmussen has released a raft of polls done throughout January which gauge how 12 possible GOP Presidential Candidates would fare against President Barack Obama in 2012. As you see in the table below, Mitt Romney tops the GOP contenders, actually leading Obama by two points. Mike Huckabee would tie Obama, and the other GOP possibilities trail Obama. Sarah Palin trails Obama by 11-points in the Rasmussen survey.

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Matchups – January 2011



Romney         44

Obama  42




Huckabee      43

Obama  43




Gingrich         39

Obama  47




Paul                 35

Obama  44




Huntsman     33

Obama  43




Palin               38

Obama  49




Thune             31

Obama  45




Pawlenty      32

Obama  47




Cain                25

Obama  42




Barbour        30

Obama  47




Daniels          25

Obama  42




Pence            29

Obama  46



You can check all the latest polls for the 2012 race in our Polling & Election Center.

Rasmussen Releases Polls on 2012 Matchups with Obama; Romney Leads Obama – 2/7/11

Gov. Mitt Romney leads the pack of potential 2012 GOP Presidential candidates in a new poll out today from Rasmussen. Romney garnered 24% of the support of those surveyed, five-points ahead of Sarah Palin who was in second place at 19%:

24% Romney

19% Palin

17% Huckabee

11% Gingrich

06% Pawlenty

04% Paul

03% Daniels

Romney’s showing here moves him back in front in our average of polls, just ahead of Mike Huckabee.

Gov. Mitt Romney Leads 2012 GOP Pack in New Rasmussen Poll

Another poll on the 2012 GOP Nomination race is confirming what we saw yesterday in a CNN poll: There are three possible GOP candidates who sit atop the field at the moment. Those three are Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Sarah Palin. A new Rasmussen Poll puts Romney ahead by one-point, with Huckabee and Palin close behind:

20% Mitt Romney

19% Mike Huckabee

19% Sarah Palin

Essentially, it’s a three-way tie at the top. The remaining four candidates surveyed for the poll are:

RASMUSSEN: “. . . . Rounding out the list of seven candidates chosen by Rasmussen Reports for the question, with their levels of support, are former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (13%), Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty (6%), Texas Congressman Ron Paul (5%) and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels (3%). Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.” . . . . Read More

It will be interesting to see how soon we begin seeing candidates officially announce they are running for President.

Another Poll Confirms Three Possible GOP Candidates Atop Field for 2012 Presidential Nomination

President Obama’s approval rating has plummeted to -20 in the Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index:

RASMUSSEN: The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20 . . . . . Read More

Obama Drops to -20 in Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index – 10/28/10

John “Raese” (pronounced “ray-see”) that is.

Rasmussen is out with a new poll showing West Virginia’s GOP U.S. Senate candidate – John Raese – is within striking distance of Democrat Gov. Joe Manchin. Both are seeking to take the late Sen. Robert Byrd’s old seat in November’s Special Election:

RASMUSSEN: West Virginia Governor Joe Manchin and Republican businessman John Raese continue to run a surprisingly close race in the state’s special Senate election to replace the late Robert Byrd.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in West Virginia shows Manchin with 50% support and Raese with 45%, when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. . . . Read More

This was unthinkable just a few weeks ago. Everyone thought popular Dem Gov. Manchin was a shoe-in for the seat. But now it appears the GOP has a real chance to pickup yet another Democrat Seat in November.

It’s probably still not likely – but it is now a possibility.

It’s a “Raese” in West Virginia’s U.S. Senate Race

Kentucky GOP U.S. Senate Candidate Rand Paul has moved out to a 15-point lead over Democrat Jack Conway in a new Rasmussen Poll conducted September 7.

Paul’s lead does not support the Democrats’ latest narrative that their chances are enhanced in November because the GOP has nominated more conservative candidates. They have often pointed to Rand Paul as an example.

RASMUSSEN: Republican Rand Paul receives his highest level of support since winning his party’s primary in May in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race.

Paul is now supported by 54% of Likely Voters in Kentucky, when leaners are added, while Democrat Jack Conway earns the vote from 39%. Two percent (2%) prefer another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. . . . . Read More

GOP’s Rand Paul Moves Out to a 15-Point Lead in Kentucky U.S. Senate Race – Rasmussen

Republicans have moved to a 12-point lead in the latest Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot poll. They now lead Democrats 48%-36% – tied for the largest lead ever recorded for Republicans by Rasmussen.

RASMUSSEN: A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 48% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 36% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. The survey data was collected on the seven days ending Sunday, September 5, 2010.

This matches the largest advantage ever measured for the Republicans. Three weeks ago, the GOP also held a 12-point lead. . . . . Read More

UPDATE: Our Congressional Ballot Average Page now shows the GOP up to a 6.1-point lead over the Democrats.

GOP Surges to 12-Point Lead in New Rasmussen Generic Ballot Poll – 9/6/10

President Obama’s Approval Rating in the Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index cratered today to -21 after he had made a modest rally in the last week or so. Only 24% of those surveyed “strongly approved” of the job Obama is doing as President, compared to 45% who “strongly disapproved.” Overall, only 42% at least “somewhat approved,” while 56% at least “somewhat disapproved.”

RASMUSSEN: The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 24% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 . . . . .Overall, 42% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance. This matches the lowest approval rating yet measured for President Obama. Fifty-six percent (56%) now disapprove. . . . . Read More

This may indicate Obama’s Oval Office Address on Iraq did not work.

Support for President Obama Craters in Latest Rasmussen “Presidential Approval Index”

President Obama has matched a new low in the Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index. He comes in today at -22, tied for the worst showing of his Presidency:

Rasmussen: The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 24% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-six percent (46%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -22. This matches the lowest Approval Index rating yet measured for this president. . . . Read More

President Obama Matches Worst Showing of His Presidency in Rasmussen Approval Index: -22

Here is video showing the results of recent Rasmussen polling which give hope that the American people are taking notice of how disastrous President Obama’s policies are. It shows that only 29% of those surveyed believe Obama’s massive “Stimulus” Plan has helped the U.S. Economy. It also reveals that 69% of Americans say “cutting taxes” is the more effective way to stimulate the Economy.

Maybe the truth is getting through.

Only 29% of Americans Say Obama Stimulus Helped; 69% Say Cutting Taxes More Effective – Video

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